Form analyst Brad Waters looks at Thursday’s meeting at Warrnambool, presenting his best bets, jockey to follow and lay of the day.

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BEST BET

Race 5 No.4 VALLEY KING: Unlucky not to score at Bendigo and gave too much start at Sandown. Expecting sharp improvement if he gets back on heavy ground on Thursday.

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NEXT BEST

Race 1 No.7 EIRE OF FORTUNE: The Symon Wilde-trained filly has looked promising in her recent jumpouts and looks well suited on debut on her home track.

Race 4 No.2 BELLONADO: He’s racing well this time in and hasn’t had the best of luck at his last two runs. The Daniel Bowman-trained gelding might be looking for 2000m now.

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VALUE BET

Race 8 No.3 JUST BOLTS: Wasn’t far away on the synthetic last time out and he’ll be hard fit for four runs this time in. He’ll be hard to run down getting back on the turf.

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LAY OF THE DAY
Race 6 No.7 MY ANGEL SHELL: Has been up for a while and had every chance to post a win at his last three runs. He has a tough gate and is untried on heavy ground.

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THE JOCKEYLINDA MEECH
The consistent hoop heads to Warrnambool for six rides on Wednesday. FRENCH NAVY (Race 2 No.10), CLISTE (Race 3 No.8), MANGIONE (Race 4 No.1), EYES TO ME (Race 5 No.11), WORLD ACTION (Race 6 No.9), SOUTHERN CRESCENT (Race 8 No.12).