{"id":329544,"date":"2025-08-09T03:27:13","date_gmt":"2025-08-09T03:27:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/329544\/"},"modified":"2025-08-09T03:27:13","modified_gmt":"2025-08-09T03:27:13","slug":"sell-rgti-stock-ahead-of-its-earnings","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/329544\/","title":{"rendered":"Sell RGTI Stock Ahead of Its Earnings?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/1754710033_449_960x0.jpg\" alt=\"Photo Illustrations Of Listed Companies Ahead Of Earnings\" data-height=\"1058\" data-width=\"1588\" style=\"position:absolute;top:0\"\/><\/p>\n<p>CHONGQING, CHINA &#8211; MARCH 3: In this photo illustration, the Rigetti Computing Inc. logo is displayed on a smartphone screen, with the company&#8217;s latest stock market performance and candlestick charts visible in the background, highlighting Rigetti Computing&#8217;s real-time financial trends, stock price fluctuations, market volatility, and investment developments within the quantum computing, artificial intelligence, and technology sectors, on March 3, 2025, in Chongqing, China. (Photo by Cheng Xin\/Getty Images)<\/p>\n<p>Getty Images<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/RGTI\/?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI-2025-08-08\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/RGTI\/?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI-2025-08-08\" aria-label=\"Rigetti Computing (NASDAQ:RGTI)\">Rigetti Computing (NASDAQ:RGTI)<\/a> is set to announce its earnings on Tuesday, August 12, 2025. Historically, the stock has shown a greater likelihood of a negative one-day return following its earnings announcements. Over the last five years, RGTI stock recorded a negative one-day return in 57% of these cases. The median one-day loss was -6.9%, while the maximum one-day negative return reached -14.6%.<\/p>\n<p>For traders focused on events, historical trends can provide an edge. You can apply this information in two ways:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Position yourself before the earnings report, based on the historical probabilities.<\/li>\n<li>Position yourself after the earnings report, by evaluating the relationship between immediate and medium-term returns.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Although much will rely on how the company&#8217;s results stack up against analyst predictions, it&#8217;s crucial to recognize that Rigetti is an early-stage quantum technology firm that hasn&#8217;t yet turned a profit. Analysts anticipate that Rigetti&#8217;s Q2 results will demonstrate a contraction, estimating revenue around $1.87 million and a net loss of $0.04 per share. This indicates a revenue drop from $3.09 million in the same quarter of the previous year, although the net loss has improved from $0.09 per share.<\/p>\n<p>Examining the fundamentals, the company currently has a market capitalization of $4.5 billion. In the past twelve months, Rigetti achieved <a href=\"https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/RGTI\/no-login-required\/nLmcs8qc\/Rigetti-Computing-RGTI-Revenue-Comparison?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI-2025-08-08\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/RGTI\/no-login-required\/nLmcs8qc\/Rigetti-Computing-RGTI-Revenue-Comparison?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI-2025-08-08\" aria-label=\"$9.2 million in revenue\">$9.2 million in revenue<\/a> but did not reach profitability, incurring <a href=\"https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/RGTI\/no-login-required\/H4HKPgci\/Rigetti-Computing-RGTI-Operating-Income-Comparison?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI-2025-08-08\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/RGTI\/no-login-required\/H4HKPgci\/Rigetti-Computing-RGTI-Operating-Income-Comparison?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI-2025-08-08\" aria-label=\"an operating loss of -$74 million\">an operating loss of -$74 million<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/RGTI\/no-login-required\/hgqhrp9M\/Rigetti-Computing-RGTI-Net-Income-Comparison?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI-2025-08-08\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/RGTI\/no-login-required\/hgqhrp9M\/Rigetti-Computing-RGTI-Net-Income-Comparison?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI-2025-08-08\" aria-label=\"a net loss of -$138 million\">a net loss of -$138 million<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>That being said, if you are looking for potential gains with less volatility compared to individual stocks, the Trefis <a href=\"https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/PORTFOLIOS\/no-login-required\/RsQ6oXgC\/High-Quality-Portfolio?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI-2025-08-08\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/PORTFOLIOS\/no-login-required\/RsQ6oXgC\/High-Quality-Portfolio?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI-2025-08-08\" aria-label=\"High Quality portfolio\">High Quality portfolio<\/a> offers an option \u2014 it has outperformed the S&amp;P 500 and generated returns exceeding 91% since it was established. Additionally, check out \u2013<strong> <\/strong><a class=\"_1-FLFW4R\" href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/greatspeculations\/2025\/08\/08\/the-trade-desk-buy-ttd-stock-now-at-65\/?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI-2025-08-08\" data-ga-track=\"InternalLink:https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/greatspeculations\/2025\/08\/08\/the-trade-desk-buy-ttd-stock-now-at-65\/?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI-2025-08-08\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"The Trade Desk: Buy TTD Stock Now At $65?\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong data-ga-track=\"InternalLink:https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/greatspeculations\/2025\/08\/08\/the-trade-desk-buy-ttd-stock-now-at-65\/?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI-2025-08-08\">The Trade Desk: Buy TTD Stock Now At $65?<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/v2\/rankings\/earningsreaction?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI-2025-08-08\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/v2\/rankings\/earningsreaction?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI-2025-08-08\" aria-label=\"See earnings reaction history of all stocks\"><strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/v2\/rankings\/earningsreaction?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI-2025-08-08\">See earnings reaction history of all stocks<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Rigetti Computing\u2019s Historical Odds Of Positive Post-Earnings Return<\/p>\n<p>Here are some insights regarding one-day (1D) post-earnings returns:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>There are 15 earnings data points recorded over the previous five years, with <strong>6 positive<\/strong> and <strong>9 negative<\/strong> one-day (1D) returns observed. In summary, positive 1D returns have occurred about 40% of the time.<\/li>\n<li>Significantly, this percentage rises to 42% when we consider the data for the last 3 years instead of 5.<\/li>\n<li>The median of the 6 positive returns is 7.8%, while the median of the 9 negative returns is -6.9%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Additional data for observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns following earnings is summarized alongside the statistics in the table below. Related \u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/articles\/568606\/why-is-rigetti-stock-soaring-70\/2025-07-03?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI-2025-08-08\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/articles\/568606\/why-is-rigetti-stock-soaring-70\/2025-07-03?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI-2025-08-08\" aria-label=\"Why Is Rigetti Stock Soaring 70%?\"><strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/articles\/568606\/why-is-rigetti-stock-soaring-70\/2025-07-03?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI-2025-08-08\">Why Is Rigetti Stock Soaring 70%?<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>RGTI 1D, 5D, and 21D Post Earnings Return<\/p>\n<p>Trefis<\/p>\n<p>Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns<\/p>\n<p>A comparatively less risky approach (though ineffective if the correlation is low) is to understand the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns after earnings, identify a pair with the highest correlation, and carry out the necessary trade. For instance, if 1D and 5D show the strongest correlation, a trader can position themselves \u201clong\u201d for the next 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive. Below is some correlation data derived from a 5-year and a 3-year (more recent) history. Note that the correlation 1D_5D refers to the relationship between 1D post-earnings returns and subsequent 5D returns. Also, see \u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/articles\/569693\/can-rigetti-computing-stock-see-another-tenfold-increase\/2025-07-17?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI-2025-08-08\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/articles\/569693\/can-rigetti-computing-stock-see-another-tenfold-increase\/2025-07-17?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI-2025-08-08\" aria-label=\"Can Rigetti Computing Stock See Another Tenfold Increase?\"><strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/articles\/569693\/can-rigetti-computing-stock-see-another-tenfold-increase\/2025-07-17?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI-2025-08-08\">Can Rigetti Computing Stock See Another Tenfold Increase?<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>RGTI Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns<\/p>\n<p>Trefis<\/p>\n<p>Discover more about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/invest-with-trefis-portfolios?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI_EarningsReturn_20250808\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/invest-with-trefis-portfolios?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI_EarningsReturn_20250808\" aria-label=\"Trefis RV strategy\">Trefis RV strategy<\/a> that has <strong>outperformed its all-cap stocks benchmark<\/strong> (a combination of all three, the S&amp;P 500, S&amp;P mid-cap, and Russell 2000), producing strong returns for investors. Alternatively, if you are seeking gains with a more stable performance than an individual stock like Rigetti Computing, look into the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/PORTFOLIOS\/no-login-required\/RsQ6oXgC\/High-Quality-Portfolio-30-Stocks?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI_EarningsReturn_20250808\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/PORTFOLIOS\/no-login-required\/RsQ6oXgC\/High-Quality-Portfolio-30-Stocks?source=forbes&amp;from=RGTI_EarningsReturn_20250808\" aria-label=\"High Quality portfolio\">High Quality portfolio<\/a>, which has outperformed the S&amp;P and achieved over 91% returns since its launch.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"CHONGQING, CHINA &#8211; MARCH 3: In this photo illustration, the Rigetti Computing Inc. logo is displayed on a&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":329545,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3164],"tags":[3284,3358,118598,118600,118599,118597,53,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-329544","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-computing","8":"tag-computing","9":"tag-quantum-computing","10":"tag-quantum-stocks","11":"tag-rgti-earnings","12":"tag-rgti-revenue","13":"tag-rigetti-stock","14":"tag-technology","15":"tag-uk","16":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/329544","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=329544"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/329544\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/329545"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=329544"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=329544"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=329544"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}