{"id":264088,"date":"2025-07-14T11:27:15","date_gmt":"2025-07-14T11:27:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/264088\/"},"modified":"2025-07-14T11:27:15","modified_gmt":"2025-07-14T11:27:15","slug":"chinas-exports-jump-in-june-amid-trade-war-truce-with-us","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/264088\/","title":{"rendered":"China\u2019s exports jump in June amid trade war truce with US"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Stay informed with free updates<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__content-sign-up-topic-description o3-type-body-base\">Simply sign up to the Chinese trade myFT Digest &#8212; delivered directly to your inbox.<\/p>\n<p>Chinese exports rose 5.8 per cent year on year in dollar terms in June, beating expectations as companies used a tariff truce with the US to ship goods ahead of an August deadline for a more definitive deal.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The strong <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/chinese-trade\" data-trackable=\"link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">trade<\/a> figures released on Monday came ahead of this week\u2019s GDP data for the second quarter that is also expected to please Beijing, as policymakers seek to stimulate a weak domestic economy while navigating geopolitical turmoil.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>But the first-half trade data could sway the Trump administration to tighten its tariff noose on China and the south-east Asian countries that it accuses of permitting transshipment, or rerouting Chinese goods to the US.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>China\u2019s June export growth beat a 5 per cent rise predicted by analysts in a Reuters poll as well as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/707c4613-30de-4698-97d2-672aa13142b2\" data-trackable=\"link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">4.8 per cent growth in May<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Imports last month rose 1.1 per cent on a year earlier in dollars, weaker than analysts\u2019 forecasts of 1.3 per cent but reversing a 3.4 per cent decline in May and marking the first expansion since December.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe temporary tariff reprieve granted at the US-China emergency trade talks\u2009.\u2009.\u2009.\u2009has given Chinese exporters some breathing space, with rising frontloading demand,\u201d Kelvin Lam, senior China+ economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, wrote in a note.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#24220881\"><\/p>\n<p class=\"o-message__content-main\">Some content could not load. Check your internet connection or browser settings.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/24220881\/thumbnail\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The US and China agreed in London to reduce their tariffs from levels as high as 145 per cent while they negotiate relief from export restrictions on Chinese rare earths and US advanced technology such as semiconductors. Late last month, Trump said the sides had <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/a86da19b-65f0-4e0f-8989-c9ac2b61c46a\" data-trackable=\"link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u201csigned\u201d a trade deal<\/a> to formalise that truce.<\/p>\n<p>Chinese President Xi Jinping\u2019s government has depended on exports to boost GDP growth at a time when domestic consumption has lagged behind amid a prolonged property sector slowdown.<\/p>\n<p>Beijing has also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/32600025-780e-40b9-a693-dce154ee3338\" data-trackable=\"link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">invested heavily in manufacturing<\/a> to try to meet its GDP target for this year of about 5 per cent. Analysts have predicted that China on Tuesday will report second-quarter GDP growth in excess of that target, at about 5.1 per cent year on year. <\/p>\n<p>China\u2019s benchmark CSI 300 index of Shanghai- and Shenzhen-listed stocks rose 0.1 per cent on Monday, while the renminbi was flat at Rmb7.17 per dollar.<\/p>\n<p>While Beijing did not immediately release dollar-denominated figures for trade with individual countries, exports to the US fell 9.9 per cent year on year in renminbi terms between January and June, while its imports declined 7.7 per cent. <\/p>\n<p>Exports to Russia dropped 7.4 per cent over the same term, while imports decreased 8.6 per cent. <\/p>\n<p>Exports to the EU, meanwhile, rose 7.9 per cent in the first half of the year in renminbi terms while imports dropped 4.8 per cent. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#24222443\"><\/p>\n<p class=\"o-message__content-main\">Some content could not load. Check your internet connection or browser settings.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/24222443\/thumbnail\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The rise comes <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/94a637a4-5b8f-479c-bc15-a862feb751d8\" data-trackable=\"link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ahead of a summit<\/a> next week in Beijing between European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and President Xi at which the bloc is expected to express its concern about the diversion of Chinese products to its markets. <\/p>\n<p>Exports to countries in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, which the US <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/d3941234-2eeb-476c-9a8c-249a35c8b7fa\" data-trackable=\"link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">accuses of transshipment<\/a> of Chinese exports, rose 14.3 per cent, while imports increased 2.3 per cent in the first half.<\/p>\n<p>Economists also pointed to a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/e5f23433-e435-4c81-88c3-4285b12f0d6a\" data-trackable=\"link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">trade agreement<\/a> between the US and Vietnam that includes a 40 per cent tariff on transshipped goods, which Pantheon\u2019s Lam said was \u201cclearly aimed at Chinese exporters and designed to further isolate China from global supply chains\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Yuhan Zhang, principal economist at The Conference Board\u2019s China Center, said China\u2019s overall first-half trade surplus was driven by weak imports and resilient exports, reflecting efforts to diversify export markets. <\/p>\n<p class=\"n-content-recommended__title o3-type-body-highlight\">Recommended<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/a85db98a-a63d-4c06-9bed-15a397cb9d26\" data-trackable=\"image-link\" data-trackable-context-story-link=\"image-link\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-hidden=\"true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"o-teaser__image\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/https:\/\/www.ft.com\/__origami\/service\/image\/v2\/images\/raw\/https%3A%2F%2Fd1e00ek4ebabms.cloudfront.net.jpeg\" alt=\"A man dives in the Longtan during a heatwave in Beijing on July 11, 2025\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u201cExports of robots have increased significantly, indicating China\u2019s robust domestic industrial policies in advanced manufacturing, its strategy of diversifying export markets, and the\u00a0global technology trend and external demand,\u201d Zhang said. <\/p>\n<p>He added that China was diversifying its trade geographically, boosting exports to south-east Asia, Africa, central Asia and the EU while shipments to the US declined.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cTariffs and geopolitical tensions will likely be a drag by late 2025 unless offset by new stimulus and diversification,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>Data visualisation by Haohsiang Ko in Hong Kong<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Stay informed with free updates Simply sign up to the Chinese trade myFT Digest &#8212; delivered directly to&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":264089,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3090],"tags":[51,1700,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-264088","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-economy","10":"tag-uk","11":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/114851351486606090","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/264088","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=264088"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/264088\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/264089"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=264088"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=264088"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=264088"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}