{"id":53226,"date":"2025-04-26T22:40:11","date_gmt":"2025-04-26T22:40:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/53226\/"},"modified":"2025-04-26T22:40:11","modified_gmt":"2025-04-26T22:40:11","slug":"inching-tortuously-towards-the-fork-in-the-road-decision-time","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/53226\/","title":{"rendered":"Inching tortuously towards the fork in the road \u2013 decision time?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"900\" height=\"600\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Flag_of_brexit.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-36589\" style=\"width:200px\"  \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>In our latest monthly UK\/EU round-up, we assess the progress of the UK government towards its promised \u2018closer relationship\u2019 with the EU.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>For April, there is again little tangible to report yet, although behind the scenes is probably a hive of activity. But first, a very sad Brexit-related blockage. Children with cancer <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2025\/apr\/20\/children-with-cancer-cannot-wait-the-human-cost-of-clinical-trial-delays-after-brexit\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">can\u2019t get<\/a> the drugs they need due to Brexit red tape and costs. Parents must be asking why\u2026<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"799\" height=\"533\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/cancer-patient-superhero.jpg\" alt=\"Child cancer patient wearing a superhero costume in hospital.\" class=\"wp-image-47432\" style=\"width:400px\"  \/>Child cancer patient wearing a superhero costume in hospital. Image by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/voluntariadoyestrategia\/52353642712\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Volies<\/a> via Flickr (CC BY-SA 2.0)<strong>US or EU?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In the face of the current US administration\u2019s actions, just about everyone is pleading with the Government to align more closely with Europe, rebuild the trading relationship, or \u2018unpick Brexit\u2019. Labour\u2019s biggest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/uk\/politics\/trump-tariffs-brexit-starmer-trade-war-b2725289.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">financial backers<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2025\/apr\/11\/labour-mps-urge-ministers-to-focus-on-rebuilding-trading-relationship-with-eu\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Labour MPs<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2025\/apr\/12\/voters-want-keir-starmer-to-focus-on-rebuilding-trade-ties-with-eu-poll-reveals\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">voters<\/a>, even North American political <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/davidfrum\/status\/1912125562744692828?s=46&amp;t=a8eYjvIzQfrNv0i2BbRrvQ\">commentators<\/a>. Chancellor Rachel Reeves seems to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2025\/apr\/09\/uk-must-improve-trade-relations-with-europe-amid-us-trade-wars-warns-reeves\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">agree<\/a> but is still chasing that elusive US deal.<\/p>\n<p>Some Conservative stalwarts from the Brexit days <a href=\"https:\/\/www.standard.co.uk\/news\/politics\/amber-rudd-europe-donald-trump-keir-starmer-brexit-b1220677.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">have formed<\/a> the Conservative European Affairs Council to campaign for the UK to be more Europe-facing. Amber Rudd says that in the current world circumstances, \u201cWe\u2019re all pro-Europeans now\u201d. It\u2019s a hostile world for a small country on its own outside trading blocs, and Britain\u2019s attitude could <a href=\"https:\/\/www.europeanmovement.co.uk\/how_the_eu_s_strategic_autonomy_could_leave_brexit_britain_even_further_out_in_the_cold\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">leave<\/a> it very isolated.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Safety in numbers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Other European countries are looking for a port in the storm of international turmoil. In addition to ten <a href=\"https:\/\/commission.europa.eu\/strategy-and-policy\/policies\/eu-enlargement_en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">accession candidate<\/a> nations, some countries long outside the European Union are rethinking: <a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/implausibleblog.bsky.social\/post\/3lltnudniuc2d\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Norway<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/my-europe\/2024\/12\/22\/icelands-incoming-government-says-it-will-put-eu-membership-to-referendum-by-2027\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Iceland<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/fba63731-ae4e-4580-942f-e1257768d406\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Switzerland<\/a>. And now Armenia has <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/KyivIndependent\/status\/1908181084593881232\">passed<\/a> a law enabling its EU accession process to start. Is the UK an isolated outlier in Europe?<\/p>\n<p><strong>GDP growth<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The organisation <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bestforbritain.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Best for Britain<\/a> researches how to fix problems caused by Brexit. It commissioned some economists to carry out econometric modelling on the impact of US tariffs if the UK were to align with the EU on goods and services. This showed that alignment across all sectors (not just the SPS sector which is <a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/matthewholehouse.bsky.social\/post\/3ln46voww5226\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">likely to happen<\/a>) would result in 1.5% GDP growth, mainly in the Midlands and North. All within within the Government\u2019s \u2018Brexit red lines\u2019. Their polling shows that voters in all constituencies want closer alignment with the EU.<\/p>\n<p><strong>US deal<\/strong><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"534\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/rachel-reeves-in-washington.jpg\" alt=\"Rachel Reeves in Washington\" class=\"wp-image-47435\" style=\"width:400px\"  \/>Rachel Reeves is in Washington for the spring IMF summit. Image by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/hmtreasury\/54473903759\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">UK Treasury<\/a> via Flickr (CC BY-NC-ND)<\/p>\n<p>The UK is in a weak position and US leaders know it. As negotiations continue, there are questions about what conditions we may be forced to accept, for example in food standards. However in talks in America this week, Rachel Reeves <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2025\/apr\/23\/rachel-reeves-dashes-hopes-of-early-breakthrough-in-uk-us-trade-deal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">said<\/a> \u201cwe\u2019re not going to be relaxing our food standards.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>But Reform UK leader Nigel Farage <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2025\/apr\/20\/nigel-farage-defends-allowing-us-chlorinated-chicken-into-uk-as-part-of-trade-deal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">believes<\/a> that UK consumers should accept chlorinated chicken from the US. His remarks about protecting our poultry industry from cheap US competition suggests that he sees UK chicken as high-end farmers\u2019 market fare and US imports for lower budgets.<\/p>\n<p>There is also concern that the government may be offering sweeteners like loosening online safety laws for American tech companies. Senior\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/labour\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Labour<\/a>\u00a0select committee chairs are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2025\/apr\/16\/labour-select-committee-chairs-call-for-parliament-to-vote-on-trade-deal-with-us\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pushing<\/a> for parliament to have a vote on any UK\/US trade deal. Lord Sikka <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/premnsikka\/status\/1914928700786647104?ref_src=twsrc%255Egoogle%257Ctwcamp%255Eserp%257Ctwgr%255Etweet\">says<\/a> that outside the EU, we are having to \u201cscavenge\u201d for any trade deal, and Parliament should have a \u201cfree vote on any deal with Trump\u201d.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Summit<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>As we head towards the UK\/EU Summit on 19 May, the <a href=\"https:\/\/committees.parliament.uk\/committee\/202\/backbench-business-committee\/news\/206488\/mps-to-hold-a-debate-on-the-trading-relationship-with-the-eu\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">debate<\/a> <a>conducted yesterday (24 April)<\/a> on our EU trading relationship came at a good time. And <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.eu\/article\/eu-uk-defense-deal-in-sight-at-may-summit\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">discussions<\/a> in Brussels between EU ambassadors ahead of the Summit have addressed defence and security issues.<\/p>\n<p>Trade advisor David Henig sees progress in the preparations for the Summit. He <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradeandbusiness.uk\/news\/progress-made-ahead-of-uk-eu-summit\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">says<\/a> that agreeing future enhancements would \u201crespond to President Trump\u2019s attacks on Europe and trade by committing to progressively deepening the UK-EU relationship.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The UK government <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2025\/apr\/24\/uk-deal-with-eu-will-not-return-to-arguments-of-the-past-minister-says\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">says<\/a> it will pursue a new partnership and \u201cnot return to the arguments of the past\u201d. And there are subtle hints of progress. The long-debated youth mobility <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2025\/apr\/23\/labour-letter-youth-mobility-scheme-brexit-eu-brussels\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">agreement<\/a> is on the cards. The EU may now consider a time and number limit on youth visas, which the UK wants. The UK is apparently <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/posts\/alyn-smith_uk-signals-openness-to-eu-court-oversight-activity-7317843602997469184-hcvC\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">open<\/a> to EU Court oversight of food exports, which is a step towards alignment.<\/p>\n<p>Brexiters are <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/june_mummery\/status\/1914747833510514720?ref_src=twsrc%255Egoogle%257Ctwcamp%255Eserp%257Ctwgr%255Etweet\">concerned<\/a> that Starmer will make concessions on fishing rights to achieve the defence pact. However, the defence industry is nearly nine times bigger than fishing, and of particular urgency at the moment. There are always trade-offs.<\/p>\n<p><strong>In a bind<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The US\/EU \u2018choice\u2019 is not simple. The government could continue trying to get closer to both the EU and the US, but as Chris Grey <a href=\"https:\/\/chrisgreybrexitblog.blogspot.com\/2025\/04\/arthur-daleys-brexit.html?m=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">puts it<\/a>, \u201call the time having to calibrate each relationship against what each of those parties will allow the UK to agree with either of the others. This is the degrading \u2018sovereignty\u2019 to which the Brexiters have consigned us.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Given Trump\u2019s tariffs chaos, Europe could be more dependable in trade agreements. But in the end, it\u2019s not just trade. With the precarious security situation in Ukraine, the UK must decide who is a reliable partner.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/eastangliabylines.co.uk\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">More<\/a> from East Anglia Bylines<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/chuffed.org\/project\/bylinesnetwork\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"577\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Bylines_Network_Crowdfunder-1024x577.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-38948 size-full\"  \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-medium-font-size\"><strong>CLICK <a href=\"https:\/\/chuffed.org\/project\/bylinesnetwork\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">HERE<\/a><strong> <strong>TO DONATE TO OUR CROWDFUNDER<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-small-font-size\"><strong><strong><strong>HELP US BECOME STRONGER SO THAT WE CAN CONTINUE TO DELIVER POWERFUL CITIZEN JOURNALISM!<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/chuffed.org\/project\/bylinesnetwork\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/1745707211_376_Chuffed.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-57339\" style=\"width:155px;height:82px\"\/><\/a> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"In our latest monthly UK\/EU round-up, we assess the progress of the UK government towards its promised \u2018closer&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":53227,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5226],"tags":[802,748,2000,299,5187,1699,4884,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-53226","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-brexit","8":"tag-brexit","9":"tag-britain","10":"tag-eu","11":"tag-europe","12":"tag-european","13":"tag-european-union","14":"tag-great-britain","15":"tag-uk","16":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/114406675252302269","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53226","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=53226"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53226\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/53227"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=53226"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=53226"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=53226"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}