{"id":377024,"date":"2025-08-27T07:20:15","date_gmt":"2025-08-27T07:20:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/377024\/"},"modified":"2025-08-27T07:20:15","modified_gmt":"2025-08-27T07:20:15","slug":"inflation-resurges-in-july-with-consumer-prices-rising-more-than-expected","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/377024\/","title":{"rendered":"Inflation resurges in July, with consumer prices rising more than expected"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Inflation posted a resurgence in July, with consumer prices rising 2.8 per cent annually, according to the monthly figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">That&#8217;s an increase from the 1.9 per cent rise in the consumer price index recorded in June, and well above the 2.3 per cent expected by economists, according to a poll by Reuters.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"EmphasisedText_quote__TE6kn\"><p>&#8220;This is the highest annual inflation rate since July 2024, following several months of easing inflation,&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>  ABS head of prices statistics Michelle Marquardt said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">The annual trimmed mean, a measure of underlying inflation, also increased, to 2.7 per cent in July from 2.1 per cent in June.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">In the minutes of its August meeting, released on Wednesday, the Reserve Bank noted that headline inflation was expected to increase over the second half of this year, before returning to the mid-point of the target band.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">The central bank&#8217;s forecasts put the headline inflation rate at 3 per cent in December.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;While most of the jump in headline inflation in July reflected volatile components that the RBA will ignore, underlying inflation also rebounded,&#8221; Capital Economics head of Asia-Pacific Marcel Thieliant wrote.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Capital Economics has maintained its forecast for three more interest rate cuts by the RBA, but Mr Thieliant noted &#8220;the risks are tilted towards less easing&#8221;.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"EmphasisedText_quote__TE6kn\"><p>&#8220;While our base case remains that the [central] bank will eventually cut rates to 2.85 per cent, the latest inflation data may warrant a less expansionary stance.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Betashares chief economist David Bassanese, however, described the number as &#8220;an absolute shocker&#8221; and said the biggest disappointment was the &#8220;ugly&#8221; increase in the trimmed mean.<\/p>\n<p>Electricity rebate roll-off contributes to price pick-up<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Electricity costs rose 13.1 per cent in the 12 months to July, the ABS said, compared to a 6.3 per cent annual fall recorded a month earlier.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">The month-to-month volatility in prices reflects the roll-off of government rebates, with households in New South Wales and the ACT not receiving payments of the extended Commonwealth Energy Bill Relief Fund in July \u2014 their bill relief is instead due in August.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2025-08-19\/accc-investigate-energy-plans-potentially-misleading-consumers\/105672512\" data-component=\"FullBleedLink\" class=\"RelatedCard_link__rsgR9 FullBleedLink_root__lTw_U interactive_focusContext__yRhc_ interactive_defaults__AKxUU FullBleedLink_showVisited__g3Xvz\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ACCC investigates energy retailers over misleading savings claims<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_base__sj2RP RelatedCard_synopsis__cFwMW Typography_sizeMobile14__u7TGe Typography_lineHeightMobile20___U7Vr Typography_regular__WeIG6 Typography_colourInherit__dfnUx\" data-component=\"Typography\">The investigation comes as CHOICE flagged concerns that energy retailers use words like &#8220;saver&#8221; for plans that are far from the cheapest.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;This means that those households had higher out-of-pocket costs for electricity in July. In addition to this, prices rose due to annual electricity price reviews coming into effect,&#8221; the ABS noted.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">The impact of electricity prices was also discussed by the RBA&#8217;s monetary policy board at its August meeting, as a driver of the forecast temporary increase in headline inflation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;This volatility reflected the legislated unwinding of electricity rebates, which would boost headline inflation over 2025 and 2026,&#8221; the RBA minutes read.<\/p>\n<p>Rent hikes ease, fuel costs fall<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">The 3.6 per cent increase in housing costs, which includes electricity, was the biggest contributor to the monthly consumer price index (CPI), followed by food and non-alcoholic beverages (+3 per cent) and alcohol and tobacco (+6.5 per cent).<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2025-08-12\/rba-interest-rates-statement-on-monetary-policy-analysis\/105641978\" data-component=\"FullBleedLink\" class=\"RelatedCard_link__rsgR9 FullBleedLink_root__lTw_U interactive_focusContext__yRhc_ interactive_defaults__AKxUU FullBleedLink_showVisited__g3Xvz\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Where are rates heading?<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_base__sj2RP RelatedCard_synopsis__cFwMW Typography_sizeMobile14__u7TGe Typography_lineHeightMobile20___U7Vr Typography_regular__WeIG6 Typography_colourInherit__dfnUx\" data-component=\"Typography\">The Reserve Bank&#8217;s economic outlook suggests further room to cut interest rates, but it&#8217;s not all good news for most working-age Australians.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Rents continued to rise but at a more modest pace \u2014 rent increased 3.9 per cent annually in the month, easing back from a 4.2 per cent lift in June and 4.5 per cent in May.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"EmphasisedText_quote__TE6kn\"><p>&#8220;This is the lowest annual growth in rental prices since November 2022, consistent with stable vacancy rates across most capital cities,&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>  the ABS said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Transport costs fell in the month, with fuel prices down 5.5 per cent in the year to July, continuing the declines of the previous two months.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">After falling over the year to June, holiday travel and accommodation prices rose 3.3 per cent in the year to July, as the price of domestic holidays lifted in line with school holiday demand.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Fruit and vegetable prices were up 4.8 per cent annually, slightly below June&#8217;s rise, as avocado, grape and raspberry prices increased.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;Higher cocoa bean prices and egg shortages have contributed to price rises for snacks and confectionery (+5.6 per cent) and eggs (+18 per cent) in the 12 months to July,&#8221; the ABS noted.<\/p>\n<p>Supermarket competition heating up, Woolies disappoints investors<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Grocery price rises could be tempered by rivalry between the major supermarket chains, as Woolworths and Coles post results showing their continued competition with Aldi.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Woolworths reported a 19 per cent drop in its underlying profit, to $1.4 billion for the 2025 financial year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">The retail group&#8217;s headline profit came in at $963 million, an improvement on the previous year when it was hit by higher one-off impairment charges.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Signs and logos of Woolworths, Coles and Aldi\" class=\"Image_image__5tFYM ContentImage_image__DQ_cq\"  src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/8b84f2e51ce6c94609df5408308dd51b\" loading=\"lazy\" data-component=\"Image\" data-lazy=\"true\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_base__sj2RP FigureCaption_text__zDxQ5 Typography_sizeMobile12__w_FPC Typography_lineHeightMobile20___U7Vr Typography_regular__WeIG6 Typography_colourInherit__dfnUx\" data-component=\"Typography\">Woolworths, Coles and Aldi are competing on price as consumers continue to report cost-of-living pressures. (AAP: Lukas Coch)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Chief executive Amanda Bardwell said &#8220;current trading remains below our ambition&#8221;, noting &#8220;a highly competitive market right now on groceries and food&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Woolworths group sales lifted 1.7 per cent over the year, or 3.6 per cent if accounting for the fact there were 53 weeks in the previous financial year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;Despite revenue growth, the results fell short of expectations, reflecting cautious consumer spending and a competitive retail landscape,&#8221; fund manager Roger Montgomery told ABC News.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Ms Bardwell said customer feedback suggested cost-of-living concerns were still front of mind for shoppers, despite rate cuts.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;Families and young people focused on value,&#8221; the CEO told a conference call after the earnings release.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;Customers are telling us they&#8217;re stressed and overloaded.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">&#8220;There&#8217;s also been an increase in more frequent shopping \u2026 but buying less.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">On Tuesday, Coles reported a statutory net profit of $1.08 billion for the 2025 financial year, down 3.5 per cent from a year earlier, while supermarket sales rose 4.3 per cent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Analysts at RBC Capital Markets said the Coles result beat their forecasts, &#8220;driven by strong growth in supermarkets, partially offset by a weaker performance for liquor&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>Loading&#8230;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Coles said sales revenue grew 4.9 per cent in the first eight weeks of the 2026 financial year, which was higher than analyst expectations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Meantime, in the first eight weeks of the current financial year, Woolworths reported a 2.1 per cent increase in food sales.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Woolworths shares were down 12.8 per cent by 2pm AEST on Wednesday,<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph__iYReA\">Coles shares were up 3.3 per cent, adding to a more than 8 per cent gain on Tuesday.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Inflation posted a resurgence in July, with consumer prices rising 2.8 per cent annually, according to the monthly&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":377025,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3090],"tags":[1796,51,94720,42282,487,31786,1700,1312,6327,35,131607,131608,21508,48863,476,478,3716,2070,16,15,69107],"class_list":{"0":"post-377024","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-aldi","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-coles","11":"tag-consumer-price-index","12":"tag-cost-of-living","13":"tag-cpi","14":"tag-economy","15":"tag-electricity","16":"tag-electricity-prices","17":"tag-energy","18":"tag-energy-bill-rebate","19":"tag-energy-bill-relief","20":"tag-food-prices","21":"tag-grocery-prices","22":"tag-inflation","23":"tag-interest-rates","24":"tag-rba","25":"tag-supermarkets","26":"tag-uk","27":"tag-united-kingdom","28":"tag-woolworths"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/115099521893892624","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/377024","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=377024"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/377024\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/377025"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=377024"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=377024"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=377024"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}