{"id":318415,"date":"2025-08-05T00:03:11","date_gmt":"2025-08-05T00:03:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/318415\/"},"modified":"2025-08-05T00:03:11","modified_gmt":"2025-08-05T00:03:11","slug":"why-were-us-job-numbers-which-riled-trump-revised-down-by-so-much-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/318415\/","title":{"rendered":"Why were US job numbers which riled Trump revised down by so much?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">In records going back to 1979, the average monthly change to the jobs figures (either up or down) is 57,000, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/web\/empsit\/cesnaicsrev.htm\" class=\"ssrcss-f6h2dj-InlineLink e1kn3p7n0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">according to the BLS., external<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">But revisions tend to get bigger during times of economic turmoil.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">Aside from the most recent numbers and the 2020 Covid period, there have been eight other occasions since 2000 when the BLS revised down monthly job numbers by more than 100,000 &#8211; with most of these coming around the 2008 financial crisis.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">For instance, there was a 143,000 reduction to the January 2009 figure when President Barack Obama was in office.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">The BLS also said job gains for the entire year in 2009 were 902,000 lower than it first estimated &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/web\/empsit\/cestn.htm#tb5\" class=\"ssrcss-f6h2dj-InlineLink e1kn3p7n0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the largest full-year revision on record., external<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">The jobs created in 2024 under President Joe Biden were revised down by 598,000, though that was a smaller change than the more than 800,000 initially estimated &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/articles\/cy4ydqv8721o\" class=\"ssrcss-f6h2dj-InlineLink e1kn3p7n0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">an update which also caused political fallout<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">Prof Abraham says updates are part of the process and she was not surprised to see such large revisions for May and June, given increased difficulty of collecting responses and lack of investment in new methods &#8211; and the wider slowdown in the economy, driven in part by new tariffs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ssrcss-1q0x1qg-Paragraph e1jhz7w10\">&#8220;It&#8217;s always difficult when you&#8217;re at a point where things may be changing and then you add to that the fact that staffing has been constrained and the agencies haven&#8217;t had the resources to invest in following up with respondents the way they might have in the past,&#8221; she says.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"In records going back to 1979, the average monthly change to the jobs figures (either up or down)&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":318416,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3092],"tags":[51,897,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-318415","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-jobs","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-jobs","10":"tag-uk","11":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/114973232506475216","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/318415","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=318415"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/318415\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/318416"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=318415"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=318415"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=318415"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}