{"id":479608,"date":"2025-10-07T04:34:13","date_gmt":"2025-10-07T04:34:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/479608\/"},"modified":"2025-10-07T04:34:13","modified_gmt":"2025-10-07T04:34:13","slug":"it-feels-exactly-like-1999-paul-tudor-jones-sees-one-last-run-before-the-mania-ends-vishal-teckchandani","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/479608\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;It feels exactly like 1999\u2019: Paul Tudor Jones sees one last run before the mania ends &#8211; Vishal Teckchandani"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>  <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"\" data-controller=\"event zoom\" data-event-name-value=\"image_click\" data-event-view-name-value=\"\" data-event-id-value=\"63894\" data-event-statisticable-value=\"wire\" data-event-custom-data-value=\"{}\" data-event-ga-category-value=\"\" data-event-ga-action-value=\"\" data-event-ga-label-value=\"\" data-zoom-target=\"image\" data-action=\"zoom\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Paul-Tudor-Jones_Final-Blowoff_primary.jpg\"  alt=\"Paul Tudor Jones\" style=\"\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Paul Tudor Jones<\/p>\n<p class=\"can-not-delete\">Legendary hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones says investors are entering a \u201cparty like it\u2019s 1999\u201d phase, a period of euphoric price appreciation driven by loose monetary and fiscal policy that could end badly, but not before delivering explosive gains for those willing to dance near the fire.<\/p>\n<p>In a wide-ranging CNBC interview, the billionaire trader &#8211; famed for predicting the 1987 crash and consistently reading the macro tea leaves &#8211; said all the ingredients are in place for a speculative blow-off top reminiscent of the dot-com bubble.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p class=\"wire-body-3rd-paragraph\">\u201cIt\u2019s like the Prince song &#8211;\u00a0it\u2019s 1999, party like it\u2019s 1999, right? It feels exactly like 1999,\u201d says Jones, the founder of Tudor Investment Corp.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Between October 1999 and March 2000, the NASDAQ doubled. Jones thinks investors could see something similar over the next few quarters &#8211; provided they have what he calls \u201chappy feet.\u201d<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cI don\u2019t know whether we\u2019ll actually replay it exactly, but I think all the ingredients are in place, and certainly from a trading standpoint, you have to position yourself like it\u2019s October of \u201999,&#8221; he says.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u201cAnd remember,\u201d he added, \u201cthe Nasdaq doubled between the first week of October \u201999 and March of 2000. So it looks like a duck and quacks like a duck &#8211; it\u2019s probably not a chicken, right?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>  <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"\" data-controller=\"event zoom\" data-event-name-value=\"image_click\" data-event-view-name-value=\"\" data-event-id-value=\"63894\" data-event-statisticable-value=\"wire\" data-event-custom-data-value=\"{}\" data-event-ga-category-value=\"\" data-event-ga-action-value=\"\" data-event-ga-label-value=\"\" data-zoom-target=\"image\" data-action=\"zoom\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/NDX_2025-10-06_20-41-00.png\"  alt=\"The Nasdaq-100 rocketed from 1,836 to 4,816 in barely a year - the final sprint of the dot-com boom.\" style=\"\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/p>\n<p>The Nasdaq-100 rocketed from 1,836 to 4,816 in barely a year &#8211; the final sprint of the dot-com boom.<br \/>\n\u201cYou have to play it &#8211; but be ready to run\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Jones\u2019 message is both exhilarating and unnerving. He says the final leg of a bull market often produces the biggest returns, but also the hardest fall.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cIf you just think about bull markets, the greatest price appreciation is always the 12 months preceding the top,\u201d he says.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u201cIf you don\u2019t play it, you\u2019re missing out on the juice. If you do play it, you have to have really happy feet because there will be a really, really bad end to it.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p class=\"\">He believes this cycle could be even more explosive than 1999 because, unlike then, central banks are easing &#8211; not tightening &#8211; and governments are running massive deficits instead of surpluses.<\/p>\n<p>Back then, the U.S. was on the verge of a rate hike; now it\u2019s heading for three or four cuts, with real interest rates heading toward zero.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"--standout\"><p>&#8220;That fiscal monetary combination is a brew that we haven\u2019t seen since the postwar period &#8230; and those were crazy times after the war,&#8221; says Jones.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>  <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"\" data-controller=\"event zoom\" data-event-name-value=\"image_click\" data-event-view-name-value=\"\" data-event-id-value=\"63894\" data-event-statisticable-value=\"wire\" data-event-custom-data-value=\"{}\" data-event-ga-category-value=\"\" data-event-ga-action-value=\"\" data-event-ga-label-value=\"\" data-zoom-target=\"image\" data-action=\"zoom\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/SPX_2025-10-06_21-06-10.png\"  alt=\"The S&amp;P 500 surged about 250% through the 1950s, powered by the post-war economic boom (Source: TradingView)\" style=\"\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 surged about 250% through the 1950s, powered by the post-war economic boom (Source: TradingView)<\/p>\n<p class=\"can-not-delete\"><b>The winners of the final melt-up (and the exit plan)<\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"\">If he\u2019s right, the coming months could see \u201cmassive price appreciation across a variety of assets.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>And Jones isn\u2019t shy about which ones he likes:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<b>Gold \u2014 <\/b>\u201cup 46\u201347% this year\u201d and still rising as investors hedge against debasement.<\/li>\n<li>\n<b>Bitcoin \u2014<\/b> \u201cup 50\u201360%\u201d and the spiritual heir to gold for the digital era.<\/li>\n<li>\n<b>Nasdaq \u2014<\/b> \u201cthe fastest horse\u201d for momentum players.<\/li>\n<li>\n<b>Retail-driven trades <\/b>\u2014 including meme-stock baskets, which Jones noted are up nearly 70%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;I&#8217;d want to have a combination of gold, crypto and the Nasdaq. I\u2019ve said that before, and I think that\u2019s still the right one. And I think whatever the fastest horse is at this point in time probably has a good chance of being that on 31 December,&#8221; he says.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Jones likened the current market to a race &#8211; one that professional investors can\u2019t afford to lose as they close out the year. With performance measured on a calendar-year basis, he believes managers will keep chasing momentum to finish strong.<\/p>\n<p>His setup is simple: as long as liquidity keeps flowing, momentum rules. The 200-day moving average remains his guidepost.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>&#8220;Nothing good ever happens under the 200-day moving average in any asset so when the market changes, I am going to change with it, simple,&#8221; says Jones.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\u201cThe biggest bubble we have is sovereign debt\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Jones argues that today\u2019s sovereign debt market is living on borrowed time.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Easy money and central-bank easing have \u201cpulled forward\u201d demand, leaving asset managers roughly US$500 billion overweight bonds as they rushed to front-run the coming rate-cut cycle.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The result, he says, is a bond market that looks calm on the surface but is being propped up by demand borrowed from the future.<\/p>\n<p>But the global policy shift toward growth at any cost\u00a0&#8211; from India and Korea to Germany and Japan &#8211; means deficits keep swelling beneath the surface. \u201cIt\u2019s wild that we continue to go ahead,\u201d he says. \u201cProbably England\u2019s the only place\u2026 where you\u2019re going to experiment with austerity.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>For Jones, it\u2019s as if the world\u2019s fiscal ship has gone off-map.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"--standout\">\n<p>\u201cI feel it\u2019s a bit like Star Trek \u2014 we\u2019re boldly going where no man has ever gone before,\u201d he says.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>He warns that once the easing cycle ends and the wave of pulled-forward demand subsides, markets will face a daunting reality: trillions in new debt supply, fewer natural buyers, and bond vigilantes finally waking from hibernation.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAI is taking us where no one\u2019s steering the ship\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Jones says AI is a double-edged sword: massive productivity gains on one side, social and environmental disruption on the other.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>And while 83% of Americans view it as a net positive, he warns that corporations are under-investing in safety and governance.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u201cCompanies spend just a quarter of 1% of total AI spend on safety. The public thinks it should be 5% or more,&#8221; he says.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Without a \u201cCaptain Kirk or a Spock\u201d guiding policy, he fears the AI revolution could amplify inequality and volatility even as it drives markets higher.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEvery crisis is a function of too much leverage\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Jones says leverage remains the ultimate indicator of when the party ends. Today\u2019s speculative tools &#8211; from leveraged ETFs to retail trading apps \u2014 have replaced old-school margin debt, but the dynamic is the same.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u201cEvery crisis is a function of too much leverage in the system. When you throw in leveraged ETFs, we\u2019re probably more elevated than October \u201999. My guess is we\u2019ll exceed that,&#8221; he says.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>His advice to investors? Ride the wave &#8211; but know when to jump off.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"--standout\">\n<p class=\"\">\u201cIt won\u2019t last forever. When the easing stops, the hangover begins,&#8221; says Jones.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The bottom line<\/p>\n<p>Jones hasn\u2019t lost his instinct for bold, clear calls.<\/p>\n<p>In 2020, he told investors to \u201cown the fastest horse\u201d \u2014 and Bitcoin, gold, and the NASDAQ delivered.<\/p>\n<p>Five years later, his message rhymes with history:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Play the rally, but respect the risk.<\/li>\n<li>Follow the price, not the politics.<\/li>\n<li>And when it feels like the party is about to end &#8211; make sure you know where the exits are.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"\">Until then, keep partying like it&#8217;s 1999:<\/p>\n<p>Never miss an update<\/p>\n<p>    Enjoy this wire? Hit the \u2018like\u2019 button to let us know.<br \/>\n    Stay up to date with my current content by<br \/>\n    <a class=\"text-primary\" data-controller=\"event\" data-event-name-value=\"auto_cta_link_click\" data-event-id-value=\"63894\" data-event-statisticable-value=\"wire\" data-event-custom-data-value=\"{&quot;section&quot;:&quot;auto_cta&quot;,&quot;experiment&quot;:&quot;LPH-4355&quot;,&quot;page&quot;:&quot;wire&quot;}\" data-event-ga-category-value=\"wire\" data-event-ga-action-value=\"auto_cta_link_click\" data-event-ga-label-value=\"auto_cta\" href=\"https:\/\/www.livewiremarkets.com\/sign_up?pid=537\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">following me<\/a> below and you\u2019ll be notified every time I post a wire<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Paul Tudor Jones Legendary hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones says investors are entering a \u201cparty like it\u2019s&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":479609,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3091],"tags":[2257,51,327,3327,23110,2441,976,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-479608","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-markets","8":"tag-bitcoin","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-gold","11":"tag-investment-strategy","12":"tag-market-crash","13":"tag-markets","14":"tag-nasdaq","15":"tag-uk","16":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/115331024055136378","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/479608","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=479608"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/479608\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/479609"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=479608"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=479608"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=479608"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}