France vs. Spain Odds<\/strong><\/p>\nFrance has been the favorite in World Cup futures odds throughout this tournament and remains so, currently at +145 to lift the trophy.<\/p>\n
Spain is the +340 second choice to win it all. So obviously, something\u2019s gotta give in Tuesday\u2019s 3 p.m. ET match on FOX, from Arlington, Texas.<\/p>\n
On the three-way moneyline \u2014 which accounts for the result after 90 minutes plus injury time \u2014 France opened as a +120 favorite, with Spain +225 and Draw +230. As of 2 p.m. ET on Monday, it\u2019s France +127\/Spain +215\/Draw +215.<\/p>\n
In the To Advance market \u2014 on which team wins, whether in regulation, overtime or penalty-kick shootout \u2014 Caesars opened at France -162\/Spain +130 and nudged to France -159\/Spain +123.<\/p>\n
“France at the moment is taking 54% of bets and money on the three-way,” Bickerdike said. “But the tale to tell is on the To Qualify market, where 80% of money is on France.”<\/p>\n
That\u2019s to go along with 65% of bets on France. So Spain is seeing just 35% of bets\/20% of money to advance. On the three-way moneyline, Spain is drawing 24% of bets\/30% of money, and Draw is at 22% of bets\/16% of money.<\/p>\n
“Our customers have been impressed by France\u2019s attacking and talent,” Bickerdike said, while acknowledging that action on Draw is higher than usual. “We do see a little more on draws in these late stages. And both England and Argentina went to extra time in the quarterfinals, so that\u2019s gonna drive Draw action a little bit.<\/p>\n
“But by far, Draw is still the best result for us.”<\/p>\n
No France Advance<\/strong><\/p>\nWhether in regulation, extra time or on penalty kicks, though, Caesars has a clear preference for which team it wants to advance.<\/p>\n
“Spain, both in the match and in the tournament winner book,” Bickerdike said. “France is the biggest liability for us in the futures.”<\/p>\n
That means Spain has to put the clamps on Kylian Mbapp\u00e9. With eight goals, Mbapp\u00e9 is tied for the tournament lead, joined by Argentina\u2019s Lionel Messi.<\/p>\n
The public betting masses are rooting for another big Mbapp\u00e9 performance.<\/p>\n
“Mbapp\u00e9 is an extremely popular play in our anytime goalscorer market. Over 80% of money in that market is on Mbapp\u00e9. It\u2019s a lot of one-way traffic,” Bickerdike said.<\/p>\n
England vs. Argentina Odds<\/strong><\/p>\nArgentina is the defending World Cup champion, beating France in a riveting 2022 final that went all the way to a penalty-kicks shootout. England, meanwhile, is trying to reach the final in order to secure a shot at its first World Cup crown in 60 years. Three Lions\u2019 only other championship came in 1966.<\/p>\n
And the odds couldn\u2019t be much closer for Wednesday\u2019s 3 p.m. ET kickoff on FOX, from Atlanta.<\/p>\n
The three-way moneyline opened at Argentina +150\/England +170\/Draw +240. However, the favorite has since flipped, with England +152\/Argentina +198\/Draw +193.<\/p>\n
To Advance odds opened at Argentina -118\/England -106, then jumped the fence to England -136\/Argentina +106.<\/p>\n
“Customers are finding it really hard to split these two teams,” Bickerdike said. “In To Advance, they\u2019re favoring Argentina. In terms of money, it\u2019s 52% on Argentina\/48% on England, and bet count is 57% Argentina\/43% England.”<\/p>\n
The three-way market has a very unusual dynamic, as of 2 p.m. ET Monday.<\/p>\n
“Draw is actually the most popular selection,” Bickerdike said, noting a tie in 90 minutes plus injury time is netting 37% of bets and money.<\/p>\n
England is taking 33% of bets\/39% of the money, and Argentina is landing 30% of bets\/24% of the money.<\/p>\n
“I think it\u2019s a product of what people saw on Saturday,” Bickerdike said, alluding to England-Norway and Argentina-Switzerland both going to overtime, after 1-1 draws in regulation.<\/p>\n
“I do think as we get closer to the match, we\u2019ll see more money coming in on the teams, and Draw will still be what we need,” Bickerdike said.<\/p>\n
English Beat<\/strong><\/p>\nWhether the match goes to extra time or not, Caesars doesn\u2019t want to see a rematch of the 2022 World Cup final.<\/p>\n
“England is our second-best futures result, just behind Spain,” Bickerdike said. “In the exacta market, we have substantial liability on a repeat of Argentina vs. France. So we\u2019d be extremely happy with an England-Spain final.”<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"World Cup odds provided a record-breaking past month of soccer wagers for sportsbooks in Las Vegas and across…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1087378,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[5312],"tags":[10105,4304,393,2000,299,157951,36,6732,10031,104],"class_list":["post-1087377","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-spain","tag-argentina","tag-betting","tag-england","tag-eu","tag-europe","tag-fifa-mens-world-cup","tag-france","tag-gambling","tag-soccer","tag-spain"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/116914894065953153","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1087377","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1087377"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1087377\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1087378"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1087377"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1087377"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1087377"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}