Incremental Progress and Enduring Obstacles
While the European Union will make incremental progress on a capital markets union (CMU) in the coming years,…
Japan, South Korea, Indonesia and Vietnam Assess Their U.S. Trade Deals After IEEPA Tariffs
The U.S. Supreme Court’s ruling on the Trump administration’s use of the IEEPA curtails rapid tariff escalation but…
European Economic Growth Likely To Suffer From Impact of U.S. and Israel-Iran War
The ongoing U.S. and Israel-Iran war will primarily impact Europe through energy market volatility, with outcomes ranging from a…
Netanyahu Will Struggle To Defeat Hamas Before Israeli Elections
The United States is unlikely to give Israel an open-ended commitment to renew war in Gaza in the…
In Iceland, Security Concerns, Domestic Politics Catalyze Renewed Debate Over EU Membership
The convergence of domestic political developments and heightened North Atlantic security concerns is accelerating the debate over Iceland’s…
The Challenge of Rebuilding Ukraine’s Economy
European governments are financially capable of supporting Ukraine’s war effort this year, but the country’s long-term reconstruction —…
Mozambique’s LNG Sector Turns a Corner Amid Megaproject Reboot
The lifting of force majeure on two major liquefied natural gas projects in Mozambique’s Cabo Delgado province is…
China’s High-Level Military Purge Raises Risk of a Miscalculation on Taiwan
China’s highest-level military purge in decades indicates Beijing will accelerate anti-corruption work and prioritize regime security above other…
In Syria, the SDF’s Withdrawal From Aleppo Will Complicate Kurdish Integration Efforts
The withdrawal of the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) from Aleppo will likely reduce conflict in the city,…
Protests in Iran Provide a Window for U.S. and/or Israeli Intervention
The latest round of mass protests in Iran could endure for several more weeks or months before they…
Central Asia’s Struggle for Logistics Sovereignty
Central Asia’s strategic location between Russia, China and Europe will enhance its role in evolving Eurasian trade routes,…
Hamas and Israel Evolve the Gaza Conflict
The war in Gaza is paused; the conflict between Israel and the Palestinians is not. Israel’s armies now…