{"id":333895,"date":"2025-08-10T19:29:19","date_gmt":"2025-08-10T19:29:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/333895\/"},"modified":"2025-08-10T19:29:19","modified_gmt":"2025-08-10T19:29:19","slug":"uk-military-too-stretched-to-provide-troops-under-ukraine-peace-deal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/333895\/","title":{"rendered":"UK military &#8216;too stretched&#8217; to provide troops under Ukraine peace deal"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n\t\t\t\t\tArmed forces may have to be pulled off existing commitments in order to be deployed should Trump manage to strike a peace deal for Ukraine, former MoD official warns\t\t\t\t\t                <\/p>\n<p>The UK will be forced to reduce existing military commitments in order to send troops to Ukraine, an expert and former senior official has said.<\/p>\n<p>The UK is a leading member of the <a class=\"post_in-line_link\" href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/world\/starmer-convenes-coalition-of-the-willing-for-second-ukraine-meeting-3586554?srsltid=AfmBOor_c6cNu7PvdPna3pxy9BSbrg6TvN_OJAUcAv_iUmwB4ymgkd9E&amp;ico=in-line_link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Coalition of the Willing<\/a>, a group of around 30 countries set to offer Ukraine protection and recovery assistance at the end of the war.<\/p>\n<p>The group has developed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gov.uk\/government\/news\/statement-of-the-coalition-of-the-willing-meeting-by-the-leaders-of-the-united-kingdom-france-and-ukraine-10-july-2025\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u201cmature operational plans\u201d<\/a> to deploy a \u201creassurance force\u201d known as Multinational Force Ukraine once hostilities have ended, with the UK <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/articles\/c9vygkzkkrvo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">committing to supplying \u201cboots on the ground and planes in the air\u201d.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>While no ceasefire agreement is imminent,<a class=\"post_in-line_link\" href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/politics\/uk-politics-latest-news-keir-starmer-gaza-migration-3840626?ico=in-line_link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> US President Donald Trump is meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin for bilateral talks<\/a> about ending the war in Alaska next week.<\/p>\n<p>The UK Government has remained tightlipped about its plans, including troop numbers and costs, but said in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gov.uk\/government\/news\/joint-leaders-statement-on-peace-for-ukraine\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">joint statement<\/a> yesterday that it stands ready to support peace in Ukraine by \u201cupholding our substantive military and financial support\u201d to Kyiv.<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"509\" width=\"760\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SEI_261401153_440af3.jpg\" alt=\"(FILES) US President Donald Trump (L) and Russia's President Vladimir Putin shake hands before attending a joint press conference after a meeting at the Presidential Palace in Helsinki, on July 16, 2018. US President Donald Trump and Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin could meet for a summit as early as next week, the Kremlin said on August 7, 2025. The meeting would be the first between a sitting US and Russian president since Joe Biden met Putin in Geneva in June 2021, and comes as Trump seeks to broker an end to Russia's military assault on Ukraine. (Photo by Yuri KADOBNOV \/ AFP) (Photo by YURI KADOBNOV\/AFP via Getty Images)\" class=\"wp-image-3852152\"  \/>US President Donald Trump and Russia\u2019s President Vladimir Putin shake hands before attending a joint press conference after a meeting at the Presidential Palace in Helsinki in 2018. (Photo: Yuri Kadobnov\/AFP)<\/p>\n<p>Matthew Savill, director of military sciences at the Royal United Services Institute and former top Ministry of Defence (MoD) official, said that the UK is \u201cso stretched that it would be really hard to do something new in Ukraine without pulling it away from, for example, a Nato commitment\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Savill stressed that Coalition of the Willing troops would not be considered peacekeepers and would instead be explicitly protecting Ukraine by deterring future Russian attacks and strengthening Ukraine\u2019s own armed forces.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe do have typhoons [fighter jets] and do a lot of Nato air policing. We might be pressured to say, instead of doing NATO air policing next year, we will put a rotation as part of Coalition of the Willing in Ukraine,\u201d Savill said.<\/p>\n<p>Savill \u2013 who worked in the MoD\u2019s crisis team responding to the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022  \u2013 said the UK would be \u201creally stretched\u201d to provide ground troops that could act as a deterrence force for future Russian aggression because it would require a sizeable contribution.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf it\u2019s a deterrence force, the reassurance force, you need a pretty decent, pretty chunky force. You\u2019d be talking about a battle group or even a brigade [a formation usually made up between 3,000 and 8,000 troops]. I don\u2019t think we can do that without also affecting our Nato commitments.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf you are talking about something that is much more of a training and capability-building programme, we could probably manage that as long as there are enough people.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>British forces have been \u2018hollowed out\u2019<\/p>\n<p>At the end of 2023, over 7,000 British troops were deployed on more than 40 operations abroad.<\/p>\n<p>Concerns have been raised in the highest echelons of the British forces about UK capabilities.<\/p>\n<p>Former chief of the defence staff, General Sir Nicholas Houghton told the <a href=\"https:\/\/publications.parliament.uk\/pa\/cm5804\/cmselect\/cmdfence\/26\/report.html#heading-2\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">House of Commons defence select committee<\/a> last year that the \u201chollowing out\u201d of the Armed Forces since 2010 had led to shortfalls in the UK\u2019s warfighting readiness.<\/p>\n<p>General Sir Nick Carter, another former defence chief, also warned the committee that the reduction in the size of the Armed Forces undermined their resilience, with the lack of mass and scale meaning that in a peer-on-peer conflict, the Forces would have exhausted their capabilities \u201cafter the first couple of months of the engagement\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>UK may need to increase defence spending<\/p>\n<p>While few nations have publicly committed to sending ground troops into Ukraine post war, other allies are expected to offer capabilities including air defence systems, as part of plans for the group \u201chelp secure Ukraine\u2019s skies and seas\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>They may also ramp of the training given to Ukrainian soldiers, as part of commitments to regenerate Ukraine\u2019s armed forces post-war.<\/p>\n<p>Savill warned that European countries may be forced to increase defence to match the Coalition demands, and would come under greater pressure if the US refuses to provide security guarantees.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"428\" width=\"760\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SEI_261594856.jpg\" alt=\"SLOVIANSK, UKRAINE - AUGUST 9: In this aerial view rescuers from the Emergency Services of Ukraine extinguish a blaze in the aftermath of a Russian drone strike on a warehouse storing food products on August 9, 2025 in Sloviansk, Ukraine. Sloviansk is the city where the war in Donbas began in 2014, marked by its occupation by Russian militias led by Igor Strelkov, also known as Girkin. The town was liberated by Ukrainian forces on June 5, 2014, marking a significant turning point early in the Donbas war. Control of Sloviansk was regained after weeks of fighting against Russian mercenaries. On Friday, August 15, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump is set to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska for talks aimed at ending the war in Ukraine. Trump has floated the idea of a territorial exchange as part of a potential deal, a proposal Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has firmly rejected. (Photo by Pierre Crom\/Getty Images)\" class=\"wp-image-3852154\"  \/>A blaze in the aftermath of a Russian drone strike on a warehouse storing food products on 9 August 2025 in Sloviansk, Ukraine. (Photo: Pierre Crom\/Getty Images)<\/p>\n<p>The UK currently spends 2.3 per cent of GDP on defence, which is due to rise to 2.5 per cent in 2027, and has committed to a <a class=\"post_in-line_link\" href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/uk-nato-target-defence-delays-years-3757188?srsltid=AfmBOoow2iy0Tfq4d1P59rKE-M2guFGfn6lpJ4sgAbzsU9QJ_wAAXZiY&amp;ico=in-line_link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nato target of spending 5 per cent on defence related expenses by 2035.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>However, Savill said allies could collectively make a strong force if nations buy in.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf it begins to fray at the edges, then we\u2019ll have a problem, because then [the UK] has got to be part of it more often with a larger component, and suddenly you\u2019re stretched elsewhere.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Dr Marina Miron, a war studies expert at Kings College London, said that the Coalition of the Willing is \u201cconstrained in their capabilities, their means, their troop numbers as well as experience, and, of course, political will.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>As for peacekeeping efforts \u2013 which the Coalition would not be there to provide but would engage with \u2013 Miron said Russia would be unlikely to accept a team of western peacekeepers, particularly when it holds most of the cards in current peace talks.<\/p>\n<p>It may accept the UN, Miron said, but questions would remain over who would fund the peacekeeping efforts, where they would operate, and what the rules of the operation would be.<\/p>\n<p>Ukraine unlikely to keep all territory despite Zelensky pledge<\/p>\n<p>Ahead of next week\u2019s Putin-Trump summit, Ukrainian President Volodymr Zelensky has reiterated that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2025\/08\/09\/g-s1-81860\/zelenskyy-rejects-ceding-ukrainian-territory\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ukraine will not give up territory in exchange for peace.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>However, many analysts believe it <a class=\"post_in-line_link\" href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/ukraine-war-end-maps-3654829?srsltid=AfmBOop-QC79BdT1YHYUOIed_MheFqGHKe6aelICv7SBfo0ZOfvfNIsi&amp;ico=in-line_link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">may now be necessary for Ukraine to make some territorial concessions<\/a>, with Russia <a class=\"post_in-line_link\" href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/world\/ukraine-bracing-battle-key-town-russia-claims-major-breakthrough-3835562?ico=in-line_link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">still making gains on the battlefield<\/a> and <a class=\"post_in-line_link\" href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/world\/weve-won-russians-crow-victory-putin-strings-trump-along-ukraine-3849377?ico=in-line_link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">under seemingly little domestic pressure to end the war.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Marnie Howlett, lecturer in Russian and East European Politics at the University of Oxford, previously told The i Paper that Putin has shown \u201cno real indication that he wants to end the war nor give back the land Russia currently occupies,\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Alex Petric, senior analyst on the Eurasia team at intelligence company Janes, said Russia is \u201cvery unlikely to relinquish its claims to an area of four partly occupied regions that remain under Kyiv\u2019s control\u201d.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"507\" width=\"760\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SEI_260687735.jpg\" alt=\"Rescuers work in a destroyed apartment building after a Russian missile attack in Kyiv, Ukraine, Thursday, July 31, 2025. (AP Photo\/Efrem Lukatsky)\" class=\"wp-image-3845521\"  \/>Rescuers work in a destroyed apartment building after a Russian missile attack in Kyiv, Ukraine, on 31 July 2025. (Photo: AP\/Efrem Lukatsky)<\/p>\n<p>Neil Melvin, director of international security at the defence think-tank the RUSI, said that the most likely starting point for ceasefire talks was to end the war along the current battlelines, which have remained broadly consistent for many months.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe conflict would be essentially frozen along the current lines of contact, although there have been suggestions that there would be a couple of areas that Russia may be willing to open up to Ukraine having a role,\u201d he previously told The i Paper.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOne is the mouth of the Dnipro river, which is very important for Ukraine\u2019s ability to export its grain to reach the <a href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/news\/world\/ukraine-russia-agree-black-sea-deal-drones-3604546?ico=most_popular&amp;srsltid=AfmBOopVDa7GxgozUaq0kqRvBU8JrUYN3EIul_8XW2r_ofLa0VA1GTQX\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Black Sea<\/a>, so that would be something of value. But these are quite small territories. Another strategic issue is what would happen to the <a href=\"https:\/\/inews.co.uk\/topic\/zaporizhia-nuclear-power-plant?srsltid=AfmBOorMQMVFz5vYu9OpkJQoHOpaIHPQAcg5jRfRmRZNH7aBJZZltX6J&amp;ico=in-line_link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant<\/a>. Reports suggest some compromise may see it come under US control.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The UK has said that it remains \u201ccommitted to the principle that international borders must not be changed by force\u201d but that the current line of contact \u201cshould be the starting point of negotiations.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Armed forces may have to be pulled off existing commitments in order to be deployed should Trump manage&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":333896,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7654],"tags":[32,2000,299,7661,62148,657],"class_list":{"0":"post-333895","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-ukraine","8":"tag-donald-trump","9":"tag-eu","10":"tag-europe","11":"tag-russia-ukraine-war","12":"tag-uk-army","13":"tag-ukraine"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/115006129131590687","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/333895","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=333895"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/333895\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/333896"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=333895"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=333895"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=333895"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}