{"id":1189326,"date":"2026-09-06T08:40:34","date_gmt":"2026-09-06T08:40:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/1189326\/"},"modified":"2026-09-06T08:40:34","modified_gmt":"2026-09-06T08:40:34","slug":"billions-lost-to-brexit-could-make-nhs-waiting-lists-disappear-top-economist-says","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/1189326\/","title":{"rendered":"Billions lost to Brexit could make NHS waiting lists disappear, top economist says"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Your support helps us to tell the story<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-1uza6dc-0 iOIawn\">From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it&#8217;s investigating the financials of Elon Musk&#8217;s pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, &#8216;The A Word&#8217;, which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-1uza6dc-0 iOIawn\">At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-1uza6dc-0 iOIawn\">The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.<\/p>\n<p><strong class=\"sc-1uza6dc-1 eRQajs\">Your support makes all the difference.<\/strong>Read more<\/p>\n<p>The billions the UK has lost to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/brexit\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Brexit<\/a> could wipe out <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/health\/nhs-treatment-waiting-lists-areas-map-b3016933.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NHS waiting lists<\/a> and create a world-class service if recouped, a leading economist has warned. <\/p>\n<p>In an exclusive interview with The Independent, Nick Bloom, a professor at Stanford University, said up to 8 per cent of GDP was wiped off the UK economy by leaving Europe, through lost trade, increased red tape and delays in pushing the Brexit deal through. <\/p>\n<p>That is close to the 9.7 per cent spent on health before the Covid pandemic, which he said could be used to bolster the overrun and struggling health service. <\/p>\n<p>He said infamous claims made by the Leave campaign that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/uk\/politics\/brexit-ps350-million-a-week-extra-for-the-nhs-only-an-aspiration-says-vote-leave-campaigner-chris-grayling-a7105246.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Brexit could free up \u00a3350m a week to spend on the NHS,<\/a> in a controversial slogan emblazoned across the side of a battle bus, were \u201cexactly and perfectly wrong\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Prof Bloom urged the UK government to forge closer ties to the bloc in a bid to limit the damage further and claw some of the losses back.<\/p>\n<p>He said: \u201cSo we&#8217;ve lost six to 8 per cent [because of Brexit]. Imagine getting that back and spending all that money we lost on the NHS. Suddenly, you would go from the current NHS to one that would be amazing. <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/GettyImages-576855022.jpeg\"  loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"The Brexit bus was hugely controversial\" class=\"sc-1mc30lb-0 ggpMaE inline-gallery-btn\"\/>The Brexit bus was hugely controversial (Getty)<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBudgets would go up by about two thirds, probably waiting lists would disappear. Hospitals would be refurbished, you&#8217;d have better paid doctors, better paid nurses, better equipment\u2026 So one way to look at it is all the money we&#8217;ve lost. If we hadn&#8217;t lost it, we could have spent it on the NHS. We&#8217;d have a world-class national health service.\u201d <\/p>\n<p>Prof Bloom, who was speaking to The Independent as part of its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/uk\/politics\/europe-the-way-back\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Europe: The Way Back campaign<\/a>, which is calling for the UK to rebuild its relationship with Europe, is the co-author of research which shows Brexit caused the economy to shrink between 6 to 8 per cent \u2013 more than previously thought. <\/p>\n<p>He said the figure \u201cis an enormous amount\u201d adding: \u201cIt&#8217;s something like \u00a33,000 a year, per typical British person, that we&#8217;ve lost.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>He said roughly half was lost because \u201cBrexit itself was just bad news, because it makes it harder for British firms to trade with Europe, and Europe&#8217;s about half of our trade pre-Brexit\u201d, while the other half was due to the \u201cmess\u201d of approving the final deal. <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/2292751923...jpeg\"  loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"New prime minister Andy Burnham is facing a \u2018juggling act\u2019\" class=\"sc-1mc30lb-0 ggpMaE inline-gallery-btn\"\/>New prime minister Andy Burnham is facing a \u2018juggling act\u2019 (Getty)<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSo the vote happened in 2016, but it took several years of back and forwards, and multiple prime ministers, and votes, and re-votes, and haggles, negotiations. And so businesses over this period were left uncertain and paused on investment, paused on hiring, and finally we have Brexit done,\u201d he said. <\/p>\n<p>He said the government was doing the right thing by seeking closer tries to the EU but cautioned that one of the biggest threats to that was Reform leader <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/nigel-farage\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nigel Farage \u2013 <\/a>for decades the main driver behind getting the UK out of the EU \u2013 who remains a \u201cspectre\u201d still impeding the UK\u2019s economic recovery. <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/541810626...jpeg\"  loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"\" class=\"sc-1mc30lb-0 ggpMaE inline-gallery-btn\"\/>(AFP\/Getty)<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAndy Burnham&#8217;s doing a juggling act,\u201d he said. \u201cHe&#8217;s got many balls in the air, but he&#8217;d like to get closer to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/european-union\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">European Union<\/a>. Why? Because it would improve the economy. Why? Because that would mean he doesn&#8217;t have to put up taxes or cut spending. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cBut the big cost of it is this \u2013 Farage, and the Brexiteers waiting in the wings, ready to pounce on him. So he&#8217;s like every politician, trying to kind of do one thing, get closer, but say another thing, which is we are independent and have our sovereignty. And good luck to him squaring that circle.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Former Tory health secretary Stephen Dorrell said the suggestion that Brexit would unlock more funds for the NHS was \u201cfundamentally dishonest on a Trumpian scale\u201d and said leaving the EU had \u201cundermined the ability of the UK economy to create successful business and create wealth\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Europe: The Way Back<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-uqokbu-5 hPMytR\">We\u2019re campaigning to rebuild Britain\u2019s future in Europe<\/p>\n<p>He called on the \u201cpolitical class to face up to the fact that this has been a national disaster\u201d, adding: \u201cUntil we address that issue head-on, we will continue to be impoverished by the events of 2016.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Emma Knaggs, from pro-EU group European Movement UK, said leaving the EU had \u201chit us all in the pocket\u201d. <\/p>\n<p>She said: \u201cWhile EU countries continue to trade with ease, UK businesses now waste tens of thousands of hours and millions of pounds meeting red-tape requirements that simply were not there before. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cThat translates to billions of pounds of lost revenue that isn&#8217;t available for vital services like the NHS. To deliver the government&#8217;s own agenda for growth, ease cost-of-living pressure for all of us and boost our public services, being part of the single market and ultimately the EU is the best way to achieve it. A decade on, the UK\u2019s experiment with life outside the world\u2019s biggest free market has failed with death by a thousand cuts. The time to be honest about that is long overdue.\u201d <\/p>\n<p>Naomi Smith, chief executive of Best for Britain, which campaigns for the UK\u2019s restored EU membership, said Brexit had resulted in a \u201cslow and painful death by 1,000 cuts for the UK economy, and the knock-on effect to our struggling public services, with experts like Nick Bloom now rightly highlighting the appalling damage to our healthcare\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>The Cabinet Office and Reform have been approached for comment. <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/europe-way-back-banner.jpeg\"  loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Join the Independent\u2019s new campaign\" class=\"sc-1mc30lb-0 ggpMaE inline-gallery-btn\"\/>Join the Independent\u2019s new campaign (The Independent)<\/p>\n<p><strong>What you will get by joining:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>A dedicated community: We are fully committed to the long haul, consistently campaigning to secure the absolute best deal for Britain within Europe. <\/li>\n<li>Free weekly newsletter: Every Wednesday, political editor David Maddox and political correspondent Millie Cooke will be in your inbox with exclusive reporting, analysis and insight on the biggest developments shaping relations between Britain and Europe. Each week, they will explain what\u2019s happened, what it means, and what the key political figures, experts and decision-makers are saying about it. <\/li>\n<li>Essential continental updates: Stay informed with regular briefings on the biggest developments in European politics and the specific policies that could pave the way for closer <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/eu\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">EU<\/a> relations. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>There are even more benefits if you <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/subscribe\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>subscribe for just \u00a31 for seven months<\/strong><\/a><strong>:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Exclusive content: Get the highest quality analysis, opinion and debate from political experts across the UK and Europe by subscribing to our premium service. <\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/brexit\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Brexit<\/a> Effect: You&#8217;ll get exclusive access to extracts from Anthony Seldon\u2019s major new book, The Brexit Effect, offering an unparalleled analysis of the 10 years since the referendum. <\/li>\n<li>Inform the debate: Receive exclusive invitations to live events, webinars, expert Q&amp;As and podcast recordings. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Your support helps us to tell the story From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1189327,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[5226],"tags":[802,748,153450,2000,299,5187,1699,4884,16,15],"class_list":["post-1189326","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-brexit","tag-brexit","tag-britain","tag-domestic-politics","tag-eu","tag-europe","tag-european","tag-european-union","tag-great-britain","tag-uk","tag-united-kingdom"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/117223206269727578","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1189326","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1189326"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1189326\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1189327"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1189326"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1189326"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1189326"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}