{"id":469409,"date":"2025-10-02T21:21:15","date_gmt":"2025-10-02T21:21:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/469409\/"},"modified":"2025-10-02T21:21:15","modified_gmt":"2025-10-02T21:21:15","slug":"the-risk-is-an-information-blackout-in-labor-market-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/469409\/","title":{"rendered":"The Risk Is an \u201cInformation Blackout\u201d in Labor Market Data"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Since 1976, there have been 20 partial shutdowns with an average duration of one week, although the longest lasted 35 days. Throughout history, only four of these shutdowns extended beyond a single business day. The most recent was the 35-day standoff between late 2018 and early 2019\u2014the longest shutdown in U.S. history\u2014which occurred during President Trump\u2019s first term. A new actual shutdown will now be added to that list as of October 1. What do investors need to know about this shutdown?<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"497\" data-end=\"733\">First, that shutdowns are not uncommon; and second, historically, Treasury bonds have served as a safe-haven asset during these periods\u2014though it will be interesting to see if that remains the case given the recent challenges observed.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"497\" data-end=\"733\">\u201cThe S&amp;P 500 has shown little movement during shutdowns, but stocks and bonds typically fall before shutdowns and rebound once they begin, as expectations of a resolution increase. Prolonged shutdowns, like the 35-day one in 2018\u201319, can affect GDP and unemployment, although these effects tend to reverse once the crisis ends,\u201d says <strong data-start=\"1071\" data-end=\"1086\">Benoit Anne<\/strong>, Senior Managing Director and Head of the Market Intelligence Group at <strong data-start=\"1158\" data-end=\"1187\">MFS Investment Management<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"497\" data-end=\"733\"><img loading=\"lazy\" data-lazyloaded=\"1\" width=\"885\" height=\"400\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/gfa-shiw.png\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Since 1976, there have been 20 partial shutdowns with an average duration of one week, although the longest&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":469410,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3091],"tags":[51,2441,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-469409","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-markets","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-markets","10":"tag-uk","11":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/115306672330574230","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/469409","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=469409"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/469409\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/469410"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=469409"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=469409"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=469409"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}