{"id":321471,"date":"2025-08-06T03:23:11","date_gmt":"2025-08-06T03:23:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/321471\/"},"modified":"2025-08-06T03:23:11","modified_gmt":"2025-08-06T03:23:11","slug":"is-bitcoins-mid-cycle-reset-the-start-of-btcs-next-bull-run-assessing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/321471\/","title":{"rendered":"Is Bitcoin\u2019s mid-cycle reset the start of BTC&#8217;s next bull run? Assessing&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<strong>Key Takeaways<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin is undergoing a mid-cycle supply rotation. Short-term holders are gaining ground as long-dormant coins reactivate at scale.<\/p>\n<p>A structural shift is unfolding in <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/predictions\/bitcoin-price-prediction\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">Bitcoin\u2019s [BTC]<\/a> supply dynamics.<\/p>\n<p>Long-Term Holder (LTH) supply has declined to 14.54 million BTC, marking a monthly low. In contrast, Short-Term Holder (STH) supply has climbed to 2.4 million BTC, reflecting a 7.96% uptick over the same period.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Notably, this <a href=\"https:\/\/studio.glassnode.com\/charts\/supply.LthSum?a=BTC&amp;s=1746603039&amp;u=1754379039&amp;zoom=90\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow external noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">rotation<\/a> aligns with BTC\u2019s 8.04% monthly close, where price wicked up to a new all-time high of $123K. Reinforcing this trend, Bitcoin\u2019s new address momentum is ticking higher.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/glassnode-studio_new-address-momentum.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-516576\" class=\"wp-image-516576 size-full\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" alt=\"Bitcoin momentum\" width=\"3200\" height=\"1800\" data-lazy- data-lazy- data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/glassnode-studio_new-address-momentum.png\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-516576\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Glassnode<\/p>\n<p>As shown in the chart, BTC\u2019s 30D SMA of new addresses has crossed above the 365D SMA for the first time in months. It is a classic signal of renewed on-chain expansion.<\/p>\n<p>Typically, this kind of crossover suggests the rate of new users onboarding is now outpacing the yearly trend, marking a strong vote of confidence from <a href=\"https:\/\/studio.glassnode.com\/charts\/addresses.MinPointZero1Count?a=BTC&amp;s=1746603039&amp;u=1754379039&amp;zoom=90\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow external noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">retail and newer market entrants<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Zooming out, the picture\u2019s clear: Bitcoin supply is rotating into fresher hands, and the network\u2019s heating up. That\u2019s a notable shift from past cycles where STHs were quick to de-risk on new highs.<\/p>\n<p><b>Bitcoin\u2019s supply map is getting redrawn<\/b><\/p>\n<p>CryptoQuant <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/cryptoquant_com\/status\/1952337722473140390\/photo\/1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow external noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">data<\/a> confirms a notable structural rotation in dormant BTC supply. Bitcoin\u2019s old supply is waking up fast, and in much bigger chunks.<\/p>\n<p>In 2023, only around 59k BTC from long-dormant wallets moved. But in 2024, that number exploded to 255k BTC, and 2025 is already at 214k BTC with months to go.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>What really stands out is the size of each move. Average TX size ballooned from 162 BTC to 1,011 BTC, signaling these aren\u2019t retail flows. It\u2019s likely high-conviction entities rotating supply back into active circulation.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/1.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-516586\" class=\"wp-image-516586 size-full\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" alt=\"BTC supply\" width=\"1312\" height=\"746\" data-lazy- data-lazy- data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/1.png\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-516586\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: CryptoQuant<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, 2025\u2019s average monthly reactivated supply sits at 30.7K BTC, marking a 6x jump YoY (Year-over-Year). And yet, despite this supply-side activity, Bitcoin has rallied above $120K, highlighting strong underlying demand.<\/p>\n<p>Put simply, Bitcoin is redrawing its supply map in real time. <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/JA_Maartun\/status\/1952127488638759205?t=d3uCKmaYwaAfDXJZK-O8CQ&amp;s=19\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow external noreferrer\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">Dormant capital is reawakening<\/a>, short-term holders are gaining market share, and on-chain user growth is accelerating.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>And these aren\u2019t symptoms of late-cycle euphoria. Instead, these are signs of a mid-cycle structural reset. <\/p>\n<p>As this repositioning unfolds behind the scenes, Bitcoin appears poised to enter its next major leg up.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tNext: <a href=\"https:\/\/ambcrypto.com\/ripple-examining-if-58m-whale-move-can-push-xrps-price-to-3-30\/\" rel=\"prev noopener\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\">XRP \u2013 Examining if $58M whale move can push prices to $3.30\u00a0<\/a>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Key Takeaways Bitcoin is undergoing a mid-cycle supply rotation. Short-term holders are gaining ground as long-dormant coins reactivate&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":321472,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[52,51,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-321471","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-business","8":"tag-ambcrypto","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-uk","11":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/114979681285094142","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/321471","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=321471"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/321471\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/321472"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=321471"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=321471"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=321471"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}