{"id":97667,"date":"2025-05-13T09:21:09","date_gmt":"2025-05-13T09:21:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/97667\/"},"modified":"2025-05-13T09:21:09","modified_gmt":"2025-05-13T09:21:09","slug":"china-u-s-trade-deal-inflation-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/97667\/","title":{"rendered":"China-U.S. trade deal, inflation data"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange on May 12, 2025.<\/p>\n<p>Brendan McDermid | Reuters<\/p>\n<p>Treasury yields traded relatively flat as investors continue to parse the recent China-U.S. trade deal and await key U.S. inflation data.<\/p>\n<p>At 3:57\u202fa.m. ET, the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/US10Y\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">10-year Treasury<\/a>\u00a0yield was up under a basis point to 4.457%, while the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/US2Y\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2-year Treasury<\/a>\u00a0yield fell over a basis point to 3.983%.<\/p>\n<p>One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%, and yields and prices have an inverse relationship.<\/p>\n<p>The U.S. and China on Monday reached a trade agreement to reduce tariffs, announcing that they will suspend the majority of duties on each other&#8217;s goods for 90 days. Under the new agreement trade agreement, &#8220;reciprocal&#8221; tariffs between both countries will be cut from 125% to 10%.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>While Monday&#8217;s news was relatively positive, it is a testament to the &#8220;volatile and chaotic nature&#8221; by which policy continues to be made in the United States, said Pepperstone&#8217;s senior research strategist, Michael Brown, who added that it was &#8220;the very thing that has been eroding the credibility of its institutions, and haven value of its assets, in recent weeks.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>It is also unclear if U.S. President Donald Trump&#8217;s 10% universal tariffs and trade policy flip-flops will hurt the U.S. economy and corporate sector in the coming months, said OCBC&#8217;s managing director of investment strategy, Vasu Menon.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Aside from his baseline 10% universal tariffs, Trump&#8217;s reciprocal tariffs first announced on 2 April (but paused about a week later, on 9 April) are very hefty,&#8221; Menon added.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;A significant slowdown in the US economy seems almost certain but a recession remains an uncertainty, although we do not anticipate a US recession at this juncture,&#8221; he wrote in a note.<\/p>\n<p>Markets will be closely watching <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/05\/12\/stock-market-today-live-updates.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">key inflation data<\/a> on Tuesday, with expectations that the consumer price index for April will remain at a 2.4% rate, according to Dow Jones&#8217; estimates. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, is likewise anticipated to stay at a 2.8% annual rate, same as the previous month.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange on May 12, 2025. Brendan McDermid&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":97668,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5311],"tags":[3420,4959,3085,1395,32,4750,805,31968,476,2441,16678,7686,1201,49,978,659],"class_list":{"0":"post-97667","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-united-states","8":"tag-bonds","9":"tag-breaking-news-markets","10":"tag-business-news","11":"tag-china","12":"tag-donald-trump","13":"tag-economic-events","14":"tag-foreign-policy","15":"tag-government-debt","16":"tag-inflation","17":"tag-markets","18":"tag-prices","19":"tag-scott-bessent","20":"tag-trade","21":"tag-united-states","22":"tag-us","23":"tag-usa"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@uk\/114499792634387869","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97667","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=97667"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97667\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/97668"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=97667"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=97667"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=97667"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}