Class will be in session for many students this week, and with another round of storms expected across our area, it’s a good idea to keep an umbrella close by.
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The KPRC 2 Weather Team is tracking a surge of deep tropical moisture, bringing widespread showers and thunderstorms to the Houston area just in time for the morning commute. The heaviest rain is expected along the coastline and around Galveston Bay by 7 a.m., then pushing northward by 9 a.m.
Tuesday Back-to-School Forecast:
The daily rain chances continue through the first week of school. Most days won’t be a complete washout, but still, you’re encouraged to gear up for high heat and humidity.
The Houston area can expect highs reaching the mid-90s, with humidity driving the heat index up to a steamy 106 degrees.
Track our radar below:
Tuesday Storm Timeline:
As you head to the bus stop, you might run into some showers and storms on Tuesday morning.
Storms develop south of I-10
Afternoon storm coverage decreases, but there is still a chance for hit-and-miss showers and storms that can bring a brief downpour.
Plenty of dry time with hit and miss storms
On Tuesday evening, watch for storm development across Brenham and College Station as a weak boundary brings a chance for storms. Otherwise, pop-up storms continue to build and die across the rest of SE Texas.
A weak boundary tries to approach communities west of Houston, otherwise pop up showers and storms continue
For Pearland ISD families, school starts Wednesday, but the rain could still impact your morning drive. By afternoon, spotty storms are likely to affect Fort Bend County and surrounding areas, especially between 3 and 5 p.m.Category
Tracking the tropics, tracking the Gulf:
The 5th named storm has formed in the Atlantic, Tropical Storm Erin.
Erin is forecast to become a hurricane midweek and rapidly intensify over the weekend into a Category 3 hurricane.
Erin Tropical Track
Right now, the model consensus is that the storm will take a northerly turn away from the Caribbean. However, there is still uncertainty about whether this will approach the U.S. or stay in the Atlantic.
Two things that will determine if the storm moves more east or northwest are the Bermuda High and an upper-level trough that will set up across the east coast of the United States. If the trough is strong enough, the storm system will have a great chance to get pushed away from the East Coast.
Moves west and then will take a northly turn
Erin is not expected to impact the Gulf Coast at this time. However, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring a large area of unorganized thunderstorms in the Gulf that could move inland and increase rain chances.
Low chances for development
Make sure your family is prepared for whatever comes our way this hurricane season. You can check out our 2025 Hurricane and Flood Survival Guide here.
Your extended forecast:
Daily showers and storm chances continue through the end of the week. Watch for brief downpours and stay hydrated as feels-like temperatures will reach the triple digits.
Daily storm chances
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