About our polling averages
Source: Polling averages produced by The New York Times. Polls collected by The New York Times. Historical polling data provided by the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research and FiveThirtyEight.
The polling averages adjust for a variety of factors, including the recency and sample size of a poll, whether a poll represents all adults, registered voters or likely voters, and whether other polls have shifted since a poll was conducted.
Pollsters that meet at least two of the three criteria below are considered “select pollsters” by The Times, as long as they are conducting polls for nonpartisan sponsors. Has a track record of accuracy in recent electionsIs a member of a professional polling organizationConducts probability-based sampling
These elements factor into how much weight each poll gets in the average. Polls that were conducted by or for partisan organizations are labeled, as they often release results that are favorable only to their causes. Margins are calculated using unrounded vote shares when available. Read more about our methodology.
The Times conducts its own national and state polls in partnership with Siena College. Those polls are included in the averages. Follow Times/Siena polling here.
Download the data
Unless otherwise noted, the data sets that power this project are created by The New York Times and are available under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license. Use of these data sets is subject to the terms and conditions of this license, including but not limited to the attribution requirements. These data sets are offered as-is and as-available, and The Times does not make any representations or warranties, express or implied, concerning these data sets. If you are migrating from the FiveThirtyEight dataset, you can see known differences documented here. Presidential approval polls, Jan. 20, 2025, to present: Download Presidential approval averages, Jan. 20, 2025, to present: Download