{"id":675777,"date":"2026-01-05T16:34:17","date_gmt":"2026-01-05T16:34:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/675777\/"},"modified":"2026-01-05T16:34:17","modified_gmt":"2026-01-05T16:34:17","slug":"latest-opta-supercomputer-model-provides-exciting-verdict-on-leeds-uniteds-survival-hopes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/675777\/","title":{"rendered":"Latest Opta Supercomputer model provides exciting verdict on Leeds United&#8217;s survival hopes"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Leeds United have received another boost to their hopes of staying in the Premier League in the latest Opta SuperComputer model.  <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.leedsunited.news\/tag\/daniel-farke\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Daniel Farke<\/a> and his Leeds side have gradually opened up a significant gap on the relegation places in recent weeks, with the Whites now sitting eight points clear of 18th place. <\/p>\n<p>This represents a remarkable turnaround for a team who were in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.leedsunited.news\/tag\/premier-league\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Premier League<\/a> bottom three at the beginning of their current seven-game unbeaten run. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.leedsunited.news\/news\/daniel-farke-delivers-positive-jayden-bogle-update-but-leeds-united-trio-doubtful-for-newcastle\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Leeds have several doubts<\/a> for their trip to the North East to face Newcastle United in midweek; however, Farke knows he has some margin for error after his side\u2019s recent good run of form. <\/p>\n<p>This newfound comfort is reflected in the latest survival prediction from Opta, who have significantly reduced Leeds\u2019 chances of being relegated in their statistical model. <\/p>\n<p>          How many more points do Leeds need to survive? \ud83d\udcc9 <\/p>\n<p class=\"grv-talking-point__subtitle\">Farke has said a point a game will be enough\u2026<\/p>\n<p>     <img decoding=\"async\" width=\"819\" height=\"1024\" loading=\"lazy\"  src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/LUN-23-819x1024.png\" alt=\"Gary Neville on Leeds' fight against relegation.\" class=\"wp-image-124513\" \/>Photo by James Gill \u2013 Danehouse\/Getty Images     <\/p>\n<p> \ud83d\udc47 Join the debate; share your insight. Use the comment button on the bottom left to have your say <\/p>\n<p>   Opta SuperComputer backs Leeds United for Premier League survival<\/p>\n<p>Following consecutive defeats against Brighton and Nottingham Forest, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.leedsunited.news\/news\/opta-predicts-whether-leeds-united-will-avoid-premier-league-relegation-amid-terrible-form\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Opta SuperComputer gave Leeds a 52.81% chance<\/a> of being relegated, predicting that they would finish the season with just 35 points. <\/p>\n<p>However, the odds have shifted significantly in Leeds\u2019 favour since then, with the latest <a href=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/competition\/premier-league\/table\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Opta<\/a> model showing just how far Farke\u2019s side have come. <\/p>\n<p>MORE LEEDS UNITED STORIES<\/p>\n<p>According to the latest SuperComputer prediction, Farke\u2019s side will now finish the season on 42.18 points in 16th place, ahead of Nottingham Forest on 38.33 in 17th and 10 points ahead of West Ham in 18th on 32.07. <\/p>\n<p>This is also reflected in Leeds\u2019 probability of being relegated, which has dropped from over 50% to just 7.38%, with West Ham\u2019s chances of dropping to the Championship now at 76.65%.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" loading=\"lazy\"  src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/GettyImages-2249716056-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"Leeds United players celebrate after scoring against Liverpool\" class=\"wp-image-124328\" \/>Photo by Robbie Jay Barratt \u2013 AMA\/Getty ImagesOpta deliver Newcastle United v Leeds United prediction<\/p>\n<p>However, despite Leeds\u2019 encouraging recent run of form, <a href=\"https:\/\/theanalyst.com\/competition\/premier-league\/fixtures\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Opta<\/a> are less optimistic about their chances of picking up a result at St James\u2019 Park. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.leedsunited.news\/match-coverage\/leeds-united-player-ratings-vs-newcastle-united-as-sean-longstaff-shines-but-4-10-signing-underwhelms\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Leeds and Newcastle played out a turgid 0-0 draw<\/a> at Elland Road earlier this season, but the Magpies\u2019 home advantage tips the balance in their favour for this game. <\/p>\n<p>          Who will be the biggest miss for Leeds in their trip to face Newcastle? <\/p>\n<p class=\"grv-talking-point__subtitle\">The injury doubts are stacking up for Daniel Farke \ud83e\udd15<\/p>\n<p>     <img decoding=\"async\" width=\"819\" height=\"1024\" loading=\"lazy\"  src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/LUN-9-819x1024.jpg\" alt=\"Jayden Bogle of Leeds United\" class=\"wp-image-124566\" \/>Credit: Michael Regan\/Getty Images     <\/p>\n<p> \ud83d\udc47 Join the debate; share your insight. Use the comment button on the bottom left to have your say <\/p>\n<p>According to the prediction, Newcastle have a 63.8% chance of securing a Premier League win against Leeds, with the away side given a 16.9% chance of picking up a win, and with 19.3% chance of the game ending in a draw. <\/p>\n<p>But Leeds have made a habit of defying the odds in recent weeks and, having improved away from home in recent weeks, Farke will be confident that his side can pull off a draw on Tyneside. <\/p>\n<p>  Join Our Newsletter <\/p>\n<p>Receive a digest of our best Leeds content each week direct to your mailbox<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Leeds United have received another boost to their hopes of staying in the Premier League in the latest&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":675778,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8814],"tags":[748,393,4884,1860,101,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-675777","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-leeds","8":"tag-britain","9":"tag-england","10":"tag-great-britain","11":"tag-leeds","12":"tag-premier-league","13":"tag-uk","14":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/115843463051893063","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/675777","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=675777"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/675777\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/675778"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=675777"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=675777"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=675777"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}