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Recent performance snapshot
Without a specific news headline driving Air France-KLM (ENXTPA:AF) today, recent performance provides the main context. The stock has shown gains over the past week, month, and past three months, but a decline year to date.
See our latest analysis for Air France-KLM.
The recent 1 day share price return of 8.36% and 90 day share price return of 23.85% contrast with a decline of 3.42% year to date. The 1 year total shareholder return of 43.87% sits against weaker 3 and 5 year total shareholder returns, which hints that momentum has been rebuilding over the shorter term.
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So with Air France KLM shares up over the past year and trading at a large implied discount to some intrinsic value estimates, is this a fresh opportunity, or is the market already pricing in future growth?
Price-to-Earnings of 2x: Is it justified?
On a P/E of 2x, against a last close of €11.86, Air France KLM screens as heavily discounted compared to both its peer group and the wider airlines industry.
The P/E multiple compares the current share price with earnings per share and is a quick way to see how much investors are paying for current profits. For an established airline group with positive earnings, this is a widely watched yardstick because it ties directly to the profits that ultimately support shareholder returns.
Here, Air France KLM is described as good value on several fronts. The stock is said to be trading at a large discount to an estimated future cash flow value of €48.31 per share, and its current P/E of 2x is flagged as low versus a peer average of 28.5x and a Global Airlines industry average of 8.9x. Relative to an estimated fair P/E of 11.4x, the gap is also wide. This indicates a level the market could move towards if sentiment and fundamentals remain aligned with those assumptions.
For investors who want to go deeper into how that fair multiple is derived across peers and fundamentals, it is worth taking a closer look at the SWS fair ratio workup for this stock. Explore the SWS fair ratio for Air France-KLM
Result: Price-to-Earnings of 2x (UNDERVALUED)
However, the weak 3 and 5 year total returns and the discount to a €10.86 analyst target both suggest that sentiment could shift quickly if expectations change.
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Another angle on value
The P/E of 2x presents Air France KLM as cheap, but the SWS DCF model provides a different perspective by estimating a future cash flow value of €48.31 per share versus a recent price around €11.86. That gap suggests a very different picture, so which signal might be more informative?
To see how this cash flow view is constructed and what assumptions sit behind it, take a closer look at Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
AF Discounted Cash Flow as at Jun 2026
Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Air France-KLM for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 192 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match – so you never miss a potential opportunity.
Next Steps
Mixed messages on value and sentiment can be confusing, so it makes sense to review the numbers for yourself and act while the picture is fresh. To see what the market is weighing up on both sides, take a moment to review the 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include AF.PA.
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