{"id":152522,"date":"2025-06-02T16:24:22","date_gmt":"2025-06-02T16:24:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/152522\/"},"modified":"2025-06-02T16:24:22","modified_gmt":"2025-06-02T16:24:22","slug":"timeform-ratings-analysis-almaqam-and-estrange-impress","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/152522\/","title":{"rendered":"Timeform ratings analysis | Almaqam and Estrange impress"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Recent winners Almaqam and Estrange are both credible contenders for Group 1 honours in a wide-open middle-distance division, according toTimeform.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportinglife.com\/racing\/profiles\/horse\/1123355\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Almaqam<\/a><\/strong> earned a rating of 123 after inflicting a first defeat on Ombudsman, with the pair pulling clear, in the Brigadier Gerard Stakes at Sandown on Thursday evening, while <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportinglife.com\/racing\/profiles\/horse\/1149812\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Estrange<\/a><\/strong> has been rated 116p after posting an impressive four-and-a-quarter-length success in the Lester Piggott Fillies&#8217; Stakes on her reappearance at Haydock on Saturday (replay below).<\/p>\n<p>The &#8216;p&#8217; denotes that Estrange is likely to improve further after only four starts, and she doesn&#8217;t have loads to find on the figures with some of the leading Arc contenders. For context, a rating of 116p places her only 4 lb behind last season&#8217;s Group 1 Fillies &amp; Mares Stakes winner <strong>Kalpana<\/strong>, who is disputing Arc favouritism with a couple of firms.<\/p>\n<p>The general Arc favourite &#8211; at a price of 10\/1 which underlines the open nature of the division &#8211; is <strong>Sosie<\/strong>. The Prix Ganay and Prix d&#8217;Ispahan winner is rated 123, though he must concede 3 lb to the fillies and mares so effectively comes out with the same chance at the weights as Kalpana.<\/p>\n<p>The highest-rated horses in the middle-distance division are <strong>Calandagan<\/strong> (129) and <strong>Goliath<\/strong> (128), though they are both geldings and, therefore, ineligible to run in the Arc.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s very early days in the season so plenty can change between now and the major races in the autumn but, as things stand, <strong>White Birch<\/strong> is the highest-rated entire in Britain or Ireland with a rating of 126. He wasn&#8217;t seen to best effect when fourth behind <strong>Los Angeles<\/strong> (125), <strong>Anmaat<\/strong> (125) and <strong>Kalpana<\/strong> (120) in the Tattersalls Gold Cup last time.<\/p>\n<p>Timeform handicapper Rory King said: &#8220;The Brigadier Gerard Stakes form is only a little behind what Los Angeles achieved in fending off Anmaat in the Tattersalls Gold Cup a few days earlier, and the older-horse middle-distance division is starting to bubble up quite nicely.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Almaqam is improving anyway but it&#8217;s likely that the change to more positive tactics helped him reach a new level of form. This was his first win since landing the Heron Stakes on this card last year, but that doesn&#8217;t do his overall profile justice and he&#8217;s a likeable colt who is still on the up and must be a contender for top honours now.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>On Estrange, King added: &#8220;Estrange had been beaten on very firm ground at Yarmouth last year but has been a ready winner on her other three starts and looked a filly of considerable potential in dismissing another lightly-raced filly whose reappearance defeat of Scenic was boosted shortly after this at York.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;There&#8217;s better to come, and a campaign avoiding ground much firmer than this through the summer, that could take her all the way to Paris in October, is seemingly in store.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Timeform&#8217;s highest-rated middle-distance horses in Europe (excluding geldings):<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>126 White Birch<br \/>125 Anmaat<br \/>125 Los Angeles<br \/>124 Giavellotto<br \/>123 Almaqam<br \/>123 Sosie<\/p>\n<p>Safer gambling<\/p>\n<p>We are committed in our support of safer gambling. Recommended bets are advised to over-18s and we strongly encourage readers to wager only what they can afford to lose.<\/p>\n<p>If you are concerned about your gambling, please call the National Gambling Helpline \/ <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gamcare.org.uk\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">GamCare<\/a><\/strong> on 0808 8020 133.<\/p>\n<p>Further support and information can be found at <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.begambleaware.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">begambleaware.org<\/a><\/strong> and <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gamblingtherapy.org\/en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">gamblingtherapy.org<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Recent winners Almaqam and Estrange are both credible contenders for Group 1 honours in a wide-open middle-distance division,&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":142956,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4107],"tags":[1071,79,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-152522","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-racing","8":"tag-racing","9":"tag-sports","10":"tag-uk","11":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/114614702140100524","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/152522","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=152522"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/152522\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/142956"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=152522"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=152522"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=152522"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}