{"id":1002649,"date":"2026-06-03T12:45:09","date_gmt":"2026-06-03T12:45:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/1002649\/"},"modified":"2026-06-03T12:45:09","modified_gmt":"2026-06-03T12:45:09","slug":"iran-war-brings-reversal-of-fortunes-for-uk-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/1002649\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran war brings \u2018reversal of fortunes\u2019 for UK economy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\t\t\tWednesday 03 June 2026 10:50 am\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p><img width=\"742\" height=\"495\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/1709-Shopping-Oxford-Street-High-street-2.jpg\" class=\"media \" alt=\"Three in five Brits believe the UK economy is worsening, a new poll ran by KPMG has shown.\" fetchpriority=\"high\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"sync\"  \/>\t\tThe UK economy&#8217;s services sector is suffering from reduced consumer spending.\t<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A combination of feverish political speculation and knock on effects from the war in Iran has culminated in a \u201creversal of fortunes\u201d for the UK economy, as new data suggests activity across the private sector declined in May.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S&amp;P Global\u2019s monthly survey of hundreds of firms has shown that business across services companies declined in May, ending a 13-month run of growth.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The composite purchasing managers\u2019 index (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pmi.spglobal.com\/Public\/Home\/PressRelease\/2b519e00bf5041ef8f24470d4d659704\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">PMI<\/a>), the score tracking activity across the UK economy, dropped below the 50-figure threshold for neutrality in activity.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The drop was described as a \u201csetback\u201d for the UK economy as services firms were hit by reduced consumer spending across travel, tourism and leisure.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Firms attributed the drop in activity to political uncertainty and concerns about the effects of the Iran war, which has disrupted global trade and raised fears of supply shortages.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tim Moore, economics director for S&amp;P Global, said the decline across the services sector \u201csignalled a reversal of fortunes in May\u201d as the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cityam.com\/reeves-warned-iran-war-oil-shock-will-lead-to-government-borrowing-spike\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">impact<\/a> of the Iran war is now set to be felt across the UK economy.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cMany service sector companies noted that the Middle East conflict had an adverse impact on sales pipelines and general business prospects,\u201d Moore said.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\tRead more<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<a class=\"read-more__link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cityam.com\/record-4bn-revenue-for-accountancy-firms-may-reinforce-hawkish-rate-outlook\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Record \u00a34bn revenue for accountancy firms \u2018may reinforce\u2019 hawkish rate outlook\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThose in the hospitality and transportation sectors typically commented on squeezed discretionary spending and pressure from sharply rising input costs, while professional services firms reported a setback from rising risk aversion among clients.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>UK economy set for \u2018stagflationary\u2019 outlook<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A rise in cost burdens on businesses eased slightly from April\u2019s three-and-a-half-year high although the majority of respondents to the survey reported higher input prices.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The rate of output pricing was lower than in April but firms said they were prepared to pass through the costs of higher fuel prices and payroll costs onto buyers.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The survey also showed export sales easing in May and employers taking a more \u201ccautious\u201d approach on taking on more workers.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The pace of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cityam.com\/nearly-1m-young-brits-not-in-work-as-reeves-told-to-help-youth\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">job shedding<\/a> was the fastest it has been since February, according to researchers.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WPI Strategy chief economist Martin Beck said the data suggested \u201cthe outlook has become more <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cityam.com\/stagflation-to-batter-uk-economy-as-growth-grinds-to-halt\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">stagflationary<\/a> than it appeared only a few months ago\u201d.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He added: \u201cThe key question now is whether the recovery seen earlier this year can withstand a period of elevated global uncertainty. May PMIs suggest it has weakened, but not yet been derailed.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\tRead more<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<a class=\"read-more__link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cityam.com\/firms-accelerate-job-cuts-as-12-month-growth-run-ends\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Firms accelerate job cuts as 12-month growth run ends\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\tSimilarly tagged content: <\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tSections\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tCategories\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tPeople &amp; Organisations\t\t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Wednesday 03 June 2026 10:50 am The UK economy&#8217;s services sector is suffering from reduced consumer spending. A&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1002650,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3090],"tags":[51,3647,1700,83163,528,12,5166,619,16,10051,10788,15],"class_list":["post-1002649","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economics","tag-economy","tag-iran-war","tag-labour-party","tag-news","tag-pmi","tag-rachel-reeves","tag-uk","tag-uk-economy","tag-uk-government","tag-united-kingdom"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/116686248318532031","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1002649","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1002649"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1002649\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1002650"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1002649"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1002649"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1002649"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}