![\"CSI](\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/CSI_Alert_TV_graphic_Landscape_graphic___Public_map_scale__9_.png\"\/)
How unusual is the forecasted heat?<\/p>\n
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Over this five-day stretch, forecast temperatures across much of Spain are expected to run 6\u00b0C to 8\u00b0C (11\u00b0F to 14\u00b0F)<\/b> above the 1991-2020 average.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n
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Daytime highs are forecast to exceed 35\u00b0C (95\u00b0F) <\/b>across large parts of the Spanish mainland, including Navarra, La Rioja, and Arag\u00f3n<\/b>. Some areas in southern France could approach<\/a> 40\u00b0C (104\u00b0F)<\/b>.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n
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Spain\u2019s national meteorological agency (AEMET) has issued<\/a> multiple orange-level heat alerts from Tuesday, June 17, through the weekend.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n
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Overnight temperatures are forecast<\/a> to remain 6\u00b0C to 8\u00b0C<\/b> above normal, with lows in the 22\u00b0C to 24\u00b0C (72\u00b0F to 75\u00b0F<\/b>) range \u2014 particularly along the Mediterranean coast<\/b> and in central and southern Spain<\/b>.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n
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An upper-level low positioned near the Azores is amplifying a blocking high over Spain and parts of Europe, trapping a warm plume of air from northwest Africa over the region.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
How has climate change influenced this heat?<\/p>\n
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Daily average temperatures are expected to reach Climate Shift Index<\/a> (CSI) levels of 5 across nearly all of Spain this week. A CSI level 5 indicates<\/b> that human-caused climate change made this excessive heat at least 5 times more likely, signifying an exceptional climate change event.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/li>\n
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Over the entire period, 45.2 million people across the country \u2013 around 94% of the total population \u2013 will experience at least one day with CSI level 5.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
\n City<\/p>\n
Date of the highest temperature (from June 17 to 21)<\/p>\n
Highest temperature (\u00b0C)<\/p>\n
Departure from normal that day (\u00b0C)<\/p>\n<\/tr>\n
\n \n M\u00e9rida<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n June 20<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n 39.8<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n 8.2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n \n Sevilla<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n June 20<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n 40.5<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n 7.6<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n \n Valladolid<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n June 21\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n 34.7<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n 7.1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n \n Madrid<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n June 19<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n 36.6<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n 6.9<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n \n Zaragoza<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n June 21<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n 38.0<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n 6.4<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n \n Girona<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n June 21\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n 32.2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n 5.8<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n \n Murcia<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n June 17<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n 35.3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n 5.1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n \n Valencia<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n June 21<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n 32.5<\/p>\n<\/td>\n
\n 4.3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
What do experts say?<\/p>\n
Dr. Zachary Labe, Climate Scientist at Climate Central, said:\u00a0
<\/b>\u201cWith each passing summer, the odds of dangerous and long-lasting heat waves are growing. A Climate Shift Index level of 5 indicates that this extreme heat was made exceptionally likely by climate change. Events like this pose serious risks to public health, ecosystems, food systems, safety, and the reliability of infrastructure.\u201d<\/p>\nTo request an interview with a Climate Central scientist, please contact Abbie Veitch at aveitch@climatecentral.org<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n
How do we know climate change is influencing this heat?<\/p>\n
The Climate Shift Index<\/a> uses peer-reviewed methodology<\/a> and real-time data to estimate how climate change has increased the likelihood of a particular daily temperature.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Intense heat, currently gripping much of Spain and parts of southern France, will last through June 21. Temperatures…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":194626,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5312],"tags":[79347,79348,79345,2311,79349,79343,79346,2000,299,62998,1984,79344,79350,104],"class_list":{"0":"post-194625","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-spain","8":"tag-agw","9":"tag-anthropogenic-global-warming","10":"tag-causes-of-global-warming","11":"tag-climate-change","12":"tag-climate-change-facts","13":"tag-climate-scientist","14":"tag-effects-of-global-warming","15":"tag-eu","16":"tag-europe","17":"tag-global-climate-change","18":"tag-global-warming","19":"tag-global-warming-facts","20":"tag-recent-climate-change","21":"tag-spain"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/114704882671528116","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/194625","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=194625"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/194625\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/194626"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=194625"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=194625"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=194625"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
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