{"id":149849,"date":"2025-06-01T16:11:11","date_gmt":"2025-06-01T16:11:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/149849\/"},"modified":"2025-06-01T16:11:11","modified_gmt":"2025-06-01T16:11:11","slug":"meteorologist-warns-of-strong-signals-from-forecast-models-that-spell-bad-news-for-june","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/149849\/","title":{"rendered":"Meteorologist warns of &#8216;strong signals&#8217; from forecast models that spell bad news for June"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Weather forecast models paint a downbeat picture from Britons hoping for a hot, dry start to the summer season.<\/p>\n<p>Today officially marks the start of meteorological summer, but there is little hope for glorious sunshine in the coming weeks.<\/p>\n<p>After recent months saw <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gbnews.com\/weather\/uk-weather-forecast-hot-temperatures-latest-met-office-record-may-31-2025\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">records-broken for the sunniest spring on record,<\/a> June is set to provide a more windy and overcast outlook.<\/p>\n<p>Meteorologists have admitted that while June looks set to begin with some balmy temperatures, the UK is set to also see a fair amount of rain and wind.<\/p>\n<p>Giving an overview of what Britons can expect in June, Ian Simpson from NetWeather said: &#8220;Confidence is of course relatively low once you get more than seven days out, but there is quite a strong signal among the medium to long range forecast models that the weather will continue changeable, albeit quite warm at times, with mainly westerly and south-westerly winds through to around June 10.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The weather pattern that we\u2019ll be getting isn\u2019t normally associated with particularly warm weather, but sea surface temperatures are well above the long-term average in most parts of the North Atlantic, especially to the south-west of Britain, and this will result in these westerly types being warmer than we would normally expect.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;But most people are really asking about when the dry sunny weather will return, and for the next 10 days it often won\u2019t be particularly dry or sunny.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The Met Office offers a similar verdict on the weather for the coming weeks.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"b9292\" data-rm-shortcode-id=\"bf83ebcddcd85955f57866e554247073\" data-rm-shortcode-name=\"rebelmouse-image\" class=\"rm-shortcode rm-lazyloadable-image \" lazy-loadable=\"true\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%20870%20531'%3E%3C\/svg%3E\" data-runner-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/netweather-weather-map-showing-low-pressure-in-june.png\" width=\"870\" height=\"531\" alt=\"NetWeather weather map showing low pressure in June\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Low pressure is expected to stay nearby during the first part of June<\/p>\n<p>NETWEATHER<\/p>\n<p>In its long range forecast for June 6 to 15, the national weather service said that models showed &#8220;all areas seeing showers or longer spells of rain at times as Atlantic systems move across the country&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Early in this period, wet weather is likely to be more focused across southern parts before the focus of wetter weather returns to the northwest,&#8221; it added.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Towards the middle of June, there is an increased chance that high pressure will become more dominant, at least in the south.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This would result in some longer periods of drier weather, however, unsettled spells remain likely. <\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"466b1\" data-rm-shortcode-id=\"02c15d9b6343aabe17277b0d41c3a2ad\" data-rm-shortcode-name=\"rebelmouse-image\" class=\"rm-shortcode rm-lazyloadable-image \" lazy-loadable=\"true\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%201538%201414'%3E%3C\/svg%3E\" data-runner-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/met-office-statistics-for-summer-2025-weather-models.png\" width=\"1538\" height=\"1414\" alt=\"Met Office statistics for summer 2025 weather models\"\/><\/p>\n<p>There is a 45 per cent chance that the UK will have a hot summer when the next three months are taken as a whole<\/p>\n<p>MET OFFICE<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Following a rather cool start to this period, there is a greater chance of warmer spells towards mid-June.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>It is not until towards the end of the month that the Met Office predicts the good weather of recent weeks may return.<\/p>\n<p>Giving its early outlook for June 15 to June 29, it said: &#8220;Changeable weather is most likely across the UK with a mixture of Atlantic weather systems moving in from the west interspersed with dry and sunny periods perhaps with a bias towards longer dry spells early in the period.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Temperatures are most likely to be near or slightly above normal, perhaps with some hot spells at times especially across the south.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" id=\"178e3\" data-rm-shortcode-id=\"391fd2cb64b7dc81c7ba9553c8f593ca\" data-rm-shortcode-name=\"rebelmouse-image\" class=\"rm-shortcode rm-lazyloadable-image \" lazy-loadable=\"true\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns='http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%201554%20918'%3E%3C\/svg%3E\" data-runner-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/met-office-graph-od-temperature-difference-for-summer-over-the-last-five-years.png\" width=\"1554\" height=\"918\" alt=\"Met Office graph od temperature difference for summer over the last five years\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Sumer 2025 is set to be warmer than the five year average<\/p>\n<p>MET OFFICE<\/p>\n<p>Beyond the next month there is still plenty of reason for Britons to be hopeful of a hot summer.<\/p>\n<p>In July and August the Met Office says the UK is likely to experience a hotter-than-normal summer with an increased chance for heatwaves.<\/p>\n<p>The weather service says that over the course of the three months as a whole, June 1 to August 31 is twice as likely to be hotter than average.<\/p>\n<p>That stands in contrast to 2024 which saw cooler than average temperatures.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Weather forecast models paint a downbeat picture from Britons hoping for a hot, dry start to the summer&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":149850,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,4],"tags":[748,393,4884,1144,712,16,15,1764,741],"class_list":{"0":"post-149849","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-uk","8":"category-united-kingdom","9":"tag-britain","10":"tag-england","11":"tag-great-britain","12":"tag-northern-ireland","13":"tag-scotland","14":"tag-uk","15":"tag-united-kingdom","16":"tag-wales","17":"tag-weather"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/114608988824076998","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/149849","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=149849"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/149849\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/149850"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=149849"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=149849"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=149849"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}