{"id":594729,"date":"2025-11-26T09:49:13","date_gmt":"2025-11-26T09:49:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/594729\/"},"modified":"2025-11-26T09:49:13","modified_gmt":"2025-11-26T09:49:13","slug":"gold-xauusd-silver-price-forecast-rate-cut-odds-surge-to-84-as-metals-extend-gains","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/594729\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold (XAUUSD) &#038; Silver Price Forecast: Rate-Cut Odds Surge to 84% as Metals Extend Gains"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The shift in sentiment followed Tuesday\u2019s economic reports showing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/retail-consumer\/us-retail-sales-miss-expectations-september-2025-11-25\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">U.S. retail<\/a> sales rising less than expected in September and the Producer Price Index increasing 2.7% year over year, unchanged from August and below market expectations. The combination of tempered demand and controlled producer inflation reinforced the view that monetary policy may be tighter than necessary.<\/p>\n<p>The dollar slipped to a one-week low as traders speculated the next Federal Reserve chair may adopt a more accommodative stance. A weaker dollar tends to increase global appetite for gold and silver by lowering the cost of dollar-denominated commodities for overseas buyers.<\/p>\n<p>U.S. Treasury yields also remained under pressure, with the benchmark 10-year note trading near one-month lows. Lower yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, historically strengthening demand for gold during periods when markets anticipate the Fed will ease.<\/p>\n<p>Markets are now pricing an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/news\/forex-news\/asia-fx-steady-as-fed-cut-bets-rise-aussie-gains-on-hot-cpi-kiwi-jumps-post-rbnz-4378737\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">84% probability<\/a> of a December rate cut, sharply higher than the 50% odds seen last week, according to CME FedWatch data\u2014marking one of the fastest shifts in rate expectations this quarter.<\/p>\n<p>Silver Benefits From Broader Risk Repricing<\/p>\n<p>Silver tracked the move in gold, supported by the same combination of a softer dollar, lower yields, and rising expectations for policy easing. While industrial demand remains mixed, the metal continues to benefit from its dual role as both a precious and industrial commodity, allowing it to capture haven flows without losing exposure to cyclical themes.<\/p>\n<p>The next focal point for both metals will be the U.S. weekly jobless claims report, which may further influence rate expectations and guide market direction into the December policy meeting.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The shift in sentiment followed Tuesday\u2019s economic reports showing U.S. retail sales rising less than expected in September&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":594730,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[186977,51,329,1743,327,43185,78976,13949,1746,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-594729","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-business","8":"tag-arslan_metals","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-commodities","11":"tag-fundamental","12":"tag-gold","13":"tag-home-page-1","14":"tag-popular-news","15":"tag-silver","16":"tag-technical","17":"tag-uk","18":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/115615378039229946","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/594729","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=594729"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/594729\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/594730"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=594729"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=594729"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=594729"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}