Jun 1, 2025
IndexBox has just published a new report: Asia-Pacific – Nitrates Of Potassium – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.
The demand for potassium nitrates in the Asia-Pacific region is driving market growth, with expectations of continued consumption trends. Market performance is predicted to expand at a slower rate, with a CAGR of +0.5% in volume and +1.1% in value from 2024 to 2035, reaching 1.1M tons and $1.7B respectively by 2035.
Market Forecast
Driven by increasing demand for potassium nitrates in Asia-Pacific, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next decade. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +0.5% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market volume to 1.1M tons by the end of 2035.
In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +1.1% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market value to $1.7B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2035.
ConsumptionAsia-Pacific’s Consumption of Potassium Nitrates
In 2024, potassium nitrate consumption in Asia-Pacific expanded to 1.1M tons, picking up by 4.7% compared with the previous year’s figure. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.0% from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. As a result, consumption attained the peak volume and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.
The revenue of the potassium nitrate market in Asia-Pacific contracted slightly to $1.5B in 2024, waning by -2.1% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers’ margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $1.6B. From 2023 to 2024, the growth of the market failed to regain momentum.
Consumption By Country
The country with the largest volume of potassium nitrate consumption was China (509K tons), accounting for 48% of total volume. Moreover, potassium nitrate consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, India (208K tons), twofold. Japan (95K tons) ranked third in terms of total consumption with an 8.9% share.
From 2013 to 2024, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in China amounted to +2.1%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: India (+2.7% per year) and Japan (+1.0% per year).
In value terms, India ($468M), China ($428M) and Japan ($247M) constituted the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2024, together comprising 78% of the total market.
India, with a CAGR of +5.2%, saw the highest growth rate of market size among the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
The countries with the highest levels of potassium nitrate per capita consumption in 2024 were Japan (768 kg per 1000 persons), South Korea (633 kg per 1000 persons) and Thailand (457 kg per 1000 persons).
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the key consuming countries, was attained by Thailand (with a CAGR of +1.7%), while consumption for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
ProductionAsia-Pacific’s Production of Potassium Nitrates
For the third consecutive year, Asia-Pacific recorded growth in production of potassium nitrates, which increased by 6.7% to 1.1M tons in 2024. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.0% from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 when the production volume increased by 10% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production hit record highs in 2024 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.
In value terms, potassium nitrate production contracted modestly to $1.5B in 2024 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +2.8% from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2022 with an increase of 20% against the previous year. As a result, production attained the peak level of $1.6B. From 2023 to 2024, production growth failed to regain momentum.
Production By Country
China (627K tons) remains the largest potassium nitrate producing country in Asia-Pacific, accounting for 57% of total volume. Moreover, potassium nitrate production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, India (207K tons), threefold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Japan (87K tons), with a 7.9% share.
From 2013 to 2024, the average annual growth rate of volume in China stood at +4.2%. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: India (+2.6% per year) and Japan (+0.7% per year).
ImportsAsia-Pacific’s Imports of Potassium Nitrates
Potassium nitrate imports soared to 82K tons in 2024, growing by 16% compared with the year before. In general, imports, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 with an increase of 23%. As a result, imports attained the peak of 102K tons. From 2021 to 2024, the growth of imports failed to regain momentum.
In value terms, potassium nitrate imports expanded rapidly to $98M in 2024. Over the period under review, imports recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2022 when imports increased by 75% against the previous year. As a result, imports attained the peak of $143M. From 2023 to 2024, the growth of imports failed to regain momentum.
Imports By Country
In 2024, Australia (22K tons), distantly followed by South Korea (14K tons), Thailand (9.2K tons), Malaysia (8.1K tons), Japan (8K tons), Indonesia (6.6K tons) and Vietnam (6.3K tons) represented the major importers of potassium nitrates, together achieving 90% of total imports.
From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for Vietnam (with a CAGR of +18.3%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, Australia ($21M), South Korea ($17M) and Malaysia ($14M) were the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2024, with a combined 53% share of total imports. Thailand, Japan, Vietnam and Indonesia lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 34%.
In terms of the main importing countries, Vietnam, with a CAGR of +21.4%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Import Prices By Country
In 2024, the import price in Asia-Pacific amounted to $1,189 per ton, reducing by -6.6% against the previous year. Import price indicated modest growth from 2013 to 2024: its price increased at an average annual rate of +1.1% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, potassium nitrate import price decreased by -17.0% against 2022 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2022 an increase of 53% against the previous year. As a result, import price reached the peak level of $1,433 per ton. From 2023 to 2024, the import prices failed to regain momentum.
Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Malaysia ($1,760 per ton), while Indonesia ($700 per ton) was amongst the lowest.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Vietnam (+2.6%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
ExportsAsia-Pacific’s Exports of Potassium Nitrates
In 2024, potassium nitrate exports in Asia-Pacific skyrocketed to 122K tons, with an increase of 36% against 2023. Over the period under review, exports continue to indicate a prominent increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 165% against the previous year. As a result, the exports attained the peak of 145K tons. From 2018 to 2024, the growth of the exports failed to regain momentum.
In value terms, potassium nitrate exports surged to $106M in 2024. In general, exports enjoyed a buoyant expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2022 when exports increased by 170%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $116M. From 2023 to 2024, the growth of the exports remained at a somewhat lower figure.
Exports By Country
China prevails in exports structure, recording 118K tons, which was approx. 96% of total exports in 2024. India (1.9K tons) took a little share of total exports.
China was also the fastest-growing in terms of the potassium nitrates exports, with a CAGR of +15.1% from 2013 to 2024. At the same time, India (+3.2%) displayed positive paces of growth. China (+14 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the total exports, while India saw its share reduced by -2.9% from 2013 to 2024, respectively.
In value terms, China ($97M) remains the largest potassium nitrate supplier in Asia-Pacific, comprising 92% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by India ($4.5M), with a 4.2% share of total exports.
In China, potassium nitrate exports expanded at an average annual rate of +13.4% over the period from 2013-2024.
Export Prices By Country
In 2024, the export price in Asia-Pacific amounted to $865 per ton, which is down by -14.2% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price continues to indicate a noticeable curtailment. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2022 an increase of 40% against the previous year. As a result, the export price attained the peak level of $1,251 per ton. From 2023 to 2024, the export prices failed to regain momentum.
There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2024, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was India ($2,330 per ton), while China totaled $823 per ton.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by India (+5.3%).
Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform