{"id":221394,"date":"2025-06-28T13:16:27","date_gmt":"2025-06-28T13:16:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/221394\/"},"modified":"2025-06-28T13:16:27","modified_gmt":"2025-06-28T13:16:27","slug":"uk-jobs-market-continues-to-weaken","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/221394\/","title":{"rendered":"UK jobs market continues to weaken"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">The UK&#8217;s job market has continued to weaken with the number of workers on payrolls falling in the first few months of the year and job vacancies declining again.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">Analysts said the latest figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) indicated April&#8217;s increase in employer National Insurance contributions and the National Living Wage could be having an effect.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">The ONS figures also showed that wage growth slowed, but pay is still rising faster than the rate of inflation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">Regular earnings, which exclude bonuses, grew at an annual pace of 5.6% in the first three months of the year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">&#8220;The broader picture continues to be of the labour market cooling,&#8221; said the ONS&#8217;s director of economic statistics, Liz McKeown.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">The unemployment rate increased to 4.5% in the January to March period, the ONS said, up from the previous figure of 4.4%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">However, the ONS has said its unemployment figures should be treated with caution because of low response rates to the survey on which they are based.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">Other ONS figures showing the number of employees on companies&#8217; payrolls found the total fell by 47,000 in March and by an estimated 33,000 in April.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">Job vacancy numbers fell again. The estimated number of vacancies in the UK fell by 42,000 on the quarter, to 761,000 in February to April 2025.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">Some firms had warned that the changes to tax and the minimum wage that came into effect in April could affect recruitment.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cipd.org\/en\/knowledge\/reports\/labour-market-outlook\/\" class=\"sc-f9178328-0 bGFWdi\" rel=\"noopener\">A separate survey released on Monday<\/a> had painted a gloomy picture of the labour market, suggesting that the number of employers expecting to hire more staff in the next three months had fallen to a record low, excluding the pandemic.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">&#8220;The further softening in employment in April suggests businesses continued to respond to the rise in business taxes and the minimum wage by reducing headcount,&#8221; said Ruth Gregory, deputy chief UK economist at Capital Economics.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">While wage growth had slowed, she added, it still remained relatively strong, meaning the Bank of England will remain cautious over future interest rate cuts. <\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">The Bank <a target=\"_self\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/articles\/cwyqyp7xp12o\" class=\"sc-f9178328-0 bGFWdi\" rel=\"noopener\">cut interest rates last week<\/a>, and indicated more cuts could follow, although governor Andrew Bailey said it would be moving &#8220;gradually and carefully&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">The Bank keeps a close eye on wage growth as the concern is that if earnings grow quickly, firms will seek to push up prices, and this will put up the rate of inflation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">&#8220;Sticky wage growth may mean the Bank remains uneasy about inflationary pressures in the near term,&#8221; Ms Gregory said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">&#8220;As a result, the &#8216;gradual&#8217; interest rate cutting path will remain in the balancing act.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">Luke Bartholomew, deputy chief economist at fund manager Aberdeen, agreed that the Bank was likely stick to its current policy on rate cuts.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">&#8220;While the labour market continues to slow, and there is some evidence of the impact of the increase in National Insurance&#8230; there is nothing to suggest it immediately fell off a cliff in response to the shock,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The UK&#8217;s job market has continued to weaken with the number of workers on payrolls falling in the&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":221395,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3092],"tags":[51,897,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-221394","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-jobs","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-jobs","10":"tag-uk","11":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/221394","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=221394"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/221394\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/221395"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=221394"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=221394"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=221394"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}