The 2025 Tour de France is just around the corner. Now that the Dauphiné has drawn to a close and the men’s Tour de Suisse reaches its conclusion, the final preparations are being made ahead of the 112th edition of the Tour, which sets off from Lille on Saturday 5th July.
All the stars are expected to line up at the start, with Tadej Pogačar, Jonas Vingegaard and Remco Evenepoel among the three most-tipped riders for overall glory in Paris on Sunday 27th July. Alongside these three, João Almeida, Primož Roglič, Matteo Jorgenson and Florian Lipowitz are among the other riders expected to be in the fight for a podium place.
For those looking to get a one-up on your mates with an elite Tour prediction or place a sneaky bet, we’ve got you covered. We’ll go through the 20 top favourites for the 2025 Tour de France – according to the betting odds – taking you through their recent performances to bring you a horse racing-style form guide.
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Tadej Pogačar (UAE Team Emirates XRG)
Xavier Pereyron
As I’m sure you’re aware, Tadej Pogačar is the reigning champion of the Tour de France. He’s also the current tenant of the rainbow jersey, the top-ranked rider in the UCI rankings and a four-time Grand Tour winner. This year the Slovenian has shown no signs of slowing down in the run-up to his attempt at a fourth Tour de France title. He won the recent Critérium du Dauphiné in dominant style and enjoyed a strong Spring Classics campaign. This precedent explains why he is the long-running and overwhelming favourite to win the 2025 Tour.
Tadej Pogačar
- Age: 26
- Tour participations: 5
- Best Tour performance: 1st (2020, 2021, 2024)
- Odds for victory: 1/2
2025 results
- Wins in 2025: 11
- WorldTour wins in 2025: 11
2025 WorldTour results (in order of most recent)
- 1st: Criterium du Dauphiné (3 stages)
- 1st: Liège-Bastogne-Liège
- 1st: Flèche Wallonne
- 2nd: Amstel Gold Race
- 2nd: Paris-Roubaix
- 1st: Tour of Flanders
- 3rd: Milan-San Remo
- 1st: Strade Bianche
- 1st: UAE Tour (2 stages)
Jonas Vingegaard (Visma-Lease a Bike)
Xavier Pereyron
Jonas Vingegaard is the closest rival to Pogačar. The two-time Tour champion has finished behind the Slovenian on two other occasions at the race, meaning that he has never finished outside the top two spots at the Tour de France. After crashing in Paris-Nice in March, the Dane has been fine-tuning his form at altitude, but a recent runner-up finish at the Dauphiné indicates that he is nearing his top form in time for July. Vingegaard will also be backed up by one of the strongest teams on paper, with Visma-Lease a Bike boasting three Grand Tour winners among their eight-man line-up.
Jonas Vingegaard
- Age: 28
- Tour participations: 4
- Best Tour performance: 1st (2022, 2023)
- Odds for victory: 2/1
2025 results
- Wins in 2025: 2
- WorldTour wins in 2025: 0
2025 WorldTour results
- 2nd: Criterium du Dauphiné
- DNF: Paris-Nice
Other 2025 results
Remco Evenepoel (Soudal-QuickStep)
Xavier Pereyron
A Belgian rider hasn’t won the Tour de France since 1976. Remco Evenepoel will be hoping to break this almost 50-year drought as he takes on his second Tour de France. The Soudal-QuickStep leader, who is also the reigning Olympic and world champion against the clock, finished in third place in his experimental debut at the race last year. He’ll be hoping for better this year, with aspirations of retaining the white jersey as well. His form has been solid since his return to racing a couple of months ago, finishing inside the top five at both the Tour de Romandie and the Critérium du Dauphiné, winning time-trials at both. His climbing legs, however, may need some more training before he hits out at Tour glory.
Remco Evenepoel
- Age: 25
- Tour participations: 1
- Best Tour performance: 3rd (2024)
- Odds for victory: 12/1
2025 results
- Wins in 2025: 3
- WorldTour wins in 2025: 2
2025 WorldTour results
- 4th: Criterium du Dauphiné (1 stage win)
- 5th: Tour de Romandie (1 stage win)
- 59th: Liège-Bastogne-Liège
- 9th: Flèche Wallonne
- 3rd: Amstel Gold Race
Other 2025 results
João Almeida (UAE Team Emirates XRG)
Tim de Waele via Getty Images
João Almeida will enter the Tour de France as the fourth favourite for glory, according to betting comparison site Oddschecker. The Portuguese rider made a strong impression on debut last year, finishing in fourth place. It’s likely that he’ll play a supporting role for Pogačar like last year, but a podium finish is definitely within his reach. Almeida’s form has been impeccable this year, with two big GC titles at the Tour de Romandie and Volta a Catalunya. He’s currently climbing well at the Tour de Suisse, so don’t be surprised if he manages to overtake the likes of Evenepoel and Roglič in the final GC standings.
João Almeida
- Age: 26
- Tour participations: 1
- Best Tour performance: 4th (2024)
- Odds for victory: 22/1
2025 results
- Wins in 2025: 5
- WorldTour wins in 2025: 5
2025 WorldTour results
- In progress: Tour de Suisse
- 1st: Tour de Romandie
- 1st: Itzulia Basque Country (2 stages)
- 6th: Paris-Nice (1 stage)
- 1st: Volta a Catalunya (2 stages)
Other 2025 results
- 2nd: Volta ao Algarve
- 2nd: Volta Comunitat Valenciana
Primož Roglič (Red Bull-Bora-Hansgrohe)
Szymon Gruchalski/Getty Images
The Tour de France is the only Grand Tour title missing from Primož Roglič’s collection. As a five-time Grand Tour winner, he’s undoubtedly one of the top riders in a three-week format, with several Tour stage wins to his name already. This year though, he is a risky bet. He hasn’t finished his three most recent Tour de France appearances, and he’s coming off a Giro in which he crashed out once again. With internal pressure from young lieutenant Florian Lipowitz, the experienced Slovenian isn’t in the best of stead ahead of the 112th Tour de France.
Primož Roglič
- Age: 35
- Tour participations: 6
- Best Tour performance: 2nd (2020)
- Odds for victory: 30/1
2025 results
- Wins in 2025: 3
- WorldTour wins in 2025: 3
2025 WorldTour results
- DNF: Giro d’Italia
- 1st: Volta a Catalunya (2 stages)
Other 2025 results
Florian Lipowitz (Red Bull-Bora-Hansgrohe)
Xavier Pereyron
One of the fastest odds to narrow in recent weeks is Florian Lipowitz. Like Jorgenson, the German is expected to ride in a super domestique role for the more tried and tested leader, Primož Roglič. However his recent stage race results show that he is one of the more consistent riders in terms of pre-Tour form. He’s ridden three WorldTour races this year and finished inside the top four at all of them, including a third-place finish at last week’s Dauphiné. As a result, many consider Lipwoitz as a strong contender for the white jersey, and even a dark horse for the podium.
Florian Lipowitz
- Age: 24
- Tour participations: 0
- Best Tour performance: N/A
- Odds for victory: 35/1
2025 results
- Wins in 2025: 0
- WorldTour wins in 2025: 0
2025 WorldTour results
- 3rd: Critérium du Dauphiné
- 4th: Itzulia Basque Country
- 2nd: Paris-Nice
Matteo Jorgenson (Visma-Lease a Bike)
A.S.O./Billy Ceusters
Matteo Jorgenson will be riding the Tour de France as a luxury domestique for Jonas Vingegaard. That said, he’s got a strong record in stage races as of late, with two Paris-Nice victories to his name over the past two years and a silver medal at last year’s Dauphiné. For now, the American’s odds are perhaps inflated by the bookmakers due to his team’s rich pedigree in Grand Tours. However, if anything happens to Vingegaard on the road, expect Jorgenson to snatch the leadership role with both hands.
Matteo Jorgenson
- Age: 25
- Tour participations: 3
- Best Tour performance: 8th (2024)
- Odds for victory: 50/1
2025 results
- Wins in 2025: 1
- WorldTour wins in 2025: 1
2025 WorldTour results
- 6th: Critérium du Dauphiné
- 47th: Tour of Flanders
- 4th: Dwaars door Vlaanderen
- 30th: Gent-Wevelgem
- 9th: E3 Saxo Bank Classic
- 1st: Paris-Nice
Simon Yates (Visma-Lease a Bike)
Luca Bettini/AFP via Getty Image
Fresh from his emotional victory at the Giro d’Italia last month, Simon Yates will be packing his bags for another Grand Tour this summer. After acting as team leader in Italy, the British rider will be here to support the interests of Jonas Vingegaard in the GC. He’s been downplaying his own chances, but given his experience, he may be hoping to replicate his brother’s 2023 Tour, in which he claimed a podium spot while on similar domestique duties.
Simon Yates
- Age: 32
- Tour participations: 7
- Best Tour performance: 4th (2023)
- Odds for victory: 100/1
2025 results
- Wins in 2025: 1
- WorldTour wins in 2025: 1
2025 WorldTour results
- 1st: Giro d’Italia
- 9th: Volta a Catalunya
- 14th: Tirreno-Adriatico
Richard Carapaz (EF Education-EasyPost)
Luca Bettini/AFP via Getty Images
Like Yates, Richard Carapaz will be dropped into the Tour after competing in the Giro d’Italia last month. The Ecuadorian cracked the podium at the Italian race and picked up a stage along the way. He’ll be piloting EF Education-EasyPost’s squad in the mountains, with Ben Healy and Neilson Powless for support. The South American has been cautious about his GC hopes, however, so he will most likely chase breakaways and a second polka-dot jersey to match last year’s effort.
Richard Carapaz
- Age: 32
- Tour participations: 4
- Best Tour performance: 3rd (2021)
- Odds for victory: 100/1
2025 results
- Wins in 2025: 1
- WorldTour wins in 2025: 1
2025 WorldTour results
- 3rd: Giro d’Italia
- 10th: Volta a Catalunya
- 18th: Tirreno-Adriatico
- 78th: Strade Bianche
Felix Gall (Decathlon-AG2R La Mondiale)
A.S.O./Billy Ceusters
Austrian rider Felix Gall had a breakthrough Tour in 2023, winning the queen stage to Courchevel en route to claiming a career best result in the GC in eight place. Decathlon-AG2R La Mondiale have high expectations for the 27-year-old, as the Lillois team hope to make the top ten once again, especially with the Tour starting on home roads. This year, however, Gall’s form has wobbled at times. A fifth at the Tour of the Alps in April, on the other hand, showed some sign of strength, which would later be backed up by some strong climbing performances at the Tour de Suisse.
Felix Gall
- Age: 27
- Tour participations: 2
- Best Tour performance: 8th (2023)
- Odds for victory: 150/1
2025 results
- Wins in 2025: 0
- WorldTour wins in 2025: 0
2025 WorldTour results
- In progress: Tour de Suisse
- DNF: Volta a Catalunya
- 18th: Paris-Nice
- 18th: UAE Tour
Other 2025 results
Ben O’Connor (Jayco-AlUla)
A.S.O./Billy Ceusters
After finally reaching the Grand Tour podium last year, Ben O’Connor has been fast-tracked into Jayco-AlUla’s Tour roster after making the jump across to the Australian team over the winter. In his Tour de France appearances, we’ve seen a mixed bag of results. During the 2022 and 2023 Tours, O’Connor was cooked by the time the race hit the mountains. This year, he’s coming in with fewer big results to his name, but a solid Tour de Suisse could help to rally morale around the Australian.
Ben O’Connor
- Age: 29
- Tour participations: 3
- Best Tour performance: 4th (2021)
- Odds for victory: 150/1
2025 results
- Wins in 2025: 0
- WorldTour wins in 2025: 0
2025 WorldTour results
- In progress: Tour de Suisse
- 44th: Liège-Bastogne-Liège
- 37th: Flèche Wallonne
- DNF: Amstel Gold Race
- 12th: Volta a Catalunya
- 14th: Paris-Nice
Other 2025 results
- 10th: Volta Comunitat Valenciana
Enric Mas (Movistar)
A.S.O./Tony Esnault
Coming in with odds around 150/1, Enric Mas is the best-tipped contender from Spain. The Movistar leader, who finished on the Vuelta podium last autumn, has had some mixed form over the past few months. After some rather blunt results in the spring, Mas bounced back into some form at the Dauphiné. The Spaniard’s recent Tour record has been patchy, however, and the pressure will be on for Movistar, who haven’t won a stage at the Tour since 2019.
Enric Mas
- Age: 30
- Tour participations: 6
- Best Tour performance: 5th (2020)
- Odds for victory: 150/1
2025 results
- Wins in 2025: 0
- WorldTour wins in 2025: 0
2025 WorldTour results
- 7th: Critérium du Dauphiné
- 99th: Liège-Bastogne-Liège
- DNF: Flèche Wallonne
- 39th: Volta a Catalunya
Other 2025 results
- 9th: Faun-Ardèche Classic
- 18th: Volta Comunitat Valenciana
Carlos Rodríguez (Ineos Grenadiers)
A.S.O./Tony Esnault
Ineos Grenadiers’ GC leader this July is expected to be Carlos Rodríguez. The Spaniard, who won a mountain stage at the 2023 Tour, will be the frontman of a strong squad that will also include Laurens De Plus, Tobias Foss and Thymen Arensman. Rodríguez has never finished outside the top ten overall at a Grand Tour. Yes, he’s only competed in four, but at his young age, this record can’t be overlooked. That consistency has bled into the 2025 season, given the Ineos rider hasn’t finished outside the top ten at the three stage races he’s finished this year.
Carlos Rodríguez
- Age: 24
- Tour participations: 2
- Best Tour performance: 5th (2023)
- Odds for victory: 150/1
2025 results
- Wins in 2025: 0
- WorldTour wins in 2025: 0
2025 WorldTour results
- 9th: Critérium du Dauphiné
- 6th: Tour de Romandie
- 33rd: Liège-Bastogne-Liège
- DNF: UAE Tour
Other 2025 results
- 6th: Volta Comunitat Valenciana
Mattias Skjelmose (Lidl-Trek)
A.S.O./Billy Ceusters
Another white jersey contender, Denmark’s Mattias Skjelmose will be Lidl-Trek’s leader in the mountains. The 24-year-old has shown some real signs of growth over the past year, with a top five at last year’s Vuelta and a big Classics win this spring at the Amstel Gold Race. Credit where credit’s due, Skjelmose is the only rider on this list to defeat Tadej Pogačar head-to-head on a road stage this year. He may be slightly unproven at the Tour, but Skjelmose is courageous enough to shake things up in the GC fight.
Mattias Skjelmose
- Age: 24
- Tour participations: 1
- Best Tour performance: 29th (2023)
- Odds for victory: 150/1
2025 results
- Wins in 2025: 1
- WorldTour wins in 2025: 1
2025 WorldTour results
- 39th: Liège-Bastogne-Liège
- DNF: Flèche Wallonne
- 1st: Amstel Gold Race
- DNF: Paris-Nice
Other 2025 results
- 2nd: Faun-Drome Classic
- 6th: Faun-Ardèche Classic
Sepp Kuss (Visma-Lease a Bike)
Xavier Pereyron
2023 Vuelta a España champion Sepp Kuss is the fourth Visma-Lease a Bike rider to feature in this top echelon of Tour contenders. The Colorado native has been Jonas Vingegaard’s anchor in the mountains over the past few editions, acting as a pivotal player in the Alps and Pyrenees. It’s likely that he’ll play this role again, but with seven uphill finishes on the parcours, Kuss may hang around in the GC.
Sepp Kuss
- Age: 30
- Tour participations: 4
- Best Tour performance: 12th (2023)
- Odds for victory: 200/1
2025 results
- Wins in 2025: 0
- WorldTour wins in 2025: 0
2025 WorldTour results
- 13th: Critérium du Dauphiné
- DNF: Itzulia Basque Country
- 23rd: Volta a Catalunya
- DNF: Paris-Nice
Other 2025 results
Lenny Martinez (Bahrain Victorious)
Xavier Pereyron
French hopes will be pinned on Lenny Martinez at this year’s Tour de France. The 21-year-old, who will celebrate his birthday on Stage 7, has been on spectacular form since moving to Bahrain Victorious at the start of the season. During a packed first half of the season, the Frenchman claimed three WorldTour stage victories on top of two top five finishes overall at high-profile week-long races. He’s a strong climber and his time-trialling results have certainly improved in 2025. A top ten, therefore, shouldn’t be too out of his reach.
Lenny Martinez
- Age: 21
- Tour participations: 1
- Best Tour performance: 124th (2024)
- Odds for victory: 200/1
2025 results
- Wins in 2025: 3
- WorldTour wins in 2025: 3
2025 WorldTour results
- 28th: Critérium du Dauphiné (1 stage)
- 2nd: Tour de Romandie (1 stage)
- 4th: Flèche Wallonne
- 5th: Volta a Catalunya
- 24th: Paris-Nice (1 stage)
Other 2025 results
- 3rd: Tour des Alpes Maritimes
- 8th: Classic Var
- 11th: Volta Comunitat Valenciana
Geraint Thomas (Ineos Grenadiers)
A.S.O./Billy Ceusters
Ineos Grenadiers veteran Geraint Thomas is set to ride his final Tour de France before retiring at the end of 2025. The former champion has gone well at the Grand Boucle, with two further podium finishes to his name. At the age of 39 though, he’ll be hoping to become the oldest podium finisher at the Tour in over a decade. The bookies have him as the 15th favourite for yellow in Paris, with odds close around 250/1. This may be a little optimistic, however, given the Welshman has failed to crack the top ten of a stage race so far this season. Instead of hunting for the yellow jersey, Thomas may be more enticed by the prospect of fighting for stages during his final Tour de France.
Geraint Thomas
- Age: 39
- Tour participations: 13
- Best Tour performance: 1st (2018)
- Odds for victory: 250/1
2025 results
- Wins in 2025: 0
- WorldTour wins in 2025: 0
2025 WorldTour results
- DNF: Tour de Suisse
- 28th: Tour de Romandie
- 93rd: Liège-Bastogne-Liège
- 45th: Volta a Catalunya
- 110th: Milan-San Remo
- 129th: Tour Down Under
Other 2025 results
Aleksandr Vlasov (Red Bull-Bora-Hansgrohe)
A.S.O./Billy Ceusters
It’s fair to say that Aleksandr Vlasov hasn’t quite been in Grand Tour winning form so far this year. The Russian is yet to finish inside the top ten at a stage race in 2025, and there have been no stage wins or breakaway exploits to really write home about. Instead, it looks as though Vlasov will be looking after Roglič and Lipowitz in the mountains, so it’s hard to imagine the 29-year-old surpassing his fifth-place finish from the 2022 edition.
Aleksandr Vlasov
- Age: 29
- Tours participations: 2
- Best Tour performance: 5th (2022)
- Odds for victory: 250-1
2025 results
- Wins in 2025: 0
- WorldTour wins in 2025: 0
2025 WorldTour results
- In progress: Tour de Suisse
- 24th: Tour de Romandie
- 47th: Itzulia Basque Country
- 35th: Paris-Nice
Other 2025 results
- 17th: Volta Comunitat Valenciana
Santiago Buitrago (Bahrain Victorious)
A.S.O./Tony Esnault
Santiago Buitrago made a strong debut at the Tour de France last year, slipping into the top ten overall in Nice. This year the Colombian had a strong early-season period, with overall victory and two stage victories at the competitive Volta Comunitat Valenciana. That spread into a solid French block of racing before failing to complete Paris-Nice. Since then, he’s struggled to return to form in stage races, having abandoned the recent Critérium du Dauphiné. Although the Tour’s top bracket might seem a long way off for Buitrago, don’t count him out for a stage win.
Santiago Buitrago
- Age: 25
- Tour participations: 1
- Best Tour performance: 10th (2024)
- Odds for victory: 250/1
2025 results
- Wins in 2025: 0
- WorldTour wins in 2025: 0
2025 WorldTour results
- DNF: Critérium du Dauphhiné
- 37th: Liège-Bastogne-Liège
- 6th: Flèche Wallonne
- 29th: Amstel Gold Race
- 13th: Itzulia Basque Country
- DNF: Paris-Nice
Other 2025 results
- 2nd: Tour des Alpes-Maritimes
- 5th: Classic Var
- 1st: Volta Comunitat Valenciana (2 stages)
Tobias Halland Johannessen (Uno X Mobility)
A.S.O./Tony Esnault
The only rider from a UCI ProTeam to feature on this list, Tobias Halland Johannessen’s odds have been narrowing since his fifth-place finish at the Dauphiné. The Norwegian looked strong, even dropping Remco Evenepoel on Stage 7’s mountaintop finish to Valmeinier 1800. Now with two Tour de France appearances under his belt, Johannessen is far more experienced in the Grand Tour circus, and his recent stage race results point to a strong GC campaign for Uno X, who have never finished inside the top ten at a three-weeker.
Tobias Halland Johannessen
- Age: 25
- Tours participations: 2
- Best Tour performance: 30th (2023)
- Odds for victory: 250-1
2025 results
- Wins in 2025: 0
- WorldTour wins in 2025: 0
2025 WorldTour results
- 5th: Criterium du Dauphiné
- 39th: Milan-San Remo
- 11th: Tirreno-Adriatico
- 23rd: Strade Bianche
Other 2025 results
- 3rd: Milano-Torino
- 16th: Volta Comunitat Valenciana
