{"id":167876,"date":"2025-06-08T15:13:12","date_gmt":"2025-06-08T15:13:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/167876\/"},"modified":"2025-06-08T15:13:12","modified_gmt":"2025-06-08T15:13:12","slug":"bitcoin-traders-forget-halving-instead-watch-this-for-btcs-next-move","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/167876\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin traders, forget halving; instead, watch THIS for BTC&#8217;s next move!"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\">BTC Short-term holder resistance aligns with whale accumulation and breakeven levels near $106.2K.<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rising NVT and weakening momentum indicators signal caution despite on-chain bullish signals.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/predictions\/bitcoin-price-prediction\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">Bitcoin [BTC]<\/a> short-term holders currently show distinct entry zones, with the 1-week to 4-week cohort averaging $106.2K, while those from 3 to 6 months sit near $97.5K.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>This divergence sets up a crucial psychological battleground. As BTC traded near $105,606 at press time, those nearing breakeven may rush to sell, adding resistance near $106.2K.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>However, buyers anticipating a dip might treat the $97.5K level as a discount zone.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>This dynamic could determine whether Bitcoin breaks out or reverses downward, depending on which cohort dominates near-term price action.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/sCFAP_eb1a886a35995e506be812ce01020e84b93a0939e0af13cc2a52aa75f8d31087-1.webp.webp\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-499466\" class=\"size-full wp-image-499466\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" alt=\"\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" data-lazy- data-lazy- data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/sCFAP_eb1a886a35995e506be812ce01020e84b93a0939e0af13cc2a52aa75f8d31087-1.webp.webp\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-499466\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: CryptoQuant<\/p>\n<p><b>Are whales signaling renewed confidence with this inflow-outflow flip?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>IntoTheBlock data confirms a major behavioral shift: Large Holder Inflows spiked 254.46% in the past week, while Outflows fell 53.86%.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s a strong bullish divergence \u2014 showing whales are accumulating and holding, not exiting.<\/p>\n<p>This inverse trend reflects a growing conviction that current prices offer value, especially with BTC consolidating under the $106K ceiling.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>This behavior may provide enough liquidity support to reinforce the $97.5K level and potentially flip $106.2K into a breakout zone, provided this whale activity sustains.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Screenshot-2025-06-08-082753.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-499483\" class=\"size-full wp-image-499483\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" alt=\"\" width=\"1922\" height=\"772\" data-lazy- data-lazy- data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Screenshot-2025-06-08-082753.png\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-499483\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: IntoTheBlock<\/p>\n<p><b>Is BTC\u2019s rising NVT ratio a warning sign for overvaluation?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>BTC\u2019s NVT Ratio has surged 55.38%, reaching 49.47\u2014highlighting a widening gap between price and network transaction volume.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>This sharp uptick suggests the market cap is expanding faster than the actual on-chain usage. Typically, such a divergence implies overvaluation and hints at reduced organic activity.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Of course, NVT spikes don\u2019t guarantee a reversal. But when paired with weakening momentum signals, they often mark exhaustion at the top.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitcoin-NVT-Ratio-3.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-499472\" class=\"size-full wp-image-499472\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1440\" data-lazy- data-lazy- data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitcoin-NVT-Ratio-3.png\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-499472\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: CryptoQuant<\/p>\n<p><b>Does the stock-to-flow model still hold weight after a 25% drop?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>The Stock-to-Flow ratio has dropped 25%, weakening BTC\u2019s scarcity narrative.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>As circulating supply dynamics lose influence, traders appear to shift focus toward real-time data like inflows, outflows, and cost basis levels.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>This shift reflects a growing skepticism toward halving-driven valuation models, particularly as macro conditions and institutional liquidity play larger roles in price discovery.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Therefore, while stock-to-flow remains a long-term model, its short-term impact continues to fade.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitcoin-Stock-to-Flow-Ratio-20.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-499470\" class=\"size-full wp-image-499470\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" alt=\"BTC Stock to Flow Ratio\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1440\" data-lazy- data-lazy- data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Bitcoin-Stock-to-Flow-Ratio-20.png\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-499470\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: CryptoQuant<\/p>\n<p><b>Will momentum fade as Bitcoin compresses under critical resistance?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>BTC remains trapped between an ascending trendline and the key resistance cluster near $106.2K. This level includes the short-term holder cost basis and the Fibonacci retracement zone.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, MACD shows signs of fading momentum, with a possible bearish crossover developing.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Together, these factors paint a picture of indecision. If bulls can\u2019t reclaim control above $106K, the price risks falling toward $97.5K.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>However, a strong breakout above $106.2K could clear the path toward $110K and beyond.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/BTCUSD_2025-06-08_08-16-35.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-499473\" class=\"size-full wp-image-499473\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" alt=\"BTC technical outlook \" width=\"2114\" height=\"1108\" data-lazy- data-lazy- data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/BTCUSD_2025-06-08_08-16-35.png\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-499473\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: TradingView<\/p>\n<p><b>Can BTC break above resistance or will sellers take control?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>BTC\u2019s ability to reclaim $106,200 rests on whether whale inflows can outweigh breakeven sell pressure from recent buyers.<\/p>\n<p>Right now, inflows look strong, but momentum is cooling.<\/p>\n<p>If whales keep stacking and NVT stabilizes, a breakout is possible. If not, sellers may find an opening \u2014 and the $97,500 level will be tested once more.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tNext: <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/ripple-xrp-heres-why-your-patience-could-pay-off-big-later\/\" rel=\"prev noopener\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\">Ripple [XRP]: Here\u2019s why your patience could pay off BIG later!<\/a>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"BTC Short-term holder resistance aligns with whale accumulation and breakeven levels near $106.2K. Rising NVT and weakening momentum&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":167877,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[52,51,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-167876","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-business","8":"tag-ambcrypto","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-uk","11":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/114648397239812456","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/167876","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=167876"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/167876\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/167877"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=167876"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=167876"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=167876"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}