{"id":269446,"date":"2025-07-17T13:47:16","date_gmt":"2025-07-17T13:47:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/269446\/"},"modified":"2025-07-17T13:47:16","modified_gmt":"2025-07-17T13:47:16","slug":"bitcoin-examining-if-btc-could-rally-20-before-bears-step-in","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/269446\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin – Examining if BTC could rally +20% before bears step in"},"content":{"rendered":"

\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tKey Takeaways<\/p>\n

Bitcoin shows bullish potential as whale deposits drop $2.25B, stablecoin inflows hit $1.7B, and STH MVRV remains low, despite weak sentiment, on-chain metrics support further upside toward $136K.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin\u2019s [BTC]<\/a> Short-Term Holder (STH) MVRV remained well below the historic 1.35 threshold, at press time, offering room for further growth before profit-taking pressure emerges.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Bitcoin was trading around $119K, and the STH MVRV hovered around 1.15, suggesting unrealized profits are still modest. <\/p>\n

Historically, BTC has room to rally by 20%\u201325% before major selling kicks in at elevated MVRV levels.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Therefore, this could provide a bullish window for short-term momentum. The market remains cautiously optimistic, with price action supported by low STH profit-taking risk in the immediate term.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Source: CryptoQuant<\/a><\/p>\n

Are Bitcoin whales losing their appetite to sell?<\/b><\/p>\n

Binance\u2019s whale-to-exchange flow chart reveals a $2.25 billion drop in deposits, falling from 6.75 billion to just 4.5 billion in thirty days.\u00a0<\/p>\n

This steep decline reflects reduced selling pressure among major holders, who appear more inclined to hold rather than liquidate.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Historically, a sharp retreat in whale deposits has preceded bullish price movement. Therefore, the current trend supports a more favorable short-term outlook.\u00a0<\/p>\n

With large players stepping back from selling, retail traders could gain confidence to drive prices upward, assuming accumulation sustains.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Source: CryptoQuant<\/a><\/p>\n

Do stablecoin inflows hint at strategic accumulation?<\/b><\/p>\n

Over $1.7 billion in stablecoins flowed into Binance and HTX within 24 hours on the 16he of July, with Binance recording $895 million and HTX adding $819 million.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Such synchronized inflows typically reflect planned capital deployment by institutions or large entities preparing to buy crypto assets. <\/p>\n

When paired with reduced whale deposits, this trend signals strong buying interest and reduced selling intent.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Therefore, this capital movement may mark the beginning of strategic accumulation, often preceding major rallies, especially when it coincides with improving macro or on-chain dynamics.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Source: CryptoQuant<\/a><\/p>\n

Does dormant supply still support the current BTC rally?<\/b><\/p>\n

Bitcoin\u2019s Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric saw a modest 2.35% increase to 34.45 million, pointing to limited activity among older coins.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Although there is slight movement, the lack of a major spike in CDD suggests long-term holders remain inactive. <\/p>\n

Therefore, the supply side remains tight, creating a favorable setup for price appreciation.\u00a0<\/p>\n

This restrained behavior reinforces the bullish undertone, especially when combined with falling whale deposits and fresh capital inflows from stablecoins. <\/p>\n

For now, older supply appears to be firmly locked away.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Source: CryptoQuant<\/a><\/p>\n

Why is sentiment bearish despite bullish on-chain signals?<\/b><\/p>\n

As of writing, Weighted Sentiment remained negative at -0.226, while Social Dominance felln to 26% after recent highs above 35%. This divergence suggests that despite improving fundamentals, retail interest is cooling.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Therefore, the market could be approaching a phase of disbelief, where price rallies unfold without widespread retail support. This dynamic is common in the early stages of bull cycles.\u00a0<\/p>\n

While sentiment may lag, the combination of on-chain strength, dormant supply, and capital inflows could eventually drive renewed confidence if BTC maintains its current trend.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Source: Santiment<\/a><\/p>\n

Despite weak sentiment, strong on-chain signals suggest BTC has room for more upside. Falling whale deposits, rising stablecoin inflows, and a non-threatening STH MVRV all support further gains.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Therefore, BTC could continue climbing until profit-taking zones emerge above the 1.35 MVRV mark.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tPrevious: Assessing why XRP\u2019s run to its ATH faces a MAJOR risk!<\/a>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tNext: How a new U.S. bill could let you use Bitcoin for home loans<\/a>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Key Takeaways Bitcoin shows bullish potential as whale deposits drop $2.25B, stablecoin inflows hit $1.7B, and STH MVRV…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":269447,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[52,51,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-269446","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-business","8":"tag-ambcrypto","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-uk","11":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/114868889293002914","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/269446","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=269446"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/269446\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/269447"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=269446"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=269446"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=269446"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}