{"id":268751,"date":"2025-07-17T07:41:09","date_gmt":"2025-07-17T07:41:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/268751\/"},"modified":"2025-07-17T07:41:09","modified_gmt":"2025-07-17T07:41:09","slug":"rise-in-uk-unemployment-and-slowing-wage-growth-add-new-pressure-for-interest-rate-cut-uk-unemployment-and-employment-statistics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/268751\/","title":{"rendered":"Rise in UK unemployment and slowing wage growth add new pressure for interest rate cut | UK unemployment and employment statistics"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"dcr-16w5gq9\">Unemployment climbed and wage growth fell in the three months to May, according to official figures that will put pressure on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/bankofenglandgovernor\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" data-component=\"auto-linked-tag\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bank of England<\/a> to cut interest rates next moth.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-16w5gq9\">Data from the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/uk\/office-for-national-statistics\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" data-component=\"auto-linked-tag\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Office for National Statistics<\/a>, released on Thursday, showed that Britain\u2019s official unemployment rate rose to 4.7% in the three months to May, up 0.1% from April.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-16w5gq9\">Pay growth slipped from 5.3% to 5%, as forecast by City analysts. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/society\/unemployment\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" data-component=\"auto-linked-tag\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Unemployment<\/a> had been expected to remain at 4.6% .<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-16w5gq9\">Vacancies in the UK fell in June to 727,000, marking the 36th consecutive month of decline in the number of jobs advertised by employers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-16w5gq9\">Against a backdrop of negative economic growth coupled with rising inflation, the figures are expected to give the Bank of England a headache before its next decision on interest rates on 7 August.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-16w5gq9\">While inflation rose last month to 3.6%, above the central bank\u2019s 2% target, Threadneedle Street officials are expected to be more concerned about figures showing that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2025\/jul\/11\/uk-economy-rachel-reeves-gdp-taxes-trump-tariffs\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the economy contracted by 0.1% in May<\/a>, adding to a 0.3% decline in April.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-16w5gq9\">The figures also present a problem for the chancellor, Rachel Reeves, who is under pressure over Labour\u2019s economic management and is widely expected to raise taxes in her autumn budget.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-16w5gq9\">The weaker outlook for the UK economy, rising joblessness and the likelihood of cheaper imports, especially from China, could cut inflation sharply.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-16w5gq9\">Analysts are predicting two interest rate cuts this year with the first to take place at the Bank\u2019s August meeting.<\/p>\n<p><a data-ignore=\"global-link-styling\" href=\"#EmailSignup-skip-link-10\" class=\"dcr-jzxpee\">skip past newsletter promotion<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-rsfwa\">Sign up to Business Today<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1xjndtj\">Get set for the working day \u2013 we&#8217;ll point you to all the business news and analysis you need every morning<\/p>\n<p><strong>Privacy Notice: <\/strong>Newsletters may contain info about charities, online ads, and content funded by outside parties. For more information see our <a data-ignore=\"global-link-styling\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/help\/privacy-policy\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"dcr-1rjy2q9\" target=\"_blank\">Privacy Policy<\/a>. We use Google reCaptcha to protect our website and the Google <a data-ignore=\"global-link-styling\" href=\"https:\/\/policies.google.com\/privacy\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"dcr-1rjy2q9\" target=\"_blank\">Privacy Policy<\/a> and <a data-ignore=\"global-link-styling\" href=\"https:\/\/policies.google.com\/terms\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"dcr-1rjy2q9\" target=\"_blank\">Terms of Service<\/a> apply.<\/p>\n<p id=\"EmailSignup-skip-link-10\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"after newsletter promotion\" role=\"note\" class=\"dcr-jzxpee\">after newsletter promotion<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-16w5gq9\">The Bank predicted earlier this year that the unemployment rate would rise to 4.6% in the three months to May and that more up-to-date HMRC payroll figures for June would register a 70,000 fall from May.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-16w5gq9\">A snapshot of the jobs market in June by the Recruitment and Employment Confederation and the accountancy firm KPMG showed the number of new candidates looking for work <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2025\/jul\/14\/job-hunters-uk-rise-june-fastest-covid-pandemic\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">rose at the sharpest rate since November 2020<\/a>, when the UK entered the second nationwide lockdown during the Covid pandemic.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-16w5gq9\">The report also found that, amid a wave of redundancies, permanent placements had dropped at the fastest pace in 22 months.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Unemployment climbed and wage growth fell in the three months to May, according to official figures that will&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":172421,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3090],"tags":[51,1700,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-268751","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-economy","10":"tag-uk","11":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/114867450013943662","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/268751","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=268751"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/268751\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/172421"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=268751"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=268751"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=268751"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}