The US Open tops this week’s golf action as the 125th edition kicks off on Thursday, June 12th, 2025, from Oakmont Country Club in Pennsylvania.
Paddy Power News tipster Ben Smith has got you covered with four golf betting plays ahead of the tournament.
US Open golf betting tips
#WhatOddsPaddy – Jon Rahm & Xander Schauffele both to Finish in the Top 20 (Incl. Ties)
Top 20 Finish (Incl. Ties) – Harris English
1st Round Leader – Tony Finau (each-way)
To Miss The Cut – Justin Thomas
1st Round Leader – Tony Finau (each-way)
Tony Finau is no longer the top-10 machine he once was at majors. However, he did post a T3 at last year’s US Open, and while Muirfield Village was a blip, his long game has been steady over the past two months.
The American made a fast start at each of the four majors in 2024. He was T2 through 18 holes at the PGA Championship, and T6 after round one of the US Open.
Asking for four rounds of solid golf through the bag is a big ask for Finau, particularly considering his putting woes. But the encouraging ball striking shouldn’t be ignored and an each-way interest for Thursday appeals.
#WhatOddsPaddy – Jon Rahm & Xander Schauffele both to Finish in the Top 20 (Incl. Ties)
High finishes have come easily for Jon Rahm in LIV Golf events, with 21 consecutive top 10s since jumping ship. Now, he is translating that consistency to majors, contending at Quail Hollow after a T14 at Augusta and a T7 at last year’s Open Championship.
The Spaniard has every reason to aim for the top of the leaderboard and mount the biggest challenge to Scottie Scheffler. Given his dependability with the driver over the past year, a top-20 finish should be the baseline of his expectations.
While Xander Schauffele may not appear as primed for victory as Rahm on current form, his US Open track record of never finishing outside the top 15 makes him a perfect complement for a top-20 pairing with Rahm.
With gains from tee to green in each of his last six starts, Schauffele should remain competitive if he can find enough fairways.
Top 20 Finish (Incl. Ties) – Harris English
Narrow fairways, punishing rough, and demanding greens are hallmarks of the US Open, with Winged Foot five years ago being the most prominent example of that in recent times.
Only Bryson DeChambeau finished under par in 2020, but also notable was Harris English’s emergence as a force at a major, securing a solo fourth-place finish. Oakmont in 2025 could prove even more challenging, a setup that plays to English’s strengths and positions him for another positive showing.
Third in 2021 and T8 in 2023, English, a winner at Torrey Pines this year, is one of the straighter hitters in the field. Plus, he tends to fare well on fast greens where two-putts are the order of the day.
To Miss The Cut – Justin Thomas
Justin Thomas has missed six of his last 10 cuts at majors and has only once finished in the top 30. The two-time PGA champion has played well this year after a couple of subpar seasons, but his iron play deserted him at Quail Hollow and got even worse at the Memorial Tournament.
At Oakmont, where accuracy off the tee is paramount, things could get ugly for Thomas. He is outside the top 75 in the field for both greens in regulation and fairways found over the last 36 rounds. That won’t get it done this week.
Thomas failed to make the cut at the 2023 and 2024 US Opens, and this course is arguably an even worse fit.
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
US Open Golf betting tips
#WhatOddsPaddy – Jon Rahm & Xander Schauffele both to Finish in the Top 20 (Incl. Ties)
Top 20 Finish (Incl. Ties) – Harris English
1st Round Leader – Tony Finau (each-way)
To Miss The Cut – Justin Thomas
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