{"id":358963,"date":"2025-08-20T08:26:13","date_gmt":"2025-08-20T08:26:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/358963\/"},"modified":"2025-08-20T08:26:13","modified_gmt":"2025-08-20T08:26:13","slug":"air-fares-and-food-prices-push-up-uk-inflation-in-july","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/358963\/","title":{"rendered":"Air fares and food prices push up UK inflation in July"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Karen Hoggan<\/p>\n<p>Business reporter, BBC News<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/1755184337_952_grey-placeholder.png\" class=\"sc-d1200759-0 dkIvM hide-when-no-script\" aria-label=\"image unavailable\"\/><img decoding=\"async\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/fb688630-7c4e-11f0-b34b-3f615028e3e9.jpg.webp.webp\" loading=\"eager\" alt=\"Getty Images A woman sitting in a bar restaurant wearing a striped apron and checking off a pile of receipts against a tablet\" class=\"sc-d1200759-0 dvfjxj\"\/>Getty Images<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">Prices in the UK rose by 3.8% in the year to July, driven mainly by a jump in the price of air fares coinciding with the school summer holidays.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">That means inflation is at its highest level since January 2024 and still far above the Bank of England&#8217;s target of 2%. <\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">A rise in the cost of eating out, as well as food and non-alcoholic beverages more generally, also helped to push up prices, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">The Bank&#8217;s latest forecast expects inflation to peak at 4% in September.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">July&#8217;s inflation rise was slightly higher than most economists had predicted and compares with a rise of 3.6% in the year to June.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/1755184337_952_grey-placeholder.png\" class=\"sc-d1200759-0 dkIvM hide-when-no-script\" aria-label=\"image unavailable\"\/><img decoding=\"async\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/450a2220-7d90-11f0-83cc-c5da98c419b8.png.webp.webp\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"A line chart titled 'UK inflation rate up to 3.8% in July', showing the UK Consumer Price Index annual inflation rate, from January 2020 to July 2025. In the year to January 2020, inflation was 1.8%. It then fell close to 0% in late-2020 before rising sharply, hitting a high of 11.1% in October 2022. It then fell to a low of 1.7% in September 2024 before rising again. In the year to July 2025, prices rose 3.8%, up from 3.6% the previous month.&#10;&#10;\" class=\"sc-d1200759-0 dvfjxj\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">ONS Chief Economist Grant Fitzner said the &#8220;hefty&#8221; increase of 30.2%  in air fares between June and July was the biggest jump for that period since the collection of monthly data began in 2001. <\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">He said it was &#8220;likely due to the timing of this year&#8217;s school holidays&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">This year, the collection day for the ONS data overlapped with the start of the school holidays in a way they didn&#8217;t last year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">The cost of food and non-alcoholic beverages rose 4.9% in the year to July, up from 4.5% in the year to June. It was the fourth month in a row in which food and drink inflation had risen, bringing prices to their highest since February 2024. <\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">Coffee, fresh orange juice, meat, and chocolate saw the biggest price rises.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">Policy makers at the Bank of England take into account inflation and other economic data when deciding what to do about interest rates.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">Earlier this month, they narrowly voted to cut rates to 4%, down from 4.5%, taking rates to their lowest for more than two years.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">Inflation now predicted to hit 4% in September, which would not normally prompt further interest rate cuts.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">However, at the same time, the economy has been struggling to grow and the jobs market is uncertain, which would usually encourage the Bank to cut rates to encourage spending.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey told the BBC that this month&#8217;s decision to cut rates at been &#8220;finely balanced&#8221; and that the future course of interest rates was &#8220;a bit more uncertain frankly&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">&#8220;Interest rates are still on a downward path,&#8221; he said. &#8220;But any future rate cuts will need to be made gradually and carefully.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">Reacting to the latest figures, Chancellor Rachel Reeves said the government had &#8220;taken the decisions needed to stabilise the public finances, and we&#8217;re a long way from the double-digit inflation we saw under the previous government&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">But, she added, &#8220;there&#8217;s more to do to ease the cost of living&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">Shadow chancellor Mel Stride said the news on inflation was &#8220;deeply worrying for families&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-9a00e533-0 hxuGS\">&#8220;Labour&#8217;s choices to tax jobs and ramp up borrowing are pushing up costs and stoking inflation &#8211; making everyday essentials more expensive.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Karen Hoggan Business reporter, BBC News Getty Images Prices in the UK rose by 3.8% in the year&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":358964,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[13,12,14],"class_list":{"0":"post-358963","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-news","8":"tag-headlines","9":"tag-news","10":"tag-top-stories"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/115060145326798497","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/358963","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=358963"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/358963\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/358964"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=358963"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=358963"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=358963"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}