{"id":354238,"date":"2025-08-18T13:16:13","date_gmt":"2025-08-18T13:16:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/354238\/"},"modified":"2025-08-18T13:16:13","modified_gmt":"2025-08-18T13:16:13","slug":"bitcoin-faces-bearish-risk-as-u-s-macro-clouds-outlook-whats-next","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/354238\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin faces bearish risk as U.S. macro clouds outlook – What’s next?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tKey Takeaways<\/p>\n

U.S. macro conditions show that Bitcoin may plunge soon, even though it has outperformed the S&P 500 in gains. Inflows into Bitcoin remain strong, with ETFs still attracting institutions.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin\u2019s [BTC]<\/a> performance over the past day has underwhelmed investors after it hit a new all-time high of $124,474 on the 14th of August.<\/p>\n

Following this peak, the world\u2019s largest cryptocurrency plunged to the $115,000 region within four days\u2014hinting at growing bearish pressure among investors.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/a><\/p>\n

Source: TradingView<\/p>\n

Chart analysis shows that Bitcoin has now traded into a key support level, which could provide a rebound. While market sentiment points to a possible upside, analysts continue to warn of a looming major decline.<\/p>\n

Analysts warn of a decline<\/p>\n

U.S. macroeconomic conditions indicate that a downturn could hit Bitcoin, with broader markets likely to follow.<\/p>\n

According to ICE BofA Option-Adjusted Spreads (OASs)\u2014a macroeconomic metric that tracks investor risk appetite in the U.S.\u2014Bitcoin\u2019s potential movements can often be predicted.<\/p>\n

Typically, a spike in this metric precedes a major upswing in Bitcoin\u2019s value, with the asset forming a local bottom. At present, the metric sits in a lower range, suggesting that a slow decline could be underway.<\/p>\n

\"ICE<\/a><\/p>\n

Source: Alphractal<\/p>\n

Crypto analyst Joao Wedson notes<\/a> that bearish sentiment in the U.S. macro landscape has been building since 2022.<\/p>\n

He adds that \u201ceuphoria is the most likely scenario\u201d before BTC enters an aggressive bear market \u201csooner or later,\u201d projecting that the path to 2026 favors the bears.<\/p>\n

Wedson said<\/p>\n

\n

\u201cI believe much of 2026 and beyond will be very bad for the U.S. economy.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Bitcoin outperforms U.S. market<\/p>\n

A comparison of Bitcoin against major stock indexes showed that it continued to outperform the S&P 500. According to Artemis<\/a>, Bitcoin delivered a 101% gain in the past year, compared to the S&P 500\u2019s 17.2%.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin,<\/a><\/p>\n

Source: Artemis<\/p>\n

This indicated that investors have earned significantly more from holding BTC than the S&P 500, highlighting the asset\u2019s position as a preferred destination for liquidity.<\/p>\n

As Bitcoin appeared more profitable, more investors are likely to be drawn in by its performance and potential for higher returns.<\/p>\n

U.S. investors drive accumulation<\/p>\n

U.S. investors currently lead market accumulation through their strong purchases of BTC spot ETFs.<\/p>\n

At press time, total Bitcoin under management reached $152.18 billion, equivalent to 589,260 BTC, since approval in 2024 per CoinGlass<\/a>.<\/p>\n

However, August data shows more outflows than inflows, with total net flows standing at negative $11.5 million\u2014signaling market withdrawals.<\/p>\n

Despite this, Bitcoin reserves among U.S. corporations have continued to rise, with companies now holding 4.8% of Bitcoin\u2019s total supply according to CoinGecko<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Notably, in the past day, MetaPlanet purchased $93 million worth of the asset.<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tPrevious: Chainlink rises 57.6% in a month, but THIS falling rate points to\u2026<\/a>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tNext: Crypto\u2019s next bull run could start in Asia, not Wall Street \u2013 Here\u2019s why<\/a>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Key Takeaways U.S. macro conditions show that Bitcoin may plunge soon, even though it has outperformed the S&P…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":354239,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[52,51,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-354238","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-business","8":"tag-ambcrypto","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-uk","11":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/115049960928654764","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/354238","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=354238"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/354238\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/354239"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=354238"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=354238"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=354238"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}