The pro-Brexit majority which voted to leave the EU nine years ago has \u201cliterally died out\u201d, according to a polling expert.<\/p>\n
Peter Kellner, who founded YouGov and sat as its president until 2016 \u2013 the year of the Brexit referendum \u2013 predicted that there\u2019s most likely a majority of 8 million now in favour of rejoining the bloc.<\/p>\n
Writing for the New European,<\/a> he pointed out that 1.3 million more voters backed Leave compared to those who supported Remain in the referendum.<\/p>\n Since then more than six million Brits have died, Kellner said.<\/p>\n Considering the turnout among older voters was higher than average and that 64% of over-65s backed Brexit, he said it is safe to assume 3.2 million pro-Leave voters have died in the last nine years, compared to 1.8 million Remainers.<\/p>\n Kellner said: \u201cThis means that among people who are alive today and who voted in the 2016 referendum, Remainers exceed Leavers by 14.3 to 14.2 million.\u201d<\/p>\n In addition, the pollster pointed out that the six million young people who have reached voting age since 2016 are more likely to be pro-EU.<\/p>\n Even if just three million of them were to actually vote in a future referendum, that would take the Remain majority to two million.<\/p>\n Many voters have also changed their minds since the referendum, with four million Leave voters now wanting to rejoin the bloc.<\/p>\n According to Kellner, all of these changes mean there is now an 8.1 million majority among the British electorate for rejoining the EU.<\/p>\n He also rejected claims that it would be undemocratic to overturn the result too, noting: \u201cThat requires a belief that the votes of the dead count for more than the views of the young.\u201d<\/p>\n His remarks come amid a shift within the Labour government\u2019s approach towards Brexit.<\/p>\n Prime minister Keir Starmer called out the \u201cwild promises\u201d<\/a> made by Brexiteers only last week.<\/p>\n Deputy PM David Lammy also sparked controversy<\/a> when he appeared to hint Britain would be better off if it were in the EU customs union, although the government has officially ruled out attempting to rejoin<\/a>.<\/p>\n Even so, as the UK economy continues to flounder, evidence of the harm Brexit caused continues to emerge.<\/p>\n National Bureau of Economic Research recently claimed<\/a>: \u201cBy the start of 2025, the UK economy was approximately 8% smaller than it would have been without Brexit.\u201d<\/p>\n This amounts to \u00a3240 billion a year \u2013 an amount the current cash-strapped government could only baulk at.<\/p>\n \ud83d\udcca The Brexit majority hasn\u2019t just slipped \ud83d\udc49it\u2019s vanished. Completely.<\/p>\n This chart from Peter Kellner\/YouGov shows:<\/p>\n \u2022 5 million 2016 voters have died \u2014 Liz Webster (@LizWebsterSBF) December 8, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n
\u2022 New young voters back Rejoin by 5:1
\u2022 29% of Leave voters now want to rejoin
\u2022 Net result: Rejoin 19.8m vs Stay Out 11.7m\u2026 https:\/\/t.co\/Bg01MbziBz<\/a> pic.twitter.com\/haTPfg27mF<\/a><\/p>\n