{"id":27702,"date":"2026-08-13T02:38:07","date_gmt":"2026-08-13T02:38:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ukraine\/27702\/"},"modified":"2026-08-13T02:38:07","modified_gmt":"2026-08-13T02:38:07","slug":"ukraines-drones-are-hitting-russia-but-analysts-warn-this-campaign-could-backfire","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ukraine\/27702\/","title":{"rendered":"Ukraine&#8217;s drones are hitting Russia but analysts warn this campaign could backfire"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Ukraine has been firing drones hundreds of kilometres deep inside Russian territory almost every day since June.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">The attacks have hit oil refineries, other critical infrastructure and more recently, warehouses belonging to Russia&#8217;s version of Amazon.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Even Siberia is no longer out of reach; the long-range, sophisticated drones have travelled more than 2,000 kilometres to target energy facilities.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Ukraine&#8217;s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy says his aim is to make ordinary Russians feel the pain of the war by crippling the country&#8217;s economy and disrupting everyday life.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">But some analysts argue there is a risk this strategy could backfire, and give President Vladimir Putin an excuse to escalate fighting and galvanise public support for the war.<\/p>\n<p>Loading&#8230;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Ukraine has become increasingly aggressive in attacking its neighbour in recent weeks.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Kyiv carried out one of its deadliest strikes on Sunday night, killing at least 13 people, including a child. Russian authorities say they shot down 456 Ukrainian drones during the attack, but some got through and hit an oil refinery and a hostel in the city of Nizhnekamsk, more than 1,000km east of Moscow.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Last week, seven people were killed on a busy beach in southern Russia when a Ukrainian drone was intercepted and crashed.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;It seems like Ukraine is in quite a precarious situation \u2026 this sort of a strategy is one of last resort, because Ukraine has its back against the wall,&#8221; said Marina Miron from the Department of Defence studies at King&#8217;s College London.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Ukraine has attempted to justify the strikes by arguing they are a response to Russia&#8217;s bombardments of civilian targets in its cities, which have also increased recently.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">If the goal is to put pressure on Russia&#8217;s economy, the campaign has been working, said Charles Hecker, an associate fellow at the Royal United Services Institute in London.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;It&#8217;s been effective on a number of fronts, it continues to take the Russians by surprise and to remind them that their air defences are surprisingly weak,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;The damage that Ukraine has done to Russian energy capacity is really quite significant; oil refining capacity in Russia is now down by about 20 per cent.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2026-08-12\/ukraine-strikes-on-wildberries-could-crash-russian-banks\/107026238\" data-component=\"FullBleedLink\" class=\"RelatedCard_link__rsgR9 FullBleedLink_root__lTw_U interactive_focusContext__yRhc_ interactive_defaults__AKxUU FullBleedLink_showVisited__g3Xvz\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Ukraine&#8217;s drones could crash Russian banks<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Typography_base__sj2RP RelatedCard_synopsis__cFwMW Typography_sizeMobile14__u7TGe Typography_lineHeightMobile20___U7Vr Typography_regular__WeIG6 Typography_colourInherit__dfnUx\" data-component=\"Typography\">On the outskirts of Russian cities, warehouses belonging to the country&#8217;s largest online retailer are being struck by Kyiv&#8217;s drones, with some analysts saying it could lead to a financial crisis.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Repeated strikes on oil facilities mean long queues at petrol stations have been a common sight around Russia this summer.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Hecker said while there was no question Russia was under crushing economic pressure from the attacks on its energy infrastructure, predictions of the &#8220;impending collapse&#8221; in the Russian economy were &#8220;probably exaggerated&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">But Ukraine&#8217;s assault on Russia&#8217;s largest online marketplace, Wildberries \u2014 a company often compared to Amazon \u2014 is making the cost of the war harder for ordinary Russians to ignore.<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;People could be saying, Putin was right all along&#8217;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">More than 20 Wildberries warehouses have been hit by Ukraine, which says the company is a legitimate wartime target because it sells military equipment.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">The retail giant&#8217;s reach in Russia is huge. It is used by 79 million people each month and accounts for around 2 per cent of the country&#8217;s GDP.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">John Lough, the head of foreign policy at the New Eurasian Strategies Centre, said there was a chance this strategy could backfire.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;It is a real possibility that a section of the Wildberries consumer base will say, yeah, we should be fighting this war more aggressively,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;They could also say we shouldn&#8217;t have allowed this to happen because the Ukrainians did this to us with the support of their Western partners and we understand what Putin&#8217;s saying, that we are at war with the so-called collective West.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Loading<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Even inside Ukraine, the long-range drone strategy has its critics. Some of the country&#8217;s opposition MPs are questioning whether it is worth the risk.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">They argue Ukraine&#8217;s drone strikes in Russia are provoking Moscow to retaliate with a more destructive response.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Miron warned the campaign could &#8220;backfire&#8221; on Zelenskyy and potentially rally more Russians behind Putin.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;One portion of the [Russian] population might be dissatisfied and afraid [because of the attacks], the other portion of the population, which was neutral or perhaps against the war, might now be supporting the war,&#8221; she said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;People could be saying, Putin was right all along, they&#8217;re attacking Wildberries \u2014 it&#8217;s a civilian target, so this can be perfectly used by the Russian government to convince the population of the righteous cause of the war.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">As Ukraine has taken the war deeper into Russia, Moscow&#8217;s response has been swift. It&#8217;s targeted critical infrastructure like the Odesa Port, which has been struck repeatedly, suspending vital shipping and threatening one of Ukraine&#8217;s economic lifelines.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Associate professor and senior research fellow in defence and strategic studies at Perth&#8217;s Edith Cowan University, Alexey Muraviev, told ABC News Radio that Russia&#8217;s strikes were causing massive problems in Ukraine.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;Russia are systematically destroying petrol stations, certainly in Ukraine&#8217;s east, which also causes enormous problems with people refuelling, and they are targeting bridges and railway systems,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;So Ukraine is actually [receiving] more damage in addition to now growing international criticism while Russian civilian casualties are actually increasing.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">While Russia was attacking Ukraine&#8217;s cities and hitting civilian infrastructure like apartment buildings long before Kyiv&#8217;s latest campaign, things have escalated lately.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Earlier this month, the United Nations said there had been a &#8220;disturbing escalation&#8221; in civilians deaths, with hundreds killed and thousands injured in Ukraine this summer.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Kyiv is also grappling with a critical shortage of interceptor missies.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;A few days ago, Putin hurled buckets of ballistic missiles at Kyiv and Ukraine wasn&#8217;t able to shoot them down,&#8221; Hecker said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;That&#8217;s when Ukraine suffered a very large spike in civilian casualties.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Ukraine said it had received only a third of the air defences from its allies this year, compared to the same period last year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">&#8220;That situation is really quite desperate,&#8221; Hecker said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Analysts say Ukraine&#8217;s increasing drone strikes could be an attempt to pressure Putin back to the negotiating table in a bid to end the war. So far, there is little indication of that happening.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph_paragraph___QITb\">Zelenskyy&#8217;s strategy of making Russians feel the war more is working. What&#8217;s less clear, is whether the pain his own people are feeling will pay off in any way.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Ukraine has been firing drones hundreds of kilometres deep inside Russian territory almost every day since June. The&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":27703,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[414,26,314,7199],"class_list":["post-27702","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-news","tag-putin","tag-ukraine","tag-war","tag-wildberries"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ukraine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27702","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ukraine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ukraine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ukraine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ukraine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27702"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ukraine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27702\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ukraine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/27703"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ukraine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27702"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ukraine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27702"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ukraine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27702"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}