{"id":144695,"date":"2025-05-30T17:47:08","date_gmt":"2025-05-30T17:47:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/144695\/"},"modified":"2025-05-30T17:47:08","modified_gmt":"2025-05-30T17:47:08","slug":"long-range-forecast-pixar-brings-their-latest-story-to-theaters-with-elio","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/144695\/","title":{"rendered":"Long Range Forecast: Pixar Brings Their Latest Story to Theaters with ELIO"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\n \u00a9 2025 Disney\/Pixar. All Rights Reserved. <\/p>\n

Subscribe to our\u00a0FREE<\/strong>\u00a0email newsletters to be notified of our latest updates in pre-release tracking, box office analysis, and industry news.<\/a><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

Long Range Forecast \u2014 June 20, 2025<\/p>\n

Elio | Disney\/Pixar<\/p>\n

Domestic Opening Weekend Range: $35M \u2013 $45M<\/p>\n

Now that Pixar has bounced back in the market with Inside Out 2, the next big test comes with the performance of this new original over their traditional mid-summer slot. Forecasting Elio\u2018s box office based on the performance of other Pixar films not based on pre-existing IP is complicated by the fact that three of the last seven titles in that category\u20142020\u2019s Soul, 2021\u2019s Luca, and 2022\u2019s Turning Red\u2014bypassed theaters in favor of a streaming debut on Disney+, and another (2020\u2019s Onward) got only one week in theaters before Covid brought the domestic film industry to a screeching halt. <\/p>\n

That leaves as points of comparison 2015\u2019s The Good Dinosaur, 2017\u2019s Coco, 2020\u2019s Onward, and 2023\u2019s Elemental as points of comparison from the last decade. Our opening weekend range puts Elio\u2018s opening in the neighborhood of the $39.1M grossed by Onward on its opening weekend, the only weekend it would have in theaters before Covid brought the industry to a screeching halt. (Onward got a second weekend in theaters\u2014earning $10.6M, a drop of approximately 73 percent\u2014but by that time much of the industry had already shut down.) <\/p>\n

Elemental, the last decade\u2019s only original-IP Disney\/Pixar film with a June release date (The Good Dinosaur and Coco were both Thanksgiving releases), is also Pixar\u2019s lowest domestic opener, coming in at $29.6M. Buoyed by strong holds, Elemental would make up some ground in chase weeks, eventually outgrossing both The Good Dinosaur ($39.1M three-day opening, $123M domestic total) and June 2022\u2019s Lightyear ($50.7M domestic opening, $118.9M domestic total) with $154.4M domestic. Positive word-of-mouth for Elio, should it develop, could help make up for a potential soft opening, though it will have to compete with fellow animated family titles Smurfs (7\/18, Paramount) and The Bad Guys 2 (8\/1, Universal).<\/p>\n

Looking outside Disney\/Pixar, the only other original-IP animated June release from the last decade is (the barely marketed) Ruby Gillman: Teenage Kraken ($5.5M domestic opening, $15.7M domestic total.)<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

Tracking Updates [as of June 3]<\/p>\n\n5\/23<\/td>\nMission: Impossible \u2013 The Final Reckoning<\/td>\n$60M \u2013 $70M (3-Day)
$75M \u2013 $90M (4-Day)<\/td>\nParamount<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n5\/23<\/td>\nFriendship (Wide)<\/td>\n$3M \u2013 $5M<\/td>\nA24<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n5\/23<\/td>\nLilo & Stitch<\/td>\n$160M \u2013 $185M (3-Day)
$185M \u2013 $230M (4-Day)<\/td>\nDisney<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n5\/23<\/td>\nThe Last Rodeo<\/td>\n$3M \u2013 $5M<\/td>\nAngel Studios<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n5\/30<\/td>\nKarate Kid: Legends<\/td>\n$28M \u2013 $38M<\/td>\nSony \/ Columbia<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n5\/30<\/td>\nBring Her Back<\/td>\n$4M \u2013 $6M<\/td>\nA24<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n6\/6<\/td>\nFrom the World of John Wick: Ballerina<\/td>\n$35M \u2013 $45M<\/td>\nLionsgate<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

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\n \u00a9 2025 Disney\/Pixar. All Rights Reserved. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u00a9 2025 Disney\/Pixar. All Rights Reserved. Subscribe to our\u00a0FREE\u00a0email newsletters to be notified of our latest updates in…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":144696,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3935],"tags":[77,3943,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-144695","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-movies","8":"tag-entertainment","9":"tag-movies","10":"tag-uk","11":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/114598042878293065","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/144695","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=144695"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/144695\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/144696"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=144695"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=144695"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=144695"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}