{"id":291705,"date":"2025-07-25T22:32:13","date_gmt":"2025-07-25T22:32:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/291705\/"},"modified":"2025-07-25T22:32:13","modified_gmt":"2025-07-25T22:32:13","slug":"zeitenwende-2-0-search-for-a-turning-point-in-germanys-defense-policy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/291705\/","title":{"rendered":"Zeitenwende 2.0: Search for a turning point in Germany\u2019s defense policy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The international system underwent major changes with the fall of the Berlin Wall and the breakup of the Soviet Union. This period saw many former enemies become allies of Western powers, significantly reshaping European security and defense strategies. Beyond this new geopolitical landscape, the global rise of terrorism, especially after 9\/11, further complicated international security. The instability caused by the 2011 Arab Spring and subsequent civil wars introduced new security threats for Europe, with the 2015 refugee crisis challenging the EU\u2019s border management and solidarity efforts. Additionally, Russia\u2019s 2014 annexation of Crimea and the full-scale conflict in Ukraine in 2022 have tested the core principles of European security. These events, combined with the uncertainty stemming from the Trump administration&#8217;s rhetoric, underscore the urgent need for a comprehensive overhaul of security and defense policies among EU member states, particularly Germany.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Security mindset in Germany<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Germany, a key player in EU foreign policy, is also a vital pillar of the union\u2019s security and defense. Unlike many allies, Germany\u2019s foreign and security policies are uniquely shaped by its historical experiences. For over 50 years, Germany has maintained a foreign and security policy characterized by limited sovereignty, firmly rooted in multilateral institutions such as the U.N., EU and NATO. This approach is accompanied by strong anti-militarist sentiment and pacifist tendencies, which form its \u201cnational strategic culture of restraint.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Strategic culture refers to the way a state responds to security threats, influenced by its history, ideology and political identity. In Germany, this concept centers on \u201cdistance from military force,\u201d \u201ccommitment to multilateralism\u201d and \u201cavoidance of leadership,\u201d all rooted in the devastating legacy of World War II and the Cold War\u2019s constraining international order. Germany\u2019s \u201cStrategic Culture of Restraint\u201d is built on pillars summarized as \u201ccivilian power\u201d: \u201cnever again\u201d as a reaction to past atrocities, \u201cnever alone\u201d as a commitment to alliances, and \u201cpolitics before force\u201d (Politik vor Gewalt) prioritizing diplomacy. This culture deliberately avoids military force in conflict resolution, instead embracing peaceful instruments, non-militarist soft power and economic diplomacy. This orientation has also profoundly shaped Germany\u2019s responsibilities within NATO and the EU, influencing not only its foreign policy but also European security orientations. Despite repeated calls from European and trans-Atlantic allies, particularly the United States, for Germany to assume greater responsibility, Germany has largely refrained, constrained by its enduring culture of restraint.<\/p>\n<p>Nonetheless, crises such as the 2014 annexation of Crimea, the 2015 refugee crisis, Brexit, U.S. Trump administration policies and the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine have demonstrated Germany&#8217;s efforts to reconcile its traditional strategic culture with increasing modern security pressures. Following Russia\u2019s large-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, then-Chancellor Olaf Scholz declared the \u201cturning point\u201d (Zeitenwende), signaling a commitment to fundamentally change Germany\u2019s defense policy, which had long depended on the U.S. security umbrella. Scholz\u2019s government aimed to extend its \u201cculture of restraint\u201d to address chronic neglect in defense capabilities and a strategic naivety in its foreign and security policy. Germany then began rearmament, moving away from its cautious foreign policy and starting military support for Ukraine.<\/p>\n<p>However, three years after the Zeitenwende, Germany has not fully carried out the promised transformation. This reveals a fundamental contradiction between a strong skepticism of military force in German strategic culture and current security challenges. Berlin has taken a cautious and delayed approach to supporting Ukraine, often falling short of allies&#8217; expectations and sometimes acting obstructively. This mixed stance has reduced Germany\u2019s international influence and caused a notable drift toward isolation from traditional European allies.<\/p>\n<p>Today, Germany faces its most significant moment since 1989, if not 1949. To the east, Russia perceives itself at war with the West and aims to rewrite the post-1990 European security order by force. Across the Atlantic, the Trump administration signaled a new era in U.S.\u2013Europe relations based on narrow self-interest rather than shared values. This evolving geopolitical context prompted the new government under Chancellor Friedrich Merz to adopt concrete measures. Merz\u2019s chancellorship represents a profound departure from Germany\u2019s traditional postwar caution and \u201cculture of restraint\u201d in defense and security policy.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Under Merz government<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Merz stated that, considering Germany\u2019s size, economic strength and strategic position, his government aims to transform the Bundeswehr into Europe\u2019s strongest conventional army. The Christian Democratic Union (CDU)\/Christian Social Union (CSU) and Social Democratic Party (SPD) coalition showed their commitment to defense and security by agreeing to establish a 500 billion euro ($587.80 billion) defense budget, an \u201ceconomic bazooka, \u201dand lifting the debt brake on defense spending even before finalizing their partnership. This 500 billion euro investment fund is a remarkable pledge for military modernization and infrastructure development. This move is not just about rearmament; it signifies a strategic redefinition of Germany\u2019s national priorities amid increasing geopolitical instability. It can be seen as a comprehensive overhaul of foreign policy, a \u201cZeitenwende 2.0,\u201d replacing Scholz\u2019s initial, unfulfilled Zeitenwende with clearer goals and substantially larger budget commitments.<\/p>\n<p>These initiatives address not only Russia but also the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailysabah.com\/opinion\/op-ed\/toward-a-more-lethal-nato\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">security gap within NATO<\/a> caused by the Trump administration&#8217;s policies. The Berlin government aims to strengthen Germany\u2019s national defense, lead Europe\u2019s efforts toward greater strategic independence, and boost NATO unity through significant financial support and revised defense strategies. With its large defense budget, Germany expresses its goal to improve its defenses and pursue a more independent, assertive foreign policy. This strategy also indicates to the U.S. that Berlin plans to continue and expand support for Ukraine.<\/p>\n<p>Under Merz, the new coalition government appears determined to shift Germany away from being Ukraine\u2019s second-largest supporter and adopt a tougher stance toward Moscow. A clear sign of this change was Merz\u2019s announcement that Germany is prepared to deliver long-range Taurus cruise missiles to Ukraine, an option Scholz had opposed due to concerns about strategic restraint and escalation. Berlin\u2019s commitment to helping Ukraine develop its long-range missile systems further highlights Germany\u2019s new approach to military support. Visits by Merz and Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul to Kyiv underscore Germany\u2019s resolve. Germany\u2019s decision to engage in large-scale rearmament for the first time since 1945 and to encourage direct military action against nuclear-armed Russia marks a historic break from its traditional strategic culture. This renewed shift in foreign and security policies, along with extensive rearmament, represents a major departure from decades of military restraint.<\/p>\n<p>However, such a significant transformation cannot be achieved solely through increased budgets and the acquisition of new equipment. The German armed forces have long experienced chronic structural issues. Deficiencies in logistics, ongoing delays in obtaining modern weaponry, and shortages of essential equipment pose major challenges. Even more critical is the fact that the volunteer-based professional army has proven inadequate to meet the required personnel levels. The lack of qualified personnel within the armed forces of the Federal Republic of Germany (Bundeswehr), combined with widespread public hesitation towards military service, has created a serious weakness.<\/p>\n<p>In this context, the Merz government\u2019s decision to reopen discussions on reintroducing conscription is especially noteworthy. Still, it remains unrealistic to expect Germany to quickly boost its national defense capabilities in the short term. Germany\u2019s goals for strategic autonomy still largely depend on NATO\u2019s deterrence, particularly on American security assurances. In fact, Germany\u2019s support for the U.S. in the case of a potential strike on Iran\u2019s nuclear facilities has once again highlighted the persistence of transatlantic dependencies. Berlin\u2019s commitment to increased defense spending and greater contributions to NATO indicates a new phase of closer cooperation with the U.S.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Eurofighters to T\u00fcrkiye<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Another notable example of Germany\u2019s evolving defense posture is its recent decision to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailysabah.com\/opinion\/op-ed\/eurofighter-deal-signals-shift-in-turkish-german-relations\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">approve the sale of 40 Eurofighter Typhoon jets to T\u00fcrkiye<\/a>. Since 2016, Berlin has maintained an implicit arms embargo on Ankara, using T\u00fcrkiye\u2019s military operations against terrorist organizations in northern Syria as a pretext. However, several factors contributed to this shift. First, persistent diplomatic pressure from the United Kingdom and Spain (both co-manufacturers of the Eurofighter) generated growing friction within the consortium, urging Germany to reconsider its position.<\/p>\n<p>Second, in the wake of Russia\u2019s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019s strategic importance within NATO has become even more pronounced, particularly in reinforcing Europe\u2019s southeastern flank and contributing to the Alliance\u2019s collective defense. Finally, amid Germany\u2019s ongoing economic stagnation, the multi-billion-euro arms deal promises substantial benefits to the domestic defense industry, intensifying calls within the country to prioritize national economic interests. This policy change illustrates Berlin\u2019s increasing willingness to recalibrate its traditional restraint in favor of geopolitical and economic pragmatism.<\/p>\n<p>In conclusion, Germany\u2019s evolving foreign and security policy marks a historic process with major implications for Europe\u2019s balance of power, the future of the transatlantic alliance, and the redefinition of German national identity. However, whether these ambitious reforms will succeed depends on domestic political will and the course of international geopolitical developments.<\/p>\n<p>                    <img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/JN9LXf.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/p>\n<p>\n                    The Daily Sabah Newsletter\n                <\/p>\n<p>\n                    Keep up to date with what\u2019s happening in Turkey,<br \/>\n                    it\u2019s region and the world.\n                <\/p>\n<p>                    SIGN ME UP\n                <\/p>\n<p>\n                    You can unsubscribe at any time. By signing up you are agreeing to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.<br \/>\n                    This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.\n                <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The international system underwent major changes with the fall of the Berlin Wall and the breakup of the&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":291706,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5310],"tags":[2000,299,1945,1824,2821,811],"class_list":{"0":"post-291705","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-germany","8":"tag-eu","9":"tag-europe","10":"tag-friedrich-merz","11":"tag-germany","12":"tag-nato","13":"tag-security"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/114916251747096247","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/291705","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=291705"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/291705\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/291706"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=291705"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=291705"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=291705"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}