{"id":399558,"date":"2025-09-05T08:56:10","date_gmt":"2025-09-05T08:56:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/399558\/"},"modified":"2025-09-05T08:56:10","modified_gmt":"2025-09-05T08:56:10","slug":"its-over-big-bank-bombshell-warns-no-more-rate-cuts-coming","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/399558\/","title":{"rendered":"It\u2019s over: Big bank bombshell warns no more rate cuts coming"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post-1056433 wp-image-1056431\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1056431\" data-capiid=\"b84657685ff00e8404e1dcf258753562\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"Coastal Suburb overhead perspective roof tops\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1056431\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">A surge in housing prices is adding to pressure.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">One of Australia\u2019s four biggest banks has issued a bombshell, warning homebuyers and owners hoping for more mortgage relief of no more rate cuts \u201cfrom here\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">The warning comes as the ANZ Bank issued its latest Macro summary on Friday flagging a possible impact on its forecast November rate cut \u2013 and all of those going forward.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">This as the country saw \u201csolid GDP growth of 0.6 per cent quarter on quarter despite no growth in public demand in Q2\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">MORE: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestate.com.au\/news\/big-bank-index-hits-2year-high-as-housing-frenzy-explodes\/?campaignType=external&amp;campaignChannel=syndication&amp;campaignName=ncacont&amp;campaignContent=&amp;campaignSource=the_courier_mail&amp;campaignPlacement=article\" title=\"www.realestate.com.au\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u2018Act now\u2019: Bank warning amid horror surge<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestate.com.au\/news\/broke-to-20m-32yos-powerful-message-for-struggling-aussies\/?campaignType=external&amp;campaignChannel=syndication&amp;campaignName=ncacont&amp;campaignContent=&amp;campaignSource=the_courier_mail&amp;campaignPlacement=article\" title=\"www.realestate.com.au\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Broke to $20m: 32yo\u2019s powerful message for struggling Aussies<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post-1056433 wp-image-1056429\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1056429\" data-capiid=\"247aa95190608f0a740f8b86c27a6bee\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"SYDNEY BIG BUSINESS\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1056429\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">ANZ has flagged momentum underway that could put further rate cuts on the backburner for the current cycle. Picture: NewsWire \/ Damian Shaw<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">That signals \u201cthe private sector recovery is underway\u201d, ANZ said, something the Reserve Bank will likely take to heart along with the fact that the effects of several rate cuts are yet to be felt, and house and rental prices are at record highs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">\u201cWe still think a rate cut in November is more likely than not; but the GDP figure increases the chances of there being no rate cut in November or, indeed, at all, from here,\u201d the ANZ report said. <\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">\u201cIf evidence of consumer spending momentum continues and weakness does not emerge in the CPI or labour market data, the RBA may assess the cash rate as broadly neutral with no further cuts needed.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">\u201cRising housing prices could add to consumer momentum, with capital city housing prices up 0.8pc m\/m in August, the largest monthly increase since May 2024.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">MORE: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestate.com.au\/news\/brisbane-home-prices-rise-a-shock-86000-in-one-year\/?campaignType=external&amp;campaignChannel=syndication&amp;campaignName=ncacont&amp;campaignContent=&amp;campaignSource=the_courier_mail&amp;campaignPlacement=article\" title=\"www.realestate.com.au\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Home prices rise a shock $86,000 in one year<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestate.com.au\/news\/townsville-tops-nation-home-prices-surge-176pc-in-12-months\/?campaignType=external&amp;campaignChannel=syndication&amp;campaignName=ncacont&amp;campaignContent=&amp;campaignSource=townsville_bulletin&amp;campaignPlacement=spa\" title=\"www.realestate.com.au\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Townsville tops nation: Home prices surge 17.6pc in 12 months<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img class=\"styles__StyledImage-sc-17n6uwl-1 hlcJVa size-full wp-post-1056433 wp-image-1056430\" loading=\"eager\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1056430\" data-capiid=\"2f762c788586fd2881eadebd6056ff31\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg xmlns=&quot;http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg&quot; viewBox=&quot;0 0 1280 720&quot;%3E%3C\/svg%3E\"  alt=\"\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-1056430\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The private sector recovery is underway. Source: ANZ Bank<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">MORE: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestate.com.au\/news\/cairns-home-prices-surge-98pc-outpacing-brisbane\/?campaignType=external&amp;campaignChannel=syndication&amp;campaignName=ncacont&amp;campaignContent=&amp;campaignSource=the_cairns_post&amp;campaignPlacement=spa\" title=\"www.realestate.com.au\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Cairns home prices surge 9.8pc, outpacing Brisbane<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.realestate.com.au\/news\/132m-and-rising-gold-coast-home-prices-closing-in-on-sydney\/?campaignType=external&amp;campaignChannel=syndication&amp;campaignName=ncacont&amp;campaignContent=&amp;campaignSource=gold_coast_bulletin&amp;campaignPlacement=spa\" title=\"www.realestate.com.au\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$1.32m and rising: Gold Coast home prices closing in on Sydney<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">It said \u201cthe RBA will likely interpret the strong increase in private demand \u2013 in particular the 0.9pc q\/q growth in household consumption \u2013 as a sign of economic momentum. It will be aware that the data do not capture the August rate cut or the full impact of the May rate cut.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">ANZ said the pick-up in consumer spending included a full percentage point drop in the household savings ratio to 4.2 per cent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">It said it was \u201cnot materially impacted by electricity rebate roll-offs (which mechanically shifts spending from the public sector to consumers in national accounts data).\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">\u201cThe July household spending indicator, at 0.5pc m\/m, reinforces this momentum.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">The next big data drop will be the monthly NAB Business Survey on Tuesday, which was widely expected to continue to show an \u201cuptrend in conditions\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\">The next RBA monetary policy board meeting is scheduled for September 29-30, with the interest rate decision announced at 2:30pm AEST on September 30.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text__Typography-sc-1103tao-0 bjGYxJ StyledP-sc-cebixd-0 bzEerj\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.couriermail.com.au\/real-estate\/queensland\" title=\"www.couriermail.com.au\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MORE REAL ESTATE NEWS<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A surge in housing prices is adding to pressure. One of Australia\u2019s four biggest banks has issued a&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":399559,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3090],"tags":[51,1700,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-399558","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-economy","10":"tag-uk","11":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/115150860294458291","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/399558","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=399558"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/399558\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/399559"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=399558"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=399558"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=399558"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}