{"id":194206,"date":"2025-06-18T10:58:19","date_gmt":"2025-06-18T10:58:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/194206\/"},"modified":"2025-06-18T10:58:19","modified_gmt":"2025-06-18T10:58:19","slug":"business-live-interest-rate-cut-unlikely-after-inflation-falls","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/194206\/","title":{"rendered":"Business live:\u00a0Interest rate cut unlikely after inflation falls"},"content":{"rendered":"

Chocolate prices jumped 17.7 per cent in the year to May, the biggest increase since records began in 2016, ONS inflation data showed.<\/p>\n

The rise has been blamed on the increased cost of cocoa, which has been rising after shortages due to adverse weather in west Africa, where much of the world\u2019s cocoa beans are harvested.<\/p>\n

In March, the consumer group Which?, said the price of Easter eggs<\/a> made companies including Cadbury, Mars and Terry\u2019s had risen by as much as 50 per cent. Many had also shrunk in size.<\/p>\n

Speedy Hire suffers slowdown<\/p>\n

Speedy Hire has cautioned over \u201cchallenging\u201d conditions due to government spending delays, after shutting eight depots in the face of higher costs.<\/p>\n

Shares in the London-listed equipment hire firm dropped after it reported revenues fell 1.2 per cent to \u00a3416.6 million for the year to March 31, pushing the company to a full-year loss of \u00a31.5 million, from a \u00a35.1 million profit a year earlier.<\/p>\n

It comes after the government delayed spending on major infrastructure projects, such as Network Rail\u2019s development programme.<\/p>\n

Dan Evans, chief executive, said: \u201cWe are focused on what we can control, and we will continue to manage our cost base and balance our investment decisions through the economic cycle.\u201d<\/p>\n

Tullow Oil sinks on deal collapse<\/p>\n

Shares in Tullow Oil, the London-listed, west Africa-focused oil explorer, have sunk almost one-fifth after reports that merger talks have collapsed with Canadian rival Meren Energy.<\/p>\n

Sky News reported that discussions about a tie-up were progressing as recently as this month but are now understood to have been terminated.<\/p>\n

Tullow Oil was once a stock market darling with a valuation above \u00a315 billion, but has fallen dramatically in recent years and is now worth around \u00a3275 million. Last December, it saw merger talks involving Kosmos Energy fall apart.<\/p>\n

Meren Energy, which is jointly listed in Canada and Sweden, is worth just shy of \u00a31 billion and has announced a $500m warchest to spend on acquiring assets in Africa.<\/p>\n

PZ Cussons sells stake in Nigerian business<\/p>\n

PZ Cussons has sold its 50 per cent stake in PZ Wilmar, its Nigerian edible oils business, for \u00a351 million to its joint venture partner Wilmer International.<\/p>\n

Jonathan Myers, the chief executive, said the sale would strengthen the balance sheet of the consumer goods company \u2014 its brands include Imperial Leather soap and Carex handwash \u2014 and reduce the risk associated with trading in Nigeria. It has suffered from the devaluation of the Nigerian naira.<\/p>\n

Guidance for adjusted operating profit in the year to the end of May was cut to between \u00a352 million and \u00a355 million from \u00a352 million to \u00a358 million.<\/p>\n

It follows a double-digit decline in sales at St Tropez, the self-tanning business it is trying to sell, and \u00a32 million in costs for the extended producer responsibility levy for the recycling the household packaging they produce.<\/p>\n

The shares slid by a \u00bdp, or 0.6 per cent, to 78p.<\/p>\n

Raspberry Pi executives sell shares as lock-up ends\"The<\/p>\n

The microcomputer maker was founded in 2008<\/p>\n

GETTY IMAGES<\/p>\n

The Raspberry Pi founder and his finance chief have not waited around to cash in more than \u00a32 million of their shares after their lock-up agreements ended.<\/p>\n

Eben Upton, who has run the microcomputer manufacturer since founding it in 2008, and Richard Boult, the chief financial officer, were prevented from selling any of their shares for a year following last summer\u2019s initial public offering.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Would it be fruitful to invest in Raspberry Pi right now?<\/b><\/a><\/p>\n

With the 365-day lock-up period now over, Upton, 47, has sold a \u00a31.8 million stake, while Boult, 59, has sold \u00a3455,000 of his shares. The company said it was for \u201cpersonal financial planning reasons\u201d.<\/p>\n

Both men have kept hold of most of their shares: Upton still owns a stake worth around \u00a311 million and Boult has shares worth just over \u00a32 million.<\/p>\n

However, their decision to cash in has knocked Raspberry Pi shares down by 13\u00bep, or 3 per cent, to 444p.<\/p>\n

House price growth hit by stamp duty raid<\/p>\n

The annual rate of house price growth halved as a stamp duty holiday ended, according to provisional Office for National Statistics (ONS) figures issued this morning.<\/p>\n

The average UK house price increased by 3.5 per cent in the 12 months to April, halving from 7.0 per cent growth recorded in the 12 months to March.<\/p>\n

The average UK house price in April was \u00a3265,000. Stamp duty discounts became less generous for some home buyers from April prompting a stampede in activity as buyers sought to get ahead of the changes.<\/p>\n

Please enable cookies and other technologies to view this content. You can update your cookies preferences any time using privacy manager.<\/a><\/p>\n

Enable cookiesAllow cookies onceMeta\u2019s $100m bonuses to lure rival<\/p>\n

While US tech giant Amazon is busy culling white-collar workers<\/a>, Sam Altman, the boss of OpenAI, has claimed that Facebook-owner Meta is offering his employees bonuses of $100 million to recruit them.<\/p>\n

Competition for AI talent has reached fever pitch with researchers are being courted like professional athletes in the belief that individual contributors can make or break companies.<\/p>\n

Meta\u2019s Mark Zuckerberg is aiming to hire around 50 people for a new \u201csuperintelligence\u201d unit, almost all of whom he\u2019s recruiting personally. Earlier this week, Meta invested $14.3 billion in start-up Scale AI and hired its top boss, Alexandr Wang, to lead a new \u201csuperintelligence\u201d team.<\/p>\n

\u201cThey [Meta] started making giant offers to a lot of people on our team,\u201d Altman said on the Uncapped podcast. \u201cYou know, like $100 million signing bonuses, more than that [in] compensation per year.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cAt least, so far, none of our best people have decided to take them up on that,\u201d Altman said.<\/p>\n

Amazon to cut jobs as AI takes over white-collar roles<\/p>\n

Rollout of generative AI and agents will reduce Amazon\u2019s total corporate workforce in the next few years, Andy Jassy, the chief executive of the online retailer, said in a note to employees on Tuesday.<\/p>\n

The chief executive told staff: \u201cWe will need fewer people doing some of the jobs that are being done today.\u201d<\/p>\n

Read in full: <\/b>Amazon to cut jobs as AI takes over white-collar roles<\/b><\/a><\/p>\n

May\u2019s inflation fall is an illusion<\/p>\n

Official data suggests the UK\u2019s rate of inflation eased from 3.5 per cent in April to 3.4 per cent in May \u2014 but in reality the figure was unchanged, standing at 3.4 per cent in both months.<\/p>\n

The discrepancy follows an error made in the initial calculation of April\u2019s inflation rate, which was initially reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS), on May 21 at 3.5 per cent.<\/p>\n

On June 5, the ONS issued a statement saying the figure was incorrect: data from the Department for Transport had overstated the number of vehicles subject to an increase in Vehicle Excise Duty, which in turn led to the ONS overstating April\u2019s overall rate of inflation by 0.1 percentage points.<\/p>\n

But while April\u2019s rate is now known to have been wrong, the ONS has a policy of not revising official inflation figures in subsequent publications. Which means April\u2019s inflation figure will continue to be stated by the ONS as 3.5 per cent, despite it actually being 3.4 per cent.<\/p>\n

Bank governor Andrew Bailey has warned that unreliable ONS data is leaving rate-setters \u201cflying blind<\/a>\u201d when they take decisions.<\/p>\n

FTSE 100 shrugs off Israel-Iran conflict<\/p>\n

The FTSE 100 defied ongoing conflict in the Middle East and downbeat inflation data at home to start the session in positive territory, as defence-facing stocks sustained gains and anxiety eased over international travel.<\/p>\n

London\u2019s blue chip index was up 0.25 per cent, or 21 points, to 8,855 as trading got underway.<\/p>\n

Aerospace engineers Melrose (up 3.6 per cent), Babcock (up 1.2 per cent) and Rolls-Royce (up 0.99 per cent) led the way, with British Airways owner IAG reversing several days of decline to add 1 per cent.<\/p>\n

The pound recovered some of its recent losses against the dollar as sticky inflation data all but killed the possibility of the Bank of England cutting rates cut tomorrow.<\/p>\n

Brent crude held steady at $76 a barrel, with gold losing some of its shine to trade down 0.2 per cent at $3,383.90 an ounce.<\/p>\n

\u201cMaterial disruption to Iran\u2019s production or export infrastructure would add more upward pressure to prices,\u201d Fitch analysts said. \u201cHowever, even in the unlikely event that all Iranian exports are lost, they could be replaced by spare capacity from OPEC+ producers \u2026 around 5.7 million barrels a day.\u201d<\/p>\n

No interest rate cut tomorrow<\/p>\n

There is broad consensus among economists that today\u2019s inflation figures will do little to nudge the Bank of England towards an interest rate cut at its meeting tomorrow.<\/p>\n

Ruth Gregory, deputy chief UK economist at Capital Economics, said that with services inflation still elevated, \u201cthe Bank of England [will not] deviate from its recent quarterly rate-cutting path. The Bank looks nailed on to keep rates unchanged at 4.25 per cent tomorrow.\u201d<\/p>\n

Raj Badiani, economics director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said: \u201cMay\u2019s headline, services and core inflation rates remain uncomfortably high alongside still troubling regular earnings growth, suggesting the monetary policy committee is unlikely to vote for a second successive rate cut at tomorrow\u2019s meeting.\u201d<\/p>\n

Analysts think the MPC will vote 7-2 in favour of leaving rates unchanged at 4.25 per cent.<\/p>\n

Inflation: what\u2019s being said<\/p>\n

Rachel Reeves<\/b>, the chancellor, said that the government\u2019s \u201cnumber one mission is to put more money in the pockets of working people through our plan for change\u201d. \u201cWe took the necessary choices to stabilise the public finances and get inflation under control after the double-digit increases we saw under the previous government, but we know there\u2019s more to do.\u201d<\/p>\n

Matt Swannell<\/b>, chief economic advisor to the EY Item Club: \u201cHeadline inflation is likely to edge upwards over the next few months, and the increase could be more pronounced if the recent rise in Brent crude oil prices is sustained. But we expect inflation to cool from October, as the positive contribution from the energy category wanes.\u201d<\/p>\n

Rob Wood<\/b>, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics: \u201cWe expect inflation to bounce around these rates for the rest of the year, averaging 3.4 per cent, and to peak at 3.6 per cent in September when base effects boost energy prices. We are yet to fully factor in higher oil prices following events in the Middle East \u2026 we would bump up the peak to 3.8 per cent if oil prices reach $80 a barrel.\u201d<\/p>\n

Key figure for rate setters drops sharply<\/p>\n

For the Bank of England, the key figure in this morning\u2019s consumer price index release was the rate of services inflation, Jack Barnett writes.<\/p>\n

The ONS said services inflation fell sharply to 4.7 per cent in the twelve months to May, in line with the central bank\u2019s latest economic forecasts. That drop will provide much-needed relief for rate setters, who were concerned by April\u2019s services inflation rate of 5.4 per cent, which was well in excess of their forecasts.<\/p>\n

Elsewhere, the ONS calculated that food prices increased by 4.4 per cent over the last year, up from growth of 3.4 per cent. Food inflation is now running at its highest level since February 2024. <\/p>\n

Inflation: where prices fell and rose<\/p>\n

This graph shows the downward and upward pressure on inflation in May. The ONS said the figures for transport and some higher-level aggregates were overstated in April 2025 as a result of an error in the vehicle excise duty component.<\/p>\n

AO World profits fall on write-down\"Problems<\/p>\n

Problems at AO World\u2019s mobile business have hit profits<\/p>\n

ALAMY<\/p>\n

Full-year profits at the electricals group AO World fell 40 per cent to \u00a320.6 million in the 12 months to the end of March, down from \u00a334.3 million last year as it wrote down the value of its troubled mobile business by \u00a319.6 million. Adjusted profit before tax rose 27 per cent to \u00a344 million, up from \u00a334 million. Revenue over the period rose 9 per cent to \u00a31.13 billion, from \u00a31.03 billion.<\/p>\n

\u201c\u200bPerformance in the mobile business has been materially behind our expectations \u2026 we continue to review our strategy in this area and will not continue to fund material losses going forward,\u201d the company said.<\/p>\n

Fall in both core and services inflation<\/p>\n

Core inflation, which excludes energy, food, alcohol and tobacco prices, was also lower at 3.5 per cent, from 3.8 per cent in April. <\/p>\n

Services inflation has eased to 4.7 per cent from 5.4 per cent in April. Services inflation is closely watched by the Bank of England\u2019s monetary policy committee (MPC). It is regarded as an indicator of underlying inflationary pressures and is a factor in their decisions about interest rates.<\/p>\n

The MPC is expected to hold rates steady at 4.25 per cent tomorrow. In a note to clients Ruth Gregory, deputy chief UK economist at Capital Economics, wrote: \u201cMay\u2019s figures were in line with the Bank of England\u2019s expectations, so today\u2019s release is unlikely to move the needle much for the Bank.\u201d<\/p>\n

Yael Selfin, chief economist at KPMG, said it was encouraging that both core and services inflation slowed. However, she cautioned: \u201cEnergy prices have emerged as a key risk to the inflation outlook following the escalation in the Middle East.\u201d<\/p>\n

Consumer price inflation dips<\/p>\n

The rate of growth in UK inflation dipped to 3.4 per cent in May, down for 3.5 per cent in April but well above the Bank of England\u2019s 2 per cent target.<\/p>\n

The largest downward contribution to the monthly change in CPI inflation came from transport. Richard Heys, acting chief economist at the Office for National Statistics, said air fares fell during the month compared with a large rise at the same time last year, as the timing of Easter and school holiday affected pricing. Petrol prices were also lower.<\/p>\n

He said this was partially offset by rising food prices, particularly chocolates and meat. The cost of furniture and household goods, including fridge freezers and vacuum cleaners, also increased.<\/p>\n

FTSE 100 set to open slightly higher<\/p>\n

The FTSE 100<\/b> is forecast to open 8.5 points higher when trading starts at 8am. The index of leading UK shares had its worst day in two weeks yesterday as the conflict between Israel and Iran continued. Airlines fell, while BP and Shell rose on higher oil prices.<\/p>\n

On Wall Street, President Trump\u2019s early return from the G7 leaders\u2019 summit dashed investor hopes of updates on any new trade agreements, leaving indices lower after a strong start to the week. In Asia, Japan\u2019s Nikkei 225 was up 0.77 per cent, but China\u2019s SSE Composite was flat. <\/p>\n

The pound<\/b>, which was trading close to $1.36 against the dollar early yesterday, has weakened to $1.3444 but is up slightly in early trading on a weaker dollar.<\/p>\n

Oil price trades at near five-month high<\/p>\n

The oil price is trading around a near five-month high on worries that the Iran-Israel conflict could disrupt supplies in the Strait of Hormuz, which carries a fifth of the world\u2019s seaborne oil.<\/p>\n

Brent crude futures, which rose 4 per cent on Tuesday, dipped 0.13 per cent to $76.36 a barrel, down from close to $68 a barrel during Asian trading after President Trump called for Iran\u2019s \u201cunconditional surrender\u201d<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Iran is the Opec\u2019s third-largest producer, pumping out around 3.3 million barrels a day of crude oil. However, analysts at Fitch said that while disruption to Iran\u2019s production or export infrastructure would add upward pressure to prices, \u201ceven in the unlikely event that all Iranian exports are lost, they could be replaced by spare capacity from Opec+ producers \u2026 around 5.7 million barrels a day.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Chocolate prices jumped 17.7 per cent in the year to May, the biggest increase since records began in…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":194207,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3090],"tags":[14120,51,31019,1700,22129,476,79200,29341,16,15,79201],"class_list":{"0":"post-194206","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-after","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-cut","11":"tag-economy","12":"tag-falls","13":"tag-inflation","14":"tag-live-interest","15":"tag-rate","16":"tag-uk","17":"tag-united-kingdom","18":"tag-unlikely"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/114704017319209208","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/194206","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=194206"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/194206\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/194207"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=194206"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=194206"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=194206"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}