{"id":191515,"date":"2025-06-17T11:14:10","date_gmt":"2025-06-17T11:14:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/191515\/"},"modified":"2025-06-17T11:14:10","modified_gmt":"2025-06-17T11:14:10","slug":"is-the-green-transition-financially-viable-today-a-debate-at-sxsw-london","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/191515\/","title":{"rendered":"Is The Green Transition Financially Viable Today? A Debate At SXSW London"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/1750158850_764_960x0.jpg\" alt=\"Debate - Debaters on stage\" data-height=\"2161\" data-width=\"2882\" style=\"position:absolute;top:0\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"color-body light-text\" role=\"button\">Debaters at SXSW London Nature &amp; Climate House. L to R: Marissa Drew, Fiona Howarth, Rhian-Mari &#8230; More Thomas, Erinch Sahan, Chaitanya Kumar and Kathy Baughman-McLeod.<\/p>\n<p>Joan Michelson<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhat we are trying to get at is whether we can realistically and successfully invest our way to a green future considering our current economic system and the state of the climate emergency.\u201d That is how Sophie Lambin, CEO of Kite Insights, tee\u2019d up a friendly debate held at SXSW London last week in one of the more interesting sessions there.<\/p>\n<p class=\"color-body light-text\" role=\"button\">SXSW London Street sign<\/p>\n<p>Joan Michelson<\/p>\n<p>Kite Insights curated it and moderated the \u201cfor\u201d side of the debate. Stephen Dunbar-Johnson, president, International of The New York Times Company, moderated the \u201cagainst\u201d side. Held at the Nature &amp; Climate House, presented by SXSW London partner Bellwethers Group on June 5th in the heart of London\u2019s Shoreditch neighborhood, the \u201cdebate\u201d including six expert debaters.<\/p>\n<p class=\"color-body light-text\" role=\"button\">Debate moderators, Sophie Lambin and Stephen Dunbar-Johnson<\/p>\n<p>Joan Michelson<\/p>\n<p>Three experts argued on the \u201cfor\u201d side that the green transition is financially viable today. They were: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.greenfinanceinstitute.com\/home\/about-us\/who-we-are\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.greenfinanceinstitute.com\/home\/about-us\/who-we-are\/\" aria-label=\"Rhian-Mari Thomas\">Rhian-Mari Thomas<\/a>, Ph.D., CEO, Green Finance Institute; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sc.com\/en\/people\/marisa-drew\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.sc.com\/en\/people\/marisa-drew\/\" aria-label=\"Marisa Drew\">Marisa Drew<\/a>, Chief Sustainability Officer, Standard Chartered Bank; and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/fiona-howarth\/?originalSubdomain=uk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/fiona-howarth\/?originalSubdomain=uk\" aria-label=\"Fiona Howarth\">Fiona Howarth<\/a>, Founder\/CEO of Octopus Electric Vehicles.<\/p>\n<p>The three experts arguing \u201cagainst,\u201d that is that the green transition is not financially viable today, were: Enrich Sahan, Business and Enterprise Lead at Doughnut Economics Action Lab; Chaitanya Kumar, Acting Head of Economic and Environmental Policy at the New Economics Foundation; and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.climateresilience.org\/about-executive-leadership\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.climateresilience.org\/about-executive-leadership\" aria-label=\"Kathy Baughman-McLeod\">Kathy Baughman-McLeod<\/a>, CEO of Climate Resilience For All.<\/p>\n<p class=\"color-body light-text\" role=\"button\">UN Estimates Green Economy worth $10 trillion &#8211; 2022, press.un.org<\/p>\n<p>Screenshot &#8211; press.un.org<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe UN estimates that globally the green economy could be worth $10.3 trillion by 2030, and the IEA (International Energy Agency) says it could be as much as $100 trillion by 2050. These are humongous numbers, but it&#8217;s not just about the numbers,\u201d Dunbar-Johnson said, framing the discussion.<\/p>\n<p>Here are the arguments the green transition <strong>is <\/strong><strong>financially viable today, made by the \u201cfor\u201d team<\/strong> (Note: Author is not providing clarifying facts, just the ones the teams presented):<\/p>\n<p>Thomas summarized the \u201cfor\u201d team\u2019s position by saying, \u201cWe stand firmly in support of the motion. Yes, the green transition is financially viable. Indeed. Not only is it viable, it is economically strategic, it is socially imperative and it is already underway.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"color-body light-text\" role=\"button\">Debate &#8211; Fiona Howarth<\/p>\n<p>Joan Michelson<\/p>\n<p>Howarth went so far as to call it, \u201cthe biggest financial opportunity that we have seen for decades, both for s companies and individuals.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Then the \u201cfor\u201d team quoted statistics including:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>$2.1 trillion<\/strong> \u2013 Has already been invested in green energy in 2024<\/li>\n<li><strong>Renewables are cheaper<\/strong> than fossil fuels. Howarth added that wind and solar are not one-third the cost of new fossil fuel generation<\/li>\n<li><strong>Market trends are shifting<\/strong> to green technologies becoming more mainstream and cost-competitive, they said, giving as examples electric vehicles and that battery prices are falling and close to achieving cost parity with petrol\/diesel.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Consumer demand for clean energy and sustainable products is up<\/strong> and growing. Drew cited that Formula E eco-friendly car racing now has 500 million fans as an example. (Note: Author found that Formula E has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiaformulae.com\/en\/news\/508140#:~:text=Formula%20E%27s%20global%20cumulative%20TV,23%25%20from%20the%20previous%20season.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.fiaformulae.com\/en\/news\/508140#:~:text=Formula%20E%27s%20global%20cumulative%20TV,23%25%20from%20the%20previous%20season.\" aria-label=\"374 million fans\">374 million fans<\/a>.)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Inaction<\/strong> has a very high economic and social cost. For example, Thomas cited that reinsurer Swiss Re projects an 18% loss in global GDP by 2050 if climate change goes \u201cunchecked\u201d and that 100 million more people would end up in poverty, according to the World Bank. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"color-body light-text\" role=\"button\">Rhian-Mari Thomas headshot, from SXSW London website<\/p>\n<p>Rhian-Mari Thomas<\/p>\n<p>Thomas explained that, \u201cThe upfront investments in clean energy, sustainable infrastructure, and low carbon technologies are not costs to be feared or to be avoided. They&#8217;re investments that shield us, that protect us from the catastrophic economic consequences of unchecked climate change. Trillions in disaster damages, food system breakdowns, migration crises and social unrest. Every fraction of a degree we prevent not only saves economies, but it saves lives.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The \u201cagainst\u201d team was just as enthusiastic in the debate. Here are their arguments that the green transition is <strong>not<\/strong><strong> financially viable at this time:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt isn&#8217;t viable today. That&#8217;s what we are debating,\u201d Erinch Sahan began the arguments for the \u201cagainst\u201d team. He removed his belt to dramatically illustrate that, \u201cFinancial markets have become a straitjacket. It&#8217;s wrapped around business, it&#8217;s wrapped around economic activities wrapped around governments, it&#8217;s wrapped around the private sector and it&#8217;s become a straitjacket on the transition itself.\u201d He described it as \u201can economy that&#8217;s in service to finance,\u201d which is inconsistent with the green economy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"color-body light-text\" role=\"button\">Erinch Sahan<\/p>\n<p>Erinch Sahan<\/p>\n<p>These are the facts the \u201dagainst\u201d team cited:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>$6 trillion gap <\/strong> just for the energy transition alone, Sahan said.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Financial markets demands<\/strong> for quarterly returns on investment (ROI), and 5-7 year exits make the transition impossible to finance.<\/li>\n<li><strong>3 investment funds<\/strong> \u2013 BlackRock, Vanguard and State Street \u2013 are major shareholders in almost all the S&amp;P 500 companies, and in all the major oil and gas companies.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pbs.org\/newshour\/world\/e-u-lawmakers-classify-natural-gas-and-nuclear-as-sustainable-energy-investments\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.pbs.org\/newshour\/world\/e-u-lawmakers-classify-natural-gas-and-nuclear-as-sustainable-energy-investments\" aria-label=\"Classification of natural gas\"><strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.pbs.org\/newshour\/world\/e-u-lawmakers-classify-natural-gas-and-nuclear-as-sustainable-energy-investments\">Classification of natural gas<\/strong><\/a> as a green technology in 2022 by the EU Commission.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Only \u00a31 of every \u00a320<\/strong> goes to green technologies.*<\/li>\n<li><strong>Big tech companies are scaling back<\/strong> their 2030 climate targets in favor of powering their AI servers, which require a huge amount of energy, including Microsoft.<\/li>\n<li><strong>6% of global GDP annually<\/strong> goes to subsidizing fossil fuels, Baughman-McLeod said.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Real policy changes are needed<\/strong> to facilitate the transition and the current political dynamics, especially in the United States, makes that change untenable at this time.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>These factoids \u201csymbolize the fact that incumbent power and the political economy of the transition is still very much held by fossil fuel interests around the world,\u201d Kumar said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"color-body light-text\" role=\"button\">Screenshot &#8211; UN Women, how climate change &amp; gender inequality are interconnected &#8211; April 2025<\/p>\n<p>UN Women<\/p>\n<p>Baughman-McLeod added their view that the transition is not viable at this moment also because, \u201cExternalities that are absolutely freed while shareholders and companies take home profit. Biodiversity is lost, children are working in mines. We have sweatshops, we have methane and carbon pollution pumping out, it&#8217;s free, and the shareholders take the money and everyone else gets the short end of the stick. (This is) the market we have, not necessarily the market we wish to have.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cExternalities\u201d also include the impact on women, she emphasized, who often suffer miscarriages, lost wages, and poor health as a result of climate-exacerbated conditions.<\/p>\n<p>Which side made the best argument in your view?<\/p>\n<p>*Note: This took place in the U.K. so some experts quoted in US dollars and others in British pounds.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Debaters at SXSW London Nature &amp; Climate House. L to R: Marissa Drew, Fiona Howarth, Rhian-Mari &#8230; More&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":191516,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7757],"tags":[78408,748,393,474,4884,23019,78405,257,78407,78404,5442,78406,24477,16,7498,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-191515","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-london","8":"tag-bellwethers-group","9":"tag-britain","10":"tag-england","11":"tag-finance","12":"tag-great-britain","13":"tag-green-transition","14":"tag-joan-michelson","15":"tag-london","16":"tag-nature-climate-house","17":"tag-ny-times","18":"tag-renewable-energy","19":"tag-sophie-lambin","20":"tag-sxsw-london","21":"tag-uk","22":"tag-un","23":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/114698417828920643","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/191515","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=191515"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/191515\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/191516"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=191515"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=191515"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=191515"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}