{"id":145885,"date":"2025-05-31T04:28:10","date_gmt":"2025-05-31T04:28:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/145885\/"},"modified":"2025-05-31T04:28:10","modified_gmt":"2025-05-31T04:28:10","slug":"the-economic-consequences-of-ignoring-climate-change","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/145885\/","title":{"rendered":"The Economic Consequences of Ignoring Climate Change"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The price of climate change is high\u2014and the bill is only getting steeper as temperatures continue to rise, economists say.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/actuaries.org.uk\/document-library\/thought-leadership\/thought-leadership-campaigns\/climate-papers\/planetary-solvency-finding-our-balance-with-nature\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">recent report<\/a> compiled by risk management experts with the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries and the University of Exeter in England found that the global economy could experience a 50 percent loss in gross domestic product between 2070 and 2090 due to climate change, based on current emissions trends.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>But this isn\u2019t just a far-off risk. Economic shocks from climate change are already rattling markets around the world.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>In the U.S. alone, extreme weather costs roughly $150 billion each year from direct impacts such as damage to infrastructure, agricultural losses and widespread injuries, according to a <a href=\"https:\/\/nca2023.globalchange.gov\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2023 federal assessment<\/a>. The impacts of warming trickle down to a number of industries, from insurance to healthcare. Climate change is even <a href=\"https:\/\/www.carbonbrief.org\/five-charts-how-climate-change-is-driving-up-food-prices-around-the-world\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">jacking up your grocery bill<\/a> as farmers struggle to <a href=\"https:\/\/insideclimatenews.org\/news\/03122024\/todays-climate-droughts-coffee-prices\/#:~:text=But%20a%202022%20study%20found,of%20coffee&#039;s%20climatic%20sweet%20spot.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">grow crops in fluctuating conditions<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Despite mounting evidence of this staggering price tag, the Trump administration released a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/M-25-27-Guidance-Implementing-Section-6-of-Executive-Order-14154-Entitled-Unleashing-American-Energy.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">memo earlier in May<\/a> directing federal agencies to stop considering the economic damage caused by climate change when writing regulations, unless it is explicitly required by law. When countries don\u2019t account for these economic costs, it has dangerous consequences for their citizens, warns Andr\u00e9 Corr\u00eaa do Lago, the Brazilian diplomat who will head this year\u2019s UN climate summit.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>Tallying Up the Bill: <\/strong>The most acute losses caused by climate change are typically related to storms and wildfires.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s take a look at the numbers: When Hurricane Helene hit the Southern U.S. last September, the damage was catastrophic. Severe flooding, landslides and their aftermath <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/data\/tcr\/AL092024_Helene.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">killed at least 250 people<\/a>, damaged tens of thousands of homes <a href=\"https:\/\/www.citizen-times.com\/story\/news\/local\/2024\/11\/18\/tropical-storm-helene-damage-put-at-53-billion-heres-what-we-know\/76330049007\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">in western North Carolina<\/a> and hindered businesses across the region that rely on tourism dollars. Shortly after, Hurricane Milton hit Florida and tore through agricultural areas and buildings, including Tropicana Field, where the stadium\u2019s fabric roof was ripped clean off by high winds.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Combined, the two storms caused an estimated $113 billion in direct damage, according to the <a href=\"https:\/\/coast.noaa.gov\/states\/fast-facts\/hurricane-costs.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The fires that burned through Los Angeles County early this year caused an estimated $250 billion in direct damages, one of the costliest weather-related disasters in U.S. history, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.latimes.com\/business\/story\/2025-01-24\/estimated-cost-of-fire-damage-balloons-to-more-than-250-billion\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The Los Angeles Times reports<\/a>. In response to increasingly severe hurricanes and wildfires, insurance companies have jacked up premiums across the country for homeowners in recent decades, which <a href=\"https:\/\/insideclimatenews.org\/news\/08042025\/todays-climate-tariffs-insurance-premiums-increase\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">I wrote about in April<\/a>. Meanwhile, longer-term climate risks such as the spread of ticks and mosquitos, which carry illnesses such as Lyme disease and West Nile virus, have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nrdc.org\/press-releases\/report-health-costs-climate-change-and-fossil-fuel-pollution-tops-820-billion-year#:~:text=Climate%2Dfueled%20warmer%20temperatures%20increase,%24860%20million%2D%242.7%20billion.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">triggered a rise in costly medical visits<\/a>, research shows.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>As these impacts unfold, economists and actuaries are sounding the alarm. Since climate change pervades nearly every facet of society, it can be difficult to calculate warming\u2019s exact economic impacts over the long term. But in recent years, financial experts have developed complex models and analyzed historical data to start adding up the bill.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The January report authored by the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries and University of Exeter found that the world is facing an increasing risk of \u201cplanetary insolvency,\u201d when ecosystems become so degraded that they can no longer help prop up human society.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou can\u2019t have an economy without a society, and a society needs somewhere to live,\u201d lead author Sandy Trust, former chair of the IFoA\u2019s sustainability board, <a href=\"https:\/\/news.exeter.ac.uk\/faculty-of-environment-science-and-economy\/current-climate-policies-risk-catastrophic-societal-and-economic-impacts\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">said in a press release<\/a>. \u201cNature is our foundation, providing food, water and air, as well as the raw materials and energy that power our economy. Threats to the stability of this foundation are risks to future human prosperity which we must take action to avoid.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Another key metric in climate economics is known as the social cost of carbon. This calculation measures the dollar cost of damages that ensue when one extra ton of carbon dioxide is emitted into the atmosphere. The Obama administration formally introduced this concept into U.S. regulatory policy, measuring the social cost of carbon at about $40 a ton.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>So what does that look like in practice? One example is fuel efficiency standards. Though they can be costly to enact, the social cost of carbon analysis shows that the benefits to society outweighed the expense. That calculation was part of the rationale behind the Obama administration\u2019s decision to finalize efficiency standards at 54.5 miles per gallon for cars and light-duty trucks by model year 2025.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>Shifting Policies: <\/strong>Not every president has the same approach when it comes to the social cost of carbon. During the first Trump administration, the social cost of carbon was dropped to less than $5 per ton. During former President Joe Biden\u2019s term, it was upped to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2023\/12\/02\/climate\/biden-social-cost-carbon-climate-change.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$190 per ton<\/a> to reflect inflation and worsening climate change.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Now, the White House has ordered federal agencies to scrap the metric altogether, unless it is \u201cplainly required\u201d by law, according to a recent memo issued by Jeffrey B. Clark, the acting administrator of the White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs. In the memo, Clark said too many uncertainties come with this metric, including \u201cwhether and to what degree any supposed changes in the climate are actually occurring as a consequence of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>A number of economists and environmental groups condemned the move and this rationale, which they say goes directly against the abundance of data that reflects the economic hits countries have taken in the face of global warming, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eenews.net\/articles\/white-house-bars-agencies-from-using-social-cost-of-carbon\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">E&amp;E News reports<\/a>. Ignoring the social cost of carbon in regulatory decisions could have major real-world consequences, David Cash, the former New England regional administrator for the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, said in a <a href=\"https:\/\/insideclimatenews.org\/news\/24052025\/white-house-ignores-social-cost-of-carbon\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">recent interview with the public radio program Living on Earth<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt would allow the [EPA], for example, to diminish the effectiveness of regulations so that cars could pollute more, factories could pollute more,\u201d he said. \u201cGas plants and coal plants could produce more. All of which would increase the chance of greater storms, greater flooding, greater wildfires, greater drought, greater incidence of incredibly hot days in the summer where people will get more cases of asthma, more respiratory disease\u2014all of those kinds of things. It will have a real world impact.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>I reached out to the White House to ask about the motivation behind this decision.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFor decades, the federal government has prioritized vague climate change goals over real disaster resilience and mitigation \u2013 policies that can prevent devastating tragedy during natural disasters,\u201d White House spokesperson Taylor Rogers said in an emailed statement. \u201cPrioritizing policies like forest management and flood mitigation is far more impactful than obsessing over vague climate change goals. The Trump administration is preventing short and long-term damage to families, communities, and our economy.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Since Inauguration Day, the Trump administration has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.yahoo.com\/news\/trump-freezing-flood-prevention-funds-150100994.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">made<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eenews.net\/articles\/trump-quietly-halts-money-for-preventing-disaster-damage\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">cuts<\/a> to programs that help support state efforts to protect homes and other buildings from extreme weather. That includes the termination of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fema.gov\/press-release\/20250404\/fema-ends-wasteful-politicized-grant-program-returning-agency-core-mission\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Building Resilient Infrastructure and Communities program<\/a>, which has helped cities and towns prepare for disasters through measures such as raising roads to protect against flooding, <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/fema-grants-cuts-trump-emergency-management-disaster-bc36ea4ca328e1eb4a07641ba1fb770e\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The Associated Press reports<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>On the forest front, President Donald Trump issued an executive order in early March to increase domestic timber production, <a href=\"https:\/\/insideclimatenews.org\/news\/03032025\/trump-forest-timber-production-executive-order\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">which my colleague Kiley Bense covered<\/a>. Conservation groups warn that this move\u2014which will expedite the permitting process\u2014could increase wildfire risks and hurt ecosystems\u2019 ability to absorb carbon emissions.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/weather\/2025\/05\/08\/billion-dollar-disaster-tracker-updates\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NOAA announced earlier this month<\/a> that it will no longer update a database that tracks the economic toll of climate-related weather events that cause billions of dollars in damages. A NOAA spokesperson told me that the decision was made in \u201calignment with evolving priorities and staffing changes.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>At times, Trump has argued that climate impacts could be positive for people in the U.S.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe biggest threat is not global warming, where the ocean is going to rise one-eighth of an inch over the next 400 years \u2026 and you\u2019ll have more oceanfront property,\u201d Trump said in an August discussion with Tesla owner Elon Musk. <a href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/policy\/energy-environment\/4826175-trump-climate-change-not-biggest-threat\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The Hill pointed out<\/a> that sea levels are projected to rise between 10 to 12 inches over the next three decades, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/earth.gov\/sealevel\/us\/resources\/2022-sea-level-rise-technical-report\/#:~:text=Sea%20level%20along%20the%20U.S.,years%20(1920%20%2D%202020).\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a 2022 federal report<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Other countries such as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.climatecouncil.org.au\/resources\/markets-moving-economic-costs-australias-climate-inaction\/#:~:text=For%20Australia%2C%20the%20figure%20is,and%20early%20on%20climate%20change.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Australia<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/climateactiontracker.org\/countries\/russian-federation\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Russia<\/a> have also failed to comprehensively incorporate climate change\u2019s costs into national policies, environmental groups say.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Corr\u00eaa do Lago said in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2025\/may\/28\/andre-correa-do-lago-cop30-interview-climate-crisis\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">recent interview with The Guardian<\/a> that \u201ceconomic denial\u201d is the latest opposition strategy to climate action. He plans to make a push for governments to remodel the economy to transition away from fossil fuels and toward renewable energy, partially to avoid economic hits.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMost of the answers have to come from the economy,\u201d Corr\u00eaa do Lago told The Guardian. \u201cBecause we have now enough science, enough demonstration of how climate change can affect people\u2019s lives. Now we need answers [in the form of policy measures]. We need economists to rally.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>More Top Climate News<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>On Wednesday, <strong>a large piece of rock and ice from a glacier collapsed in Switzerland<\/strong>, triggering a landslide that smothered most of a hillside village, <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/switzerland-glacier-collapse-climate-change-blatten-landslide-19f5661487bc02e47d8d8f0afdc74afd\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tammy Webber reports for The Associated Press<\/a>. Scientists say the rock above the Birch Glacier had become unstable as permafrost on the mountain melted, making the formation too heavy to hold. The local government in this area had evacuated the village, located in the Valais region, earlier this month as a precaution, but authorities say that a man is still missing in the wake of the landslide.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The collapse occurred on the same day a regional civil court in Germany <a href=\"https:\/\/insideclimatenews.org\/news\/28052025\/german-court-rejects-peruvian-claim-of-rwe-climate-harms\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">dismissed a Peruvian farmer\u2019s claim<\/a> that he and his community\u2014threatened by melting glaciers\u2014have been harmed by climate change driven by a German energy company\u2019s emissions. But the court said German law does permit these types of claims.<\/p>\n<p><strong>A U.S. Supreme Court ruling on Thursday could narrow the scope of environmental reviews<\/strong> required for major infrastructure projects such as pipelines and railways, <a href=\"https:\/\/insideclimatenews.org\/news\/29052025\/supreme-court-backs-controversial-utah-oil-railroad\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">my colleague Lisa Sorg reports<\/a>. The case centered around a proposed 88-mile railway in Utah, which was approved by the Surface Transportation Board in 2021 after they conducted a review of its potential harms to the environment, a requirement under the National Environmental Policy Act. Environmental groups and a Colorado county sued the agency, claiming that their assessment did not consider all the risks to nearby ecosystems, such as oil spills and wildfires.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cA 1970 legislative acorn has grown over the years into a judicial oak that has hindered infrastructure development,\u201d Justice Brett Kavanaugh wrote in an opinion for five of the justices. (Three others signed on to a concurring opinion.) \u201cFewer projects make it to the finish line. Indeed, fewer projects make it to the starting line.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Environmental groups such as Earthjustice and the Sierra Club are dismayed at the outcome and say it could open the door for more projects that hurt the environment and local communities.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Pharmaceutical company Moderna announced on Wednesday that <strong>the Trump administration canceled a $590 million federal contract to develop a bird flu vaccine for humans<\/strong>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/healthcare-pharmaceuticals\/us-cancels-more-700-million-funding-moderna-bird-flu-vaccine-2025-05-28\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Reuters reports<\/a>. The contract was awarded by the Biden administration in January to prepare response efforts to the rapidly spreading, highly pathogenic H5N1 influenza, which has transferred from animals to humans several times within the past year.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>A spokesperson from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, headed by vaccine skeptic <a href=\"https:\/\/insideclimatenews.org\/news\/29012025\/rfk-jr-confirmation-hearing-overlooks-climate-and-environment\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<\/a>, told Reuters that the project had not met scientific standards or safety expectations. I wrote in November about the ways that climate change <a href=\"https:\/\/insideclimatenews.org\/news\/22112024\/todays-climate-vaccines-extreme-weather-public-health\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">increases vaccines\u2019 importance<\/a>\u2014and undercuts them.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\t\tAbout This Story<\/p>\n<p>Perhaps you noticed: This story, like all the news we publish, is free to read. That\u2019s because Inside Climate News is a 501c3 nonprofit organization. We do not charge a subscription fee, lock our news behind a paywall, or clutter our website with ads. We make our news on climate and the environment freely available to you and anyone who wants it.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s not all. We also share our news for free with scores of other media organizations around the country. Many of them can\u2019t afford to do environmental journalism of their own. We\u2019ve built bureaus from coast to coast to report local stories, collaborate with local newsrooms and co-publish articles so that this vital work is shared as widely as possible.<\/p>\n<p>Two of us launched ICN in 2007. Six years later we earned a Pulitzer Prize for National Reporting, and now we run the oldest and largest dedicated climate newsroom in the nation. We tell the story in all its complexity. We hold polluters accountable. We expose environmental injustice. We debunk misinformation. We scrutinize solutions and inspire action.<\/p>\n<p>Donations from readers like you fund every aspect of what we do. If you don\u2019t already, will you support our ongoing work, our reporting on the biggest crisis facing our planet, and help us reach even more readers in more places? <\/p>\n<p>Please take a moment to make a tax-deductible donation. Every one of them makes a difference.<\/p>\n<p>Thank you,<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"200\" height=\"200\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail-medium-square size-thumbnail-medium-square\" alt=\"Kiley Price\" decoding=\"async\" data-lazy- data-lazy- data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Screen-Shot-2023-09-13-at-1.25.16-PM.png\"\/><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/insideclimatenews.org\/profile\/kiley_price\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\tKiley Price\t\t\t\t\t<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\tReporter<\/p>\n<p>Kiley Price is a reporter at Inside Climate News, with a particular interest in wildlife, ocean health, food systems and climate change. She writes ICN\u2019s \u201cToday\u2019s Climate\u201d newsletter, which covers the most pressing environmental news each week.<\/p>\n<p>She earned her master\u2019s degree in science journalism at New York University, and her bachelor\u2019s degree in biology at Wake Forest University. Her work has appeared in National Geographic, Time, Scientific American and more. She is a former Pulitzer Reporting Fellow, during which she spent a month in Thailand covering the intersection between Buddhism and the country\u2019s environmental movement.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The price of climate change is high\u2014and the bill is only getting steeper as temperatures continue to rise,&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":145886,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3843],"tags":[728,70,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-145885","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-environment","8":"tag-environment","9":"tag-science","10":"tag-uk","11":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/114600562080892603","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/145885","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=145885"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/145885\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/145886"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=145885"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=145885"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=145885"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}