{"id":144205,"date":"2025-05-30T13:31:10","date_gmt":"2025-05-30T13:31:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/144205\/"},"modified":"2025-05-30T13:31:10","modified_gmt":"2025-05-30T13:31:10","slug":"german-inflation-may-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/144205\/","title":{"rendered":"German inflation May 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>19 May 2025, Berlin: Apricots are sold at a greengrocer for 7.98 euros per kilogram. Grapes and papaya are also on offer.<\/p>\n<p>Photo by Jens Kalaene\/picture alliance via Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>Germany&#8217;s annual inflation hit 2.1% in May approaching the European Central Bank&#8217;s 2% target but coming in slightly hotter than analyst estimates, preliminary data from statistics office Destatis showed Friday.<\/p>\n<p>The print compares with a 2.2% <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/04\/30\/german-gdp-first-quarter-2025.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">reading in April<\/a> and with a Reuters projection of 2%.<\/p>\n<p>The print is harmonized across the euro zone for comparability.<\/p>\n<p>So-called core inflation, which strips out more volatile food and energy prices, dipped slightly from April&#8217;s 2.8% to 2.9% in May. The closely watched services print meanwhile eased sharply, coming in at 3.4% compared to 3.9% in the previous month.<\/p>\n<p>Energy prices fell markedly for the second month in a row, tumbling by 4.6% in May.<\/p>\n<p>Germany&#8217;s consumer price index has been closing in on the European Central Bank&#8217;s 2% target over recent months, in a positive signal amid ongoing uncertainty about the economic outlook for Europe&#8217;s largest economy.<\/p>\n<p>This target should be met in the coming months, Carsten Brzeski, global head of macro at ING, said in a note on Friday.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Looking ahead, at least in the nearer term, German inflation is likely to continue its downward trend, probably dropping below 2% over the coming months,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p>Opposing developments are expected to shape the outlook for inflation, and \u2014 paired with lower energy prices \u2014 lead to the print hovering around the 2% mark throughout the second half of the year, Brzeski noted.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;On the one hand, the cooling of the labour market should take away wage pressures and consequently inflationary pressures; on the other hand, the government&#8217;s fiscal stimulus is likely to push up inflationary pressure towards the end of the year and beyond,&#8221; he explained.<\/p>\n<p>Domestic and global issues have\u00a0mired\u00a0expectations for\u00a0Germany&#8217;s financial future.<\/p>\n<p>One the one hand, U.S. President Donald Trump&#8217;s tariffs could damage economic growth, given Germany&#8217;s status as an export-reliant country, though the potential impact of such duties on inflation remains unclear. But frequent policy shifts and developments have been muddying the picture.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, Germany&#8217;s newly minted government is starting to get to work and has made the economy a top priority. Questions linger about when and to what extent the new Berlin administration&#8217;s policy plans might be realized.<\/p>\n<p>The ECB is set to make its next interest rate decision on June 5, with traders last pricing in an over 96% chance of a quarter point interest rate reduction, according to LSEG data. Back in April, the central bank had cut its deposit facility rate by 25 basis points to 2.25%.<\/p>\n<p>ING&#8217;s Brzeski said Friday&#8217;s German inflation print should bring &#8220;relief&#8221; to the ECB as it suggests disinflation is continuing, and added that despite the latest developments regarding tariffs, the central bank has a stronger case for a further rate cut than a hold.<\/p>\n<p>German bund yields were slightly higher after the data was released. The 2-year bund yield was up over one basis point to 1.719%, while the yield on the 10-year bund was less than one basis point higher to 2.521%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"19 May 2025, Berlin: Apricots are sold at a greengrocer for 7.98 euros per kilogram. Grapes and papaya&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":144206,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3090],"tags":[5189,51,3085,1700,476,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-144205","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-breaking-news-europe","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-business-news","11":"tag-economy","12":"tag-inflation","13":"tag-uk","14":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/144205","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=144205"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/144205\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/144206"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=144205"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=144205"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=144205"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}