Air France-KLM (ENXTPA:AF) shares have seen varied performance over the past month, drawing renewed interest from market watchers. With passenger demand shifting and cost controls in focus, investors are weighing the stock’s recent returns and outlook.
See our latest analysis for Air France-KLM.
After a robust rally earlier in the year, Air France-KLM’s momentum has eased in recent weeks, with a year-to-date share price return of 39.1% but more modest gains over the past quarter. Long-term investors have seen a total shareholder return of 23.1% over the past year, highlighting the stock’s recovery. However, three- and five-year figures remain in negative territory as the business continues its turnaround.
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With the stock’s strong run earlier this year now slowing, the main question for investors is whether Air France-KLM remains undervalued at these levels or if the market has already priced in its recovery and future growth potential.
Air France-KLM’s shares are trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of just 3.1x, which is well below its immediate peers and the wider airlines industry. This signals the market may be skeptical about ongoing profitability, but the low multiple attracts value-focused investors looking for stocks trading below their intrinsic worth.
The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio reflects how much investors are willing to pay for each euro of company earnings. For airlines, the P/E ratio is closely watched, as industry dynamics can lead to sharp swings in profits and investor sentiment. A lower P/E often indicates the market is not pricing in strong growth or may be undervaluing the underlying earnings power.
Currently, Air France-KLM’s P/E of 3.1x is substantially lower than the global airlines industry average of 8.9x, and even further below the peer group average of 55.7x. This considerable discount becomes even more pronounced when compared to an estimated “fair” P/E ratio of 13.9x, a level the market could move towards if the turnaround story continues to unfold.
Explore the SWS fair ratio for Air France-KLM
Result: Price-to-Earnings of 3.1x (UNDERVALUED)
However, persistent challenges such as modest revenue growth and ongoing industry pressures could quickly reverse the current positive momentum in Air France-KLM shares.
Find out about the key risks to this Air France-KLM narrative.
Taking a different approach, the SWS DCF model values Air France-KLM shares far above their current price. This indicates they may be trading more than 70% below estimated fair value. This method suggests the market could be overlooking the company’s long-term cash-generating potential. Which approach is closer to the mark?
Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
AF Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Air France-KLM for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match – so you never miss a potential opportunity.
If you want to dig into the numbers yourself or reach a different conclusion, you can pull together your own perspective in just a few minutes, and Do it your way.
A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Air France-KLM.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include AF.PA.
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