{"id":200091,"date":"2025-06-20T14:37:10","date_gmt":"2025-06-20T14:37:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/200091\/"},"modified":"2025-06-20T14:37:10","modified_gmt":"2025-06-20T14:37:10","slug":"bitcoins-price-braces-for-h2-2025-breakout-watch-these-two-critical-signals","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/200091\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin&#8217;s price braces for H2 2025 breakout &#8211; Watch these two critical signals!"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bitcoin\u2019s sideways consolidation underlined cautious optimism among long-term holders<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Could this quiet stacking phase be the calm before the next major breakout?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/category\/bitcoin-news\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">Bitcoin [BTC]<\/a>, at press time, seemed to be stuck in a \u201cneutral\u201d zone, not falling apart, but not breaking out either. And the mood? Pretty fragile. The market has been leaning on assumptions \u2013 Maybe the Fed eases up, maybe geopolitical tensions fade. All very \u201cmaybe.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Alongside that, Bitcoin\u2019s Open Interest (OI) spiked 3.4%, signaling that fresh leverage may be creeping back in. It\u2019s a bold move, especially considering that June alone saw two major long liquidations that derailed any real recovery attempts.<\/p>\n<p>But what if this new positioning isn\u2019t just blind speculation? A <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/lookonchain\/status\/1935899083170042211\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow external noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">trader<\/a> with a perfect 29-for-29 trade record just opened a $29 million long on BTC. Could they be seeing something the rest of the market hasn\u2019t priced in yet?<\/p>\n<p>Fed\u2019s subtle shift sparks \u2018cautious optimism\u2019<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019re halfway through 2025, and the Fed hasn\u2019t cut rates once yet.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>As AMBCrypto <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitcoin-stalls-near-105k-amid-steady-fed-rates-sign-of-a-correction\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">highlighted<\/a>, the recent FOMC meeting stuck to a no-cut stance, just as the markets priced in. This resulted in minimal volatility, with BTC slipping only 0.24% that day.<\/p>\n<p>And yet, Jerome Powell\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/DeFiYuma\/status\/1935635133870039375\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow external noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">remarks<\/a> carried a subtle but important message. The Fed remains open to cutting rates later this year. That\u2019s a key signal for traders and investors alike.<\/p>\n<p>Look back to Q4 2024. Bitcoin surged past $100k, hitting $108k in December, before briefly dipping to $89k. BTC bounced back strong though, rallying by 22% to hit a new high of $109k in January.<\/p>\n<p>This rally wasn\u2019t random. Instead, it closely tracked the Fed\u2019s three back-to-back rate cuts during that period. Those cuts injected liquidity and fueled risk-on sentiment, powering Bitcoin\u2019s breakout on the charts.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/BTCUSD_2025-06-20_14-50-33.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-503629\" class=\"wp-image-503629 size-full\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" alt=\"Bitcoin\" width=\"1835\" height=\"817\" data-lazy- data-lazy- data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/BTCUSD_2025-06-20_14-50-33.png\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-503629\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: TradingView (BTC\/USDT)<\/p>\n<p>Now, the market may be eyeing a repeat scenario. The anticipation of potential easing in H2 2025 may be keeping Bitcoin\u2019s current sideways action healthy.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>On-chain <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/glassnode\/status\/1935743559564394832?t=iWWrl47fZw7uL9QTE9dyBQ&amp;s=19\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow external noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">inflows<\/a> seemed to reinforce this view, signaling that Bitcoin could be entering one of the most significant accumulation phases on record \u2013 Setting a strong foundation for the next major rally.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s consolidation backed by strong holder demand<\/p>\n<p>A new Glassnode <a href=\"https:\/\/insights.glassnode.com\/the-week-onchain-week-24-2025\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow external noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">report<\/a> spotlighted a clear disconnect between Bitcoin\u2019s price and what has been happening on-chain. Since early 2025, daily transactions have cooled off, down to 320k\u2013500k from a 734k peak in 2024.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Still, value transfer is still going strong. Bitcoin\u2019s network has been moving about $7.5 billion a day, with each transaction averaging $36.2k \u2013 A sign that big players are staying active. <\/p>\n<p>In fact, transactions over $100k make up a massive 89% of the total volume, way up from 66% in late 2022. On the contrary, smaller transfers may be fading fast.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/1750430230_910_1.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-503654\" class=\"wp-image-503654 size-full\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" alt=\"BTC\" width=\"2400\" height=\"1350\" data-lazy- data-lazy- data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/1750430230_910_1.png\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-503654\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Glassnode<\/p>\n<p>That mix of low transaction counts and high volumes makes it pretty clear \u2013 Big players are running the show on-chain. To top it off, <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/cryptoquant_com\/status\/1935607482426298624?t=837vxNQJEBxSdpAJjKQU3A&amp;s=19\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow external noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">CryptoQuant data<\/a> highlighted that BTC inflows to Binance from both whales and retail might be at cyclical lows.<\/p>\n<p>Together, these trends may suggest that smart money is either accumulating or HODLing through the volatility, \u201cbuying into the fear\u201d as rate cut expectations build. <\/p>\n<p>Therefore, $110k could be the beginning, not the top of Bitcoin\u2019s 2025 breakout.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tNext: <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/bitwise-ceo-warns-of-bitcoins-next-obstacle-over-the-coming-quarters\/\" rel=\"prev noopener\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\">Bitwise CEO warns of Bitcoin\u2019s \u2018next obstacle over the coming quarters\u2019<\/a>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Bitcoin\u2019s sideways consolidation underlined cautious optimism among long-term holders Could this quiet stacking phase be the calm before&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":200092,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[52,51,21281,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-200091","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-business","8":"tag-ambcrypto","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-new-news","11":"tag-uk","12":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/114716203123013144","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/200091","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=200091"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/200091\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/200092"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=200091"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=200091"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=200091"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}