{"id":698528,"date":"2026-01-15T21:55:14","date_gmt":"2026-01-15T21:55:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/698528\/"},"modified":"2026-01-15T21:55:14","modified_gmt":"2026-01-15T21:55:14","slug":"andrew-neil-says-scotland-has-a-death-wish-after-poll-shows-snp-on-course-to-retain-power","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/698528\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Neil says &#8216;Scotland has a death wish&#8217; after poll shows SNP on course to retain power"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>With one in seven pounds raised in tax in Scotland now paid out in benefits, the SNP&#8217;s strategy of bribing voters appears to be paying off&#8230; much to the disgust and disbelief of many<\/p>\n<p>20:25, 15 Jan 2026Updated 20:27, 15 Jan 2026<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/1_GP32834914.jpg\" alt=\"Boarded properties in Stirling \" loading=\"eager\"  \/><\/p>\n<p aria-label=\"Scotland has a 'death wish', says veteran broadcaster Andrew Neil\" class=\"ImageCaption_caption-title__ccyQU\" data-testid=\"caption-title\">Scotland has a &#8216;death wish&#8217;, says veteran broadcaster Andrew Neil(Image: )<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\"><a class=\"TextLink_text-link__dBSS0 TextLink_enabled__dJF3l\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scottishdailyexpress.co.uk\/all-about\/andrew-neil\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Andrew Neil Link opens in a new tab.\" rel=\"follow noopener\" tabindex=\"0\">Andrew Neil <\/a>spoke for millions of bewildered Scots voters when he responded to the latest poll showing the SNP on course for a fifth consecutive term of office.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">Despite an NHS is on its knees with <a class=\"TextLink_text-link__dBSS0 TextLink_enabled__dJF3l\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scottishdailyexpress.co.uk\/news\/politics\/cancelled-ops-ae-waits-make-36544555\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"record waiting lists, cancelled operations and bed blockingLink opens in a new tab.\" rel=\"follow noopener\" tabindex=\"0\">record waiting lists, cancelled operations and bed blocking<\/a>, a social care system in disarray, schools beset by violence and failing standards, underfunded councils that <a class=\"TextLink_text-link__dBSS0 TextLink_enabled__dJF3l\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scottishdailyexpress.co.uk\/news\/politics\/scots-face-huge-council-tax-36549009\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"cannot perform basic functionsLink opens in a new tab.\" rel=\"follow noopener\" tabindex=\"0\">cannot perform basic functions<\/a> such as collecting rubbish and fixing potholes, police, ambulance and fire services stretched to breaking point, high streets that are filled with boarded-up shops and pubs due to <a class=\"TextLink_text-link__dBSS0 TextLink_enabled__dJF3l\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scottishdailyexpress.co.uk\/news\/politics\/shona-robisons-disastrous-budget-force-36545220\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"sky-high rates and reckless policiesLink opens in a new tab.\" rel=\"follow noopener\" tabindex=\"0\">sky-high rates and reckless policies<\/a>, <a class=\"TextLink_text-link__dBSS0 TextLink_enabled__dJF3l\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scottishdailyexpress.co.uk\/all-about\/tax\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"punishingly high taxesLink opens in a new tab.\" rel=\"follow noopener\" tabindex=\"0\">punishingly high taxes<\/a> for middle earners and an economy that hasn&#8217;t shown any signs of life in years, the Nats remain popular with a certain large cross section of society.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">The answer, perhaps, lies in the devolved benefits bill which will be hiked by a further \u00a3650million in the SNP&#8217;s budget earlier this week; one in seven pounds raised in tax in Scotland is now doled out in welfare payments.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">Earlier on Thursday, a poll from Survation suggested the SNP under John Swinney are on course to return 57 MSPs in the Scottish Parliament election on May 7, ahead of Labour on 21 and Reform with 18.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\"><strong class=\"Strong_strong__e2x35\">READ MORE: <a class=\"TextLink_text-link__dBSS0 TextLink_enabled__dJF3l\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scottishdailyexpress.co.uk\/news\/politics\/peanuts-russell-findlay-tells-john-36556295\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Peanuts! Russell Findlay tells John Swinney his tax cut &#039;wouldn&#039;t buy you a bag of peanuts&#039;Link opens in a new tab.\" rel=\"follow noopener\" tabindex=\"0\">Peanuts! Russell Findlay tells John Swinney his tax cut &#8216;wouldn&#8217;t buy you a bag of peanuts&#8217;<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">Clearly flabbergasted, veteran broadcaster and journalist Neil, 76 \u2013 who was born and bred in Paisley \u2013 declared on X: &#8220;Scotland has a death wish. Continued decline inevitable with these engrained voting habits. Nobody to blame but themselves.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">The survey, carried out between January 8-12, came back with the following results, compared to the organisation&#8217;s last Scottish poll in October:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"UnorderedList_unordered-list__gzblI\" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"unordered-list\">\n<li class=\"sc-700e1ff3-0 VljCu\">Constituency: SNP: 34% (=) Reform: 19% (-3) Labour: 16% (-2) Conservative: 13% (+3) Lib Dem: 9% (+1) Green: 8% (+1)<\/li>\n<li class=\"sc-700e1ff3-0 VljCu\">Regional: SNP: 28% (-1) Labour: 18% (+1) Reform: 18% (-2) Conservative: 13% (+1) Lib Dem: 11% (+1) Green: 9% (-1) Alba: 3% (+1)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/2_Politics-Livejpgn.jpg\" alt=\"Andrew Neil\" loading=\"lazy\"  \/><\/p>\n<p aria-label=\"Andrew Neil\" class=\"ImageCaption_caption-title__ccyQU\" data-testid=\"caption-title\">Andrew Neil(Image: BBC)<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">As well as the three leading parties, Election Maps UK put the Tories on 13 MSPs and the Lib Dems and the Greens on 10 each. The Nats would still fall well short of the 65 seats needed for a majority.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">However, a deal with the Greens or the Lib Dems would ensure Mr Swinney was returned to the First Minister&#8217;s office for another five years \u2013 or however long he decides to stick it out, before handing over power to Stephen Flynn or another successor.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">Under this scenario, even an anti-independence alliance involving Labour, Reform, the Tories and the Lib Dems would fall short of the numbers required. And in any case, the political reality is that they could never do a deal due to their ties to the Westminster parties.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">The only bright spot would be the fact that on a percentage of the vote, the separatist parties still command a majority \u2013 57% of the constituency vote and 60% of the regional vote.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">This means that even with a pro-independence majority in Holyrood seats (67, between the SNP and the Greens), there is no majority among the electorate and the UK Government would be under no real pressure to consider granting another referendum.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">So&#8230; as Andrew Neil says, with Holyrood stuck in stalemate and the Nats able to buy support by using the Barnett Formula to fund a ballooning benefits bill, the &#8220;continued decline of Scotland is inevitable&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>Content cannot be displayed without consent<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\"><strong class=\"Strong_strong__e2x35\">Read more from the Scottish Daily Express. Click here for <a class=\"TextLink_text-link__dBSS0 TextLink_enabled__dJF3l\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scottishdailyexpress.co.uk\/news\/scottish-news\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Scottish NewsLink opens in a new tab.\" rel=\"follow noopener\" tabindex=\"0\">Scottish News<\/a>, click here for <a class=\"TextLink_text-link__dBSS0 TextLink_enabled__dJF3l\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scottishdailyexpress.co.uk\/news\/politics\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Politics Link opens in a new tab.\" rel=\"follow noopener\" tabindex=\"0\">Politics <\/a>and click here to return to the <a class=\"TextLink_text-link__dBSS0 TextLink_enabled__dJF3l\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scottishdailyexpress.co.uk\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Home PageLink opens in a new tab.\" rel=\"follow noopener\" tabindex=\"0\">Home Page<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"With one in seven pounds raised in tax in Scotland now paid out in benefits, the SNP&#8217;s strategy&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":698529,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5009],"tags":[111238,345,748,7100,4884,2270,29713,8940,386,857,712,204236,18695,201133,10004,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-698528","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-scotland","8":"tag-andrew-neil","9":"tag-benefits","10":"tag-britain","11":"tag-councils","12":"tag-great-britain","13":"tag-nhs-scotland","14":"tag-opinion-polls","15":"tag-paisley","16":"tag-reform-uk","17":"tag-schools","18":"tag-scotland","19":"tag-scottish-conservatives","20":"tag-scottish-labour","21":"tag-scottish-parliament-elections","22":"tag-snp","23":"tag-uk","24":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/115901348580577473","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/698528","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=698528"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/698528\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/698529"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=698528"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=698528"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=698528"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}