{"id":1044656,"date":"2026-06-23T09:09:33","date_gmt":"2026-06-23T09:09:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/1044656\/"},"modified":"2026-06-23T09:09:33","modified_gmt":"2026-06-23T09:09:33","slug":"the-benefits-headache-ahead-for-burnham-and-what-he-can-learn-from-germany","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/1044656\/","title":{"rendered":"The benefits headache ahead for Burnham \u2013 and what he can learn from Germany"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a class=\"post_in-line_link\" href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/topic\/andy-burnham?ico=in-line_link\" id=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/topic\/andy-burnham\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Andy Burnham<\/a> faces hugely difficult decisions on the size of the military and the welfare state if he <a class=\"post_in-line_link\" href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/politics\/what-happens-now-starmer-has-resigned-and-how-quickly-could-new-pm-be-in-no10-4412583?ico=in-line_link\" id=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/politics\/what-happens-now-starmer-has-resigned-and-how-quickly-could-new-pm-be-in-no10-4412583\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">replaces Keir Starmer as prime minister<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>One of Britain\u2019s closest European allies is already <a class=\"post_in-line_link\" href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/politics\/burnham-pm-would-benefit-cuts-pensions-4481359?ico=in-line_link\" id=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/politics\/burnham-pm-would-benefit-cuts-pensions-4481359\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">navigating these twin spending headaches<\/a> \u2013 offering some potentially valuable lessons to Team Burnham if they make it to Downing Street.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"post_in-line_link\" href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/topic\/germany?srsltid=AfmBOoopgdtStUDf_SQA9RCLAJgn1MA24bwCn_YZQseoYUio-IZTrpLZ&amp;ico=in-line_link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Germany<\/a> is embarking on major benefit cuts while ramping up defence expenditure to levels unseen since the Second World War.<\/p>\n<p>\n\t\t\tShorts\n\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tScroll to previous short<br \/>\n\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/wp-content\/themes\/inews-theme\/assets\/images\/chevron.svg\" alt=\"\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tScroll to next short<br \/>\n\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/wp-content\/themes\/inews-theme\/assets\/images\/chevron.svg\" alt=\"\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/wp-content\/themes\/inews-theme\/assets\/images\/chevron.svg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"675\" width=\"1200\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/SEI_262143722.jpg\" alt=\"Close Up Of Diabetic Girl On Bed In At Home Using Insulin Pen To Measure To Check Blood Sugar Level\" class=\"wp-image-4226018\" style=\"aspect-ratio:16\/9;object-fit:cover\"  \/>Caption: Close Up Of Diabetic Girl On Bed In At Home Using Insulin Pen To Measure To Check Blood Sugar Level<br \/>Photographer: monkeybusinessimages<br \/>Provider: Getty Images<br \/>Source: iStockphoto<\/p>\n<p>How new type 1 diabetes drug welcomes \u2018new age of treatment\u2019<\/p>\n<p>A new drug which can delay the onset of type 1 diabetes for up to three years will be made available on the NHS, in what experts have called a \u201clandmark moment\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Teplizumab could help 1,100 people in first year<\/p>\n<p>Teplizumab is a first-of-its-kind therapy, approved for children aged eight and over and adults who have type 1 diabetes in its early stage before symptoms appear.<\/p>\n<p>By delaying the onset of type 1 diabetes, it means those with early symptoms can live a fuller life before having to manage their condition with insulin.<\/p>\n<p>\t<a class=\"inews--shorts-card--article_thumbnail post_in-line_link\" href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/health\/diabetes-complications-steps-prevention-3646030?ico=in-line_link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"><br \/>\n\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/SEI_247840061.jpg\" width=\"110\" height=\"110\" alt=\"\"\/><br \/>\n\t<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"inews--shorts-card--article_label\">HEALTH<\/p>\n<p class=\"inews--shorts-card--article_min-read\">4 min read<\/p>\n<p>\t<a class=\"inews--shorts-card--article_thumbnail post_in-line_link\" href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/diabetics-insulin-jabs-end-arm-pancreas-2910497?ico=in-line_link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"><br \/>\n\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/SEI_160107502.jpg\" width=\"110\" height=\"110\" alt=\"\"\/><br \/>\n\t<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"inews--shorts-card--article_label\">NEWS<\/p>\n<p class=\"inews--shorts-card--article_min-read\">3 min read<\/p>\n<p>The expert view<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\" style=\"position: relative;\">\n<p>For the first time in 100 years, we are moving beyond insulin, with a medicine that targets the root cause of the condition. This is an extraordinary moment for celebration in the type 1 diabetes community, and represents a shift towards a future where type 1 diabetes can be prevented altogether.<\/p>\n<p>Dr Elizabeth Robertson, director of research at Diabetes UK<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"960\" height=\"641\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/shutterstock_240701866-e1506078285146.jpg\" alt=\"A common diabetes drug could be used in combination with insulin to prevent heart attacks in diabetics.\" class=\"wp-image-92767\" style=\"aspect-ratio:16\/9;object-fit:cover\"  \/>About 30 per cent of diabetics use insulin (Photo: Shutterstock)<\/p>\n<p>How Teplizumab works<\/p>\n<p>About 400,000 people in the UK have type 1 diabetes, a lifelong condition which causes the immune system to attack insulin-producing cells in the pancreas.<\/p>\n<p>Teplizumab trains the immune system to stop attacking those cells.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Teplizumab is given through a drip into a vein once a day for 14 days in a row.<\/li>\n<li>Each infusion takes at least 30 minutes.<\/li>\n<li>The dose starts low and is gradually increased over the first few days of treatment.<\/li>\n<li>It is a one-time course of treatment.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\n\u2018Detecting type 1 diabetes early is key\u2019\n<\/p>\n<p>Identifying those with the condition early means they could then be eligible for teplizumab. In the UK, there are currently two studies looking at screening for type 1 diabetes: the Elsa study for children aged two to 17, and the T1DRA study for adults 18-70.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"512\" width=\"640\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/SEI_281814865.jpg\" alt=\"A mother helps her child monitor his blood glucose\" class=\"wp-image-4188678\" style=\"aspect-ratio:5\/4;object-fit:cover;width:204px\"  \/>(Photo: Svetlana Repnitskaya\/Getty).<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"675\" width=\"640\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/GettyImages-2161658691.jpg\" alt=\"Elderly patient with diabetes using blood glucose meter. - stock photo\" class=\"wp-image-4196712\" style=\"aspect-ratio:9\/10;object-fit:cover;width:195px\"\/>Elderly patient with diabetes using blood glucose meter. \u2013 stock photo. (Photo: Getty)<\/p>\n<p>The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence estimates that around 1,100 people could be eligible for teplizumab in the first year, dropping to around 820 patients in the coming years.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"675\" width=\"1200\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/SEI_300604650.jpg\" alt=\"This is a generic photo of a man looking as his total sleep data on a smartwatch. See PA Feature WELLBEING Sleep. WARNING: This picture must only be used to accompany PA feature WELLBEING Sleep PA Photo. Picture credit should read: Alamy\/PA. NOTE TO EDITORS: This picture must only be used to accompany PA Feature WELLBEING Sleep.\" class=\"wp-image-4495791\" style=\"aspect-ratio:16\/9;object-fit:cover\"  \/>Caption: This is a generic photo of a man looking as his total sleep data on a smartwatch. See PA Feature WELLBEING Sleep. WARNING: This picture must only be used to accompany PA feature WELLBEING Sleep PA Photo. Picture credit should read: Alamy\/PA. <\/p>\n<p>NOTE TO EDITORS: This picture must only be used to accompany PA Feature WELLBEING Sleep.<br \/>Photographer: Alamy\/PA<br \/>Provider: Alamy\/PA<\/p>\n<p class=\"inews--shorts-card--badge\">TECHNOLOGy<\/p>\n<p>Drivers told not to use a\u00a0smartwatch\u00a0behind the wheel<\/p>\n<p>Drivers are being urged not to use smartwatches behind the wheel, with legislation covering the gadgets described as \u201cunclear\u201d. <\/p>\n<p>The RAC, which issued the plea, said motorists could fall foul of handheld phone rules if they clear notifications on smartwatches.<\/p>\n<p>How owners are \u2018in the dark\u2019<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The motoring services company warned that smartwatch owners are \u201cin the dark\u201d about the rules for using while driving.<\/li>\n<li>It commissioned a survey which suggested 40 per cent of motorists who drive at least once a month own a smartwatch, rising to 73 per cent among 17-34 year-olds.<\/li>\n<li>Some 22 per cent of respondents with smartwatches said they touch them while on the road.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\t<a class=\"inews--shorts-card--article_thumbnail post_in-line_link\" href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/reform-green-policies-ev-solar-panels-4450608?ico=in-line_link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"><br \/>\n\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/SEI_299952018.jpg\" width=\"110\" height=\"110\" alt=\"\"\/><br \/>\n\t<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"inews--shorts-card--article_label\">Analysis<\/p>\n<p class=\"inews--shorts-card--article_min-read\">4 min read<\/p>\n<p>\nA closer look at the detail\n<\/p>\n<p>The RAC described these actions as \u201cpotential causes of distraction\u201d but stated people doing them \u201ccannot be sure whether they are committing an offence\u201d.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"512\" width=\"640\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/SEI_300604767.jpg\" alt=\"This is a generic photo of a woman sitting up in bed looking at sleep tracking data on a smartwatch. See PA Feature WELLBEING Sleep. WARNING: This picture must only be used to accompany PA feature WELLBEING Sleep PA Photo. Picture credit should read: Alamy\/PA. NOTE TO EDITORS: This picture must only be used to accompany PA Feature WELLBEING Sleep.\" class=\"wp-image-4495792\" style=\"aspect-ratio:5\/4;object-fit:cover;width:204px\"  \/>Caption: This is a generic photo of a woman sitting up in bed looking at sleep tracking data on a smartwatch.  See PA Feature WELLBEING Sleep. WARNING: This picture must only be used to accompany PA feature WELLBEING Sleep PA Photo. Picture credit should read: Alamy\/PA. <\/p>\n<p>NOTE TO EDITORS: This picture must only be used to accompany PA Feature WELLBEING Sleep.<br \/>Photographer: Alamy\/PA<br \/>Provider: Alamy\/PA<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"507\" width=\"760\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/SEI_300604646.jpg\" alt=\"This is a generic photo of a smartwatch displaying sleep stage data. See PA Feature WELLBEING Sleep. WARNING: This picture must only be used to accompany PA feature WELLBEING Sleep PA Photo. Picture credit should read: Alamy\/PA. NOTE TO EDITORS: This picture must only be used to accompany PA Feature WELLBEING Sleep.\" class=\"wp-image-4495794\" style=\"aspect-ratio:9\/10;object-fit:cover;width:195px\"  \/>Caption: This is a generic photo of a smartwatch displaying sleep stage data. See PA Feature WELLBEING Sleep. WARNING: This picture must only be used to accompany PA feature WELLBEING Sleep PA Photo. Picture credit should read: Alamy\/PA.<\/p>\n<p>NOTE TO EDITORS: This picture must only be used to accompany PA Feature WELLBEING Sleep.<br \/>Photographer: Alamy\/PA<br \/>Provider: Alamy\/PA<\/p>\n<p>It is illegal to use a hand-held mobile phone while driving. In the majority of cases this carries a punishment of six points and a \u00a3200 fine.<\/p>\n<p>The expert view<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\" style=\"position: relative;\">\n<p>Current legislation on smartwatches is unclear and could lead to drivers unwittingly paying the price. As\u00a0smartwatch\u00a0ownership becomes the norm for younger drivers, their use on the road is only likely to grow. Lawmakers need to get ahead of this issue.<\/p>\n<p>RAC road safety spokesman Rod Dennis<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"675\" width=\"1200\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/SEI_261303365.jpg\" alt=\"File photo dated 18\/04\/25 of motorway traffic on the M5 motorway near Burnham-on-Sea, Somerset. The average age of cars on UK roads has reached a record high of nearly 10 years, sparking environmental fears. Issue date: Wednesday August 6, 2025. PA Photo. Motoring research charity the RAC Foundation, which conducted the research, said drivers are benefiting from the improved \" build-quality=\"\" of=\"\" modern=\"\" cars=\"\" but=\"\" this=\"\" is=\"\" news=\"\" for=\"\" the=\"\" environment=\"\" as=\"\" it=\"\" slowing=\"\" switch=\"\" to=\"\" electric=\"\" models.=\"\" photo=\"\" credit=\"\" should=\"\" read:=\"\" ben=\"\" birchall=\"\" wire=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3875225\" style=\"aspect-ratio:16\/9;object-fit:cover\"  \/>Motoring groups are worried about tax changes (Photo: Ben Birchall\/PA Wire)<\/p>\n<p class=\"inews--shorts-card--badge\">SCIENCE<\/p>\n<p>Why this heatwave could be more dangerous and feel worse than ever<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/SEI_302435950-e1782142008395.jpg\" alt=\"\" style=\"aspect-ratio:16\/9;object-fit:cover\"\/> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/1782205769_572_DM-Clare-Wilson-8815.jpg\" alt=\"\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1;object-fit:cover\"\/> <\/p>\n<p class=\"inews--shorts-card--byline_name\">Clare Wilson<\/p>\n<p class=\"inews--shorts-card--byline_job-title\">Science Writer<\/p>\n<p>Most of England and Wales face a fierce heatwave in the next few days, with parts of southern England set to come close to 40\u00b0C. While the UK has reached this point before, there\u2019s a special feature of this heatwave that will make it feel worse than ever \u2013 the humidity.<\/p>\n<p>The danger of humidity<\/p>\n<p>Humidity \u2013 the amount of water vapour being carried in the air \u2013 is important because high levels interfere with sweating, the main way that that we cool down. So, when it is both hot and humid, it feels warmer than the air temperature suggests.<\/p>\n<p>\t<a class=\"inews--shorts-card--article_thumbnail post_in-line_link\" href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/uk-heatwave-40c-summer-days-loom-4490271?ico=in-line_link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"><br \/>\n\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/SEI_302311444.jpg\" width=\"110\" height=\"110\" alt=\"\"\/><br \/>\n\t<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"inews--shorts-card--article_label\">Analysis<\/p>\n<p class=\"inews--shorts-card--article_min-read\">3 min read<\/p>\n<p>\t<a class=\"inews--shorts-card--article_thumbnail post_in-line_link\" href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/inews-lifestyle\/how-cool-down-fast-try-12-expert-ways-4483966?ico=in-line_link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"><br \/>\n\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/SEI_302072212.jpg\" width=\"110\" height=\"110\" alt=\"\"\/><br \/>\n\t<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"inews--shorts-card--article_label\">LIFESTYLE<\/p>\n<p class=\"inews--shorts-card--article_min-read\">7 min read<\/p>\n<p>The expert view<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\" style=\"position: relative;\">\n<p>When humidity is high, sweat cannot evaporate as effectively, so the body struggles to regulate its temperature even if the air temperature itself is not at its peak. What makes this week particularly notable is not just the heat but the humidity. Humid heat is harder heat.<\/p>\n<p>Professor Hannah Cloke, a climate expert at the University of Reading<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"675\" width=\"1200\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/SEI_88029410.jpg\" alt=\"People enjoy the weather on Bournemouth beach in Dorset. England could see the hottest day of the year this weekend as the skies finally clear after weeks of wet and humid weather. Picture date: Saturday July 17, 2021. PA Photo. Photo credit should read: Ben Birchall\/PA Wire\" class=\"wp-image-1108905\" style=\"aspect-ratio:16\/9;object-fit:cover\"  \/>Caption: People enjoy the weather on Bournemouth beach in Dorset. England could see the hottest day of the year this weekend as the skies finally clear after weeks of wet and humid weather. Picture date: Saturday July 17, 2021. PA Photo. Photo credit should read: Ben Birchall\/PA Wire<br \/>Photographer: Ben Birchall<br \/>Provider: PA<br \/>Source: PA<\/p>\n<p>What this means for health consequences<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This means that not only will it feel muggy and unpleasant, but people may also be at higher risk of suffering serious health consequences.<\/li>\n<li>While overheating is rarely recorded as a direct cause of death, there can be up to thousands more deaths during heatwaves, from common causes such as heart disease, stroke and lung conditions.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\t<a class=\"inews--shorts-card--article_thumbnail post_in-line_link\" href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/school-closures-no-outdoor-drinking-40c-heatwaves-4493506?ico=in-line_link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"><br \/>\n\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/SEI_302423941.jpg\" width=\"110\" height=\"110\" alt=\"\"\/><br \/>\n\t<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"inews--shorts-card--article_label\">Explained<\/p>\n<p class=\"inews--shorts-card--article_min-read\">4 min read<\/p>\n<p>\nWhat to expect this week\n<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list inews--shorts-card--list--square-large\">\n<li>In the summer of 2022, when parts of southern England reached 40\u00b0C for the first time, there were nearly 3,000 more deaths than would have been expected in England.<\/li>\n<li>The humidity during this heatwave \u201cwill be significantly higher than what we observed during the heatwave in July 2022\u201d, says Met Office spokesman Stephen Dixon.<\/li>\n<li>For instance, humidity on Wednesday is forecast to reach 50 per cent in Reading at 10am, while it was only 28 per cent there at the same time in 2022.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/wp-content\/themes\/inews-theme\/assets\/images\/chevron.svg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/p>\n<p>One of Germany\u2019s left-wing parties has promised a \u201cscorching hot socialist summer\u201d of protest over plans to cut unemployment benefit, pensions and health insurance.<\/p>\n<p>Germany\u2019s \u2018painful\u2019 new austerity cuts<\/p>\n<p>The German government \u2013 a coalition of Chancellor Friedrich Merz\u2019s centre-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and the centre-left Social Democratic Party (SPD) \u2013 announced a \u201cnew basic security benefit\u201d earlier this year.<\/p>\n<p>This new unemployment benefit has much harsher work requirements. No savings have been formally set but the CDU claimed reforms could reduce welfare spending by billions of euros annually.<\/p>\n<p>A plan to remove German citizens\u2019 free health insurance coverage for non-contributing spouses was set out in April. Payments for medicines and hospital stays will also rise. These changes are aimed at saving \u20ac20bn a year.<\/p>\n<p>Germany\u2019s statutory pension insurance \u2013 the equivalent of the UK state pension \u2013 will be cut back to provide only \u201cbasic cover\u201d, announced Merz, who has said the country had been \u201cliving beyond its means\u201d and is facing a \u20ac172bn (\u00a3148bn) hole over the next decade.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cPainful\u201d austerity measures are needed to ensure younger Germans have hope of future prosperity, the Chancellor has argued.<\/p>\n<p>Both the CDU and SPD parties have been doing poorly in the polls, said Professor Dan Hough, an expert on German politics at University of Sussex. Welfare cuts are likely to make them even less popular.<\/p>\n<p>Some parts of German press may back cuts to unemployment benefit, just like in the UK, said Hough. \u201cWhen it comes to cutting medical insurance and pensions, that is much more difficult.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>How will Burnham cut the welfare bill?<\/p>\n<p>Burnham insisted he is \u201cnot squeamish\u201d about the need to reduce the welfare bill during his Makerfield by-election campaign.<\/p>\n<p>The prime minister-in-waiting ruled out \u201ccrude\u201d short-term cuts, suggesting the reduction could happen by supporting more people into work.<\/p>\n<p>But some painful choices on work conditionality may still have to be made, which could be unpopular with the Labour left.<\/p>\n<p>Former minister Alan Milburn\u2019s youth unemployment review looks set to recommend changes to <a class=\"post_in-line_link\" href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/topic\/pip?ico=in-line_link\" id=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/topic\/pip\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">personal independence payment (PIP) disability<\/a> benefit so it is <a class=\"post_in-line_link\" href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/pip-labour-left-warn-starmer-welfare-cuts-4444920?ico=in-line_link\" id=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/pip-labour-left-warn-starmer-welfare-cuts-4444920\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">tied to job searches for the first time<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Burnham may have to make a \u201csimilar argument\u201d to Merz about the need to balance the books for future generations, according to Professor John Ryan, an expert in EU politics.<\/p>\n<p>Merz is a \u201cmanagerial bureaucrat\u201d with poor communication skills \u201cwhich makes it difficult for him to convincingly argue that certain sacrifices are necessary for the good of the nation\u201d, said Ryan, of the Munich-based economics network, the CESifo Group.<\/p>\n<p>Labour MPs are hoping that Burnham\u2019s charisma can help him sell any welfare reforms that are needed.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c[Burnham] would face the same challenge [as Merz],\u201d said Ryan. \u201cInsurgent parties on both the left and the right are poised to capitalise on any unpopular measures he may be forced to implement.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Burnham should be aware that left-wing parties can suffer a greater political backlash than right wing-parties when it comes to welfare cuts, said Hough.<\/p>\n<p>Merz\u2019s CDU is not expected to suffer politically as much as the SPD \u2013 the equivalent of the Labour Party. \u201cThe left can be very, very hard on the SPD whenever it gives any ground on welfare cuts. It\u2019s a disaster for them,\u201d said Hough.<\/p>\n<p>Kathrin Gebel, a politician with the SPD\u2019s rivals Die Linke (the Left Party) has already promised \u201ca scorching hot socialist summer\u201d of protest over welfare reforms.<\/p>\n<p>Why pension changes spark \u2018resistance\u2019<\/p>\n<p>Burnham is under pressure from some Labour MPs to end the UK\u2019s \u201cunsustainable\u201d <a class=\"post_in-line_link\" href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/triple-lock-pensioners-object-4474980?ico=in-line_link\" id=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/triple-lock-pensioners-object-4474980\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">triple lock state pension promise<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Some Labour figures argue the rising sums could be better used on working-age people, describing it as a matter of \u201cintergenerational fairness\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>However, Burnham recently told The i Paper it would be <a class=\"post_in-line_link\" href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/politics\/pensioners-burnham-triple-lock-pledge-labour-mps-4477725?ico=in-line_link\" id=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/politics\/pensioners-burnham-triple-lock-pledge-labour-mps-4477725\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">damaging to \u201ctear up\u201d Labour\u2019s current manifesto commitment to keep the triple lock<\/a>. \u201c[Burnham] says that now, but he could shift in future,\u201d one Labour MP said.<\/p>\n<p>German pensioners are a powerful voting block, just like in Britain. Scrapping the triple lock in the next Labour manifesto could be politically painful.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cLike here [in the UK], some pensioners might accept there\u2019s an intergenerational justice argument, but they look at their own pocketbook and that prompts resistance to change,\u201d said Hough.<\/p>\n<p>Germany\u2019s trick for extra defence spending<\/p>\n<p>The CDU and the SPD will be keen to separate benefits cuts from its huge military expansion, said Dr Matthias Dilling, a German political specialist at Trinity College Dublin.<\/p>\n<p>A special fund of more than \u20ac500bn (\u00a3431bn) will go on defence and infrastructure between 2025 and 2029. It should raise defence spending to 3.5 per cent of GDP by the end of the decade.<\/p>\n<p>A special exemption to Germany\u2019s normal \u201cdebt brake\u201d rules was created for this extra borrowing and spending. This is the equivalent of Labour\u2019s \u201cfiscal rules\u201d which enforce strict limits on borrowing.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe Germans have been well-served by lifting these debt brake restrictions \u2013 they needed to spend more on defence,\u201d said Dr Ed Turner, a leading expert on German politics at Aston University.<\/p>\n<p>Dilling added: \u201cLinking the two reforms [welfare cuts and defence spending] opens you up to be attacked by both the left and the right. The special exemption from the debt brake allows you to separate the arguments.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Over in the UK, defence secretary John Healey recently quit after Keir Starmer sanctioned a small increase that would take defence spending from 2.6 per cent to 2.68 per cent of GDP.<\/p>\n<p>Burnham appears to back greater spending on Britain\u2019s military and he has previously suggested that fiscal rules could be changed to allow extra spending \u2013 just like in Germany.<\/p>\n<p>In recent days he has promised to stick to the fiscal rules. However, some of his economic advisers have suggested they should be ripped up to allow more borrowing to invest.<\/p>\n<p>Andy Burnham\u2019s team was approached for comment.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Andy Burnham faces hugely difficult decisions on the size of the military and the welfare state if he&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1044657,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[5310],"tags":[8916,345,2993,2000,299,1824,350,12340],"class_list":["post-1044656","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-germany","tag-andy-burnham","tag-benefits","tag-defence","tag-eu","tag-europe","tag-germany","tag-pip","tag-welfare"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/116798646480218852","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1044656","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1044656"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1044656\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1044657"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1044656"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1044656"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1044656"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}