{"id":569041,"date":"2025-11-14T04:07:15","date_gmt":"2025-11-14T04:07:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/569041\/"},"modified":"2025-11-14T04:07:15","modified_gmt":"2025-11-14T04:07:15","slug":"china-economic-gloom-mounts-as-housing-slump-intensifies-and-investment-slides","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/569041\/","title":{"rendered":"China economic gloom mounts as housing slump intensifies and investment slides"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>CHENGDU, CHINA &#8211; OCTOBER 18: People walk past the Louis Vuitton store at Taikoo Li, a high-end shopping area that combines traditional Sichuan-style architecture with modern luxury retail, on October 18, 2025, in Chengdu, China. <\/p>\n<p>Cheng Xin | Getty Images News | Getty Images <\/p>\n<p>China&#8217;s slowdown worsened in October, dragged by soft consumer demand and a deepening property downturn, with the long holiday period further denting factory activity.<\/p>\n<p>Fixed-asset investment, which includes real estate, contracted 1.7% for the first ten months of the year, steepening from a 0.5% decline in the January-to-September period, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed Friday. Analysts polled by Reuters had forecast a 0.8% drop.<\/p>\n<p>The last time China recorded a contraction in fixed-asset investment was in 2020 during the pandemic, according to data going back to 1992 from Wind Information, a private database focused on the country.<\/p>\n<p>On a single-month basis, fixed-asset investment fell 11.4% from a year earlier, the weakest reading since early 2020 when the first Covid lockdowns hit, according to Goldman Sachs&#8217; estimates. The bank attributed the drop to Beijing&#8217;s efforts in reining in industrial overcapacity and the housing downturn.<\/p>\n<p>Within that segment, property investment continued to decline, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.stats.gov.cn\/sj\/zxfb\/202511\/t20251114_1961853.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">shrinking 14.7% in the year through October<\/a>, compared with a 13.9% contraction in the first nine months.<\/p>\n<p>Manufacturing investment rose 2.7% and utilities spending, which includes electricity, fuel and water supplies, climbed 12.5%.<\/p>\n<p>Industrial output expanded 4.9% in October, slowing from a 6.5% the prior month and missing expectations for a 5.5% jump.<\/p>\n<p>China&#8217;s manufacturing activity contracted <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/10\/31\/china-manufacturing-pmi-october-.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">more than expected in October<\/a>, falling to the lowest level in six months, as a weeklong holiday that ran from Oct. 1 to Oct. 8 shuttered most factories across the country.<\/p>\n<p>Retail sales climbed 2.9% in October from a year earlier. While beating the 2.8% growth forecast in a Reuters poll, the consumption gauge fell for a fifth straight month to its lowest level this year, according to LSEG data.<\/p>\n<p>The survey-based urban unemployment rate ticked down to 5.1% last month from 5.2% in September.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"flourish-credit\" href=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/24692141\/?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_campaign=visualisation\/24692141\" target=\"_top\" style=\"text-decoration:none!important\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Made with Flourish\" src=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/resources\/made_with_flourish.svg\" style=\"width:105px!important;height:16px!important;border:none!important;margin:0!important;\"\/> <\/a><\/p>\n<p>The sharp drop in fixed-asset investment was largely dragged down by lackluster investment in the property sector and infrastructure, according to Zhiwei Zhang, president and chief economist at Pinpoint Asset Management.<\/p>\n<p>Manufacturing investment has seen &#8220;modest and uneven growth,&#8221; with state-owned enterprises increasing spending on infrastructure, such as electricity, heat and gas supply, while foreign investment contracted sharply, Yuhan Zhang, principal economist of the Conference Board&#8217;s China Center, said in a note.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We will continue to see policy-directed investment in infrastructure, advanced manufacturing, and industrial upgrading,&#8221; he added.<\/p>\n<p>In a sign of persistently weak demand in the beleaguered housing sector, separate official data released on Friday showed China&#8217;s new home prices <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/asia-pacific\/chinas-october-new-home-prices-fall-fastest-pace-year-2025-11-14\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">dipped 0.5% in October<\/a> from the previous month, the steepest month-on-month decline since October last year. Home prices fell 2.2% in October on an annual basis.<\/p>\n<p>Consumer prices <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/11\/09\/china-october-cpi-ppi-deflation-consumer-prices-.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">rose 0.2% from a year earlier<\/a> in October, the strongest inflation reading since January this year and the first positive growth since June, according to LSEG data.<\/p>\n<p>The core CPI, which strips out food and energy, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.stats.gov.cn\/sj\/zxfb\/202511\/t20251109_1961826.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">rose 1.2% from a year earlier<\/a>, the highest since February 2024, according to data provider Wind Information.<\/p>\n<p>China&#8217;s exports in October unexpectedly contracted for the first time in nearly two years as tensions with Washington over trade escalated before a deal was reached at the month&#8217;s end.<\/p>\n<p>U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping agreed last month to trim their tit-for-tat tariffs and suspend a raft of restrictive measures for one year.<\/p>\n<p>Economists widely expect the\u00a0\u00a0as businesses&#8217; front-loading activity tapers off, and global demand may not fully offset a deepening decline in U.S.-bound shipments, putting Beijing under greater pressure to stimulate domestic demand.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I don&#8217;t expect stimulus to happen in the rest of this year,&#8221; said Zhang, noting the economy appears to remain on track to achieve its 5% growth target, although fiscal policy may turn more supportive at the start of next year.<\/p>\n<p>China&#8217;s economic growth slowed to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/10\/20\/china-economic-growth-gdp-september-third-quarter-q3-retail-sales-industrial-output-urban-investment-fixed-income.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">4.8% in the third quarter<\/a>, following expansions of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/07\/15\/chinas-second-quarter-gdp-growth-slows-to-5point2percent-as-economists-warn-of-mounting-headwinds-ahead.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">5.2% in the second quarter<\/a> and 5.4% in the first quarter.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"CHENGDU, CHINA &#8211; OCTOBER 18: People walk past the Louis Vuitton store at Taikoo Li, a high-end shopping&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":569042,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3090],"tags":[15193,21350,4959,51,3085,1700,2441,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-569041","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-asia-economy","9":"tag-breaking-news-asia","10":"tag-breaking-news-markets","11":"tag-business","12":"tag-business-news","13":"tag-economy","14":"tag-markets","15":"tag-uk","16":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/115546086186899327","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/569041","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=569041"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/569041\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/569042"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=569041"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=569041"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=569041"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}