{"id":95342,"date":"2025-05-12T12:47:08","date_gmt":"2025-05-12T12:47:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/95342\/"},"modified":"2025-05-12T12:47:08","modified_gmt":"2025-05-12T12:47:08","slug":"buy-or-sell-quantum-computing-qubt-stock-ahead-of-its-upcoming-earnings","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/95342\/","title":{"rendered":"Buy or Sell Quantum Computing (QUBT) Stock Ahead of Its Upcoming Earnings?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"color-body light-text\" role=\"button\">BEIJING, CHINA &#8211; MAY 08: 1,000-qubit coherent optical quantum computer is on display at the booth of &#8230; More Beijing QBoson Technology Co., Ltd. during the 27th China Beijing International High-tech Expo at China National Convention Center on May 8, 2025 in Beijing, China. The 27th China Beijing International High-Tech Expo will be held from May 8 to May 11, 2025 in Beijing. (Photo by VCG\/VCG via Getty Images)<\/p>\n<p>VCG via Getty Images <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/QUBT\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/QUBT\/\" aria-label=\"Quantum Computing (NASDAQ:QUBT)\">Quantum Computing (NASDAQ:QUBT)<\/a> is set to report its earnings on Thursday, May 15, 2025. Historically, the stock has shown a tendency for positive one-day returns following earnings releases. An analysis of the past five years reveals that QUBT experienced a positive one-day return in 73% of these instances, with a median positive return of 3.4% and a maximum positive return of 25.5%.<\/p>\n<p>For event-driven traders, understanding these historical patterns could offer a potential edge. There are two primary approaches to leverage this:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Pre-Earnings Positioning: Based on the historical probability of a positive one-day return, traders might establish a position before the earnings announcement.<\/li>\n<li>Post-Earnings Analysis: Alternatively, traders could analyze the correlation between the immediate stock reaction to the earnings and its medium-term performance, positioning themselves accordingly after the results are released.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>It\u2019s crucial to remember that while historical data provides insights, the actual market reaction will heavily depend on how QUBT&#8217;s reported earnings compare to market expectations.<\/p>\n<p>From a fundamental perspective, QUBT currently has a market capitalization of $931 million. Over the last twelve months, the company generated $0.4 million in revenue and experienced operational losses of $26 million, resulting in a net income of -$69 million.<\/p>\n<p>That said, if you seek upside with lower volatility than individual stocks, the Trefis <a href=\"https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/PORTFOLIOS\/no-login-required\/RsQ6oXgC\/High-Quality-Portfolio?from=QUBT-2025-05-12&amp;CTA=Short\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/PORTFOLIOS\/no-login-required\/RsQ6oXgC\/High-Quality-Portfolio?from=QUBT-2025-05-12&amp;CTA=Short\" aria-label=\"High Quality portfolio\">High Quality portfolio<\/a> presents an alternative &#8211; having outperformed the S&amp;P 500 and generated returns exceeding 91% since its inception.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/v2\/rankings\/earningsreaction\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/v2\/rankings\/earningsreaction\" aria-label=\"See earnings reaction history of all stocks\"><strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/v2\/rankings\/earningsreaction\">See earnings reaction history of all stocks<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>QUBT Stock\u2019s Historical Odds Of Positive Post-Earnings Return<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Some observations on one-day (1D) post-earnings returns:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>There are 15 earnings data points recorded over the last five years, with <strong>11 positive<\/strong> and <strong>4 negative<\/strong> one-day (1D) returns observed. In summary, positive 1D returns were seen about 73% of the time.<\/li>\n<li>Notably, this percentage increases to 83% if we consider data for the last 3 years instead of 5.<\/li>\n<li>Median of the 11 positive returns = 3.4%, and median of the 4 negative returns = -4.9%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Additional data for observed 5-Day (5D), and 21-Day (21D) returns post earnings are summarized along with the statistics in the table below.<\/p>\n<p class=\"color-body light-text\" role=\"button\">QUBT 1D, 5D, and 21D Post Earnings Return<\/p>\n<p>Trefis<br \/>\n<strong>QUBT Stock Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A relatively less risky strategy (though not useful if the correlation is low) is to understand the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post earnings, find a pair that has the highest correlation, and execute the appropriate trade. For example, if 1D and 5D show the highest correlation, a trader can position themselves &#8220;long&#8221; for the next 5 days if 1D post-earnings return is positive. Here is some correlation data based on 5-year and 3-year (more recent) history. Note that the correlation 1D_5D refers to the correlation between 1D post-earnings returns and subsequent 5D returns.<\/p>\n<p class=\"color-body light-text\" role=\"button\">QUBT Correlation Between 1D, 5D and 21D Historical Returns<\/p>\n<p>Trefis<\/p>\n<p><strong>Is There Any Correlation of QUBT Stock With Peer Earnings?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Sometimes, peer performance can have influence on post-earnings stock reaction. In fact, the pricing-in might begin before the earnings are announced. Here is some historical data on the past post-earnings performance of Quantum Computing stock compared with the stock performance of peers that reported earnings just before Quantum Computing. For fair comparison, peer stock returns also represent post-earnings one-day (1D) returns.<\/p>\n<p class=\"color-body light-text\" role=\"button\">QUBT Correlation With Peer Earnings<\/p>\n<p>Trefis <\/p>\n<p>Learn more about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/invest-with-trefis-portfolios?from=QUBT_EarningsReturn_20250512\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/invest-with-trefis-portfolios?from=QUBT_EarningsReturn_20250512\" aria-label=\"Trefis RV strategy\">Trefis RV strategy<\/a> that has <strong>outperformed its all-cap stocks benchmark<\/strong> (combination of all 3, the S&amp;P 500, S&amp;P mid-cap, and Russell 2000), to produce strong returns for investors. Separately, if you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock like Quantum Computing, consider the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/PORTFOLIOS\/no-login-required\/RsQ6oXgC\/High-Quality-Portfolio-30-Stocks?from=QUBT_EarningsReturn_20250512\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/PORTFOLIOS\/no-login-required\/RsQ6oXgC\/High-Quality-Portfolio-30-Stocks?from=QUBT_EarningsReturn_20250512\" aria-label=\"High Quality portfolio\">High Quality portfolio<\/a>, which has outperformed the S&amp;P, and clocked &gt;91% returns since inception.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"BEIJING, CHINA &#8211; MAY 08: 1,000-qubit coherent optical quantum computer is on display at the booth of &#8230;&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":95343,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3164],"tags":[3284,44688,3358,44686,44687,44685,53,16,15],"class_list":{"0":"post-95342","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-computing","8":"tag-computing","9":"tag-ionq-stock","10":"tag-quantum-computing","11":"tag-qubt-earnings","12":"tag-qubt-q1","13":"tag-qubt-revenue","14":"tag-technology","15":"tag-uk","16":"tag-united-kingdom"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/114494940401074904","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95342","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=95342"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95342\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/95343"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=95342"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=95342"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=95342"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}