STATEN ISLAND, N.Y. — A shift in the monthly outlook has revealed growing confidence that it will be a warmer-than-average October in New York.
According to the latest temperature outlook issued by the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center on Tuesday, the majority of New York now has a 50-60% likelihood of temperatures generally being above average in October. The exception to these odds is the Lower Hudson Valley and areas in the southernmost areas of the state, including New York City; these areas have a 40-50% probability of experiencing warmer temperatures throughout the month ahead.
This latest forecast marks a shift from the previous outlook for the month issued on Sept. 18. That outlook claimed that the vast majority of the state had a 40-50% chance of generally experiencing above-average temperatures.
Typically, the mean high temperature for the month of October in Central Park is 64.5 degrees, according to 1991-2020 data by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The mean average temperature is 57.9 degrees Fahrenheit for the park.
A chance at less rain
Aside from the updated temperature outlook, the Climate Prediction Center also released a monthly precipitation outlook on Tuesday.
The monthly precipitation outlook by the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center shows it may be a drier than usual October in New York.(National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center)
That latest outlook revealed that the majority of the state has a 33-40% chance of receiving less precipitation than usual this October. The northeasternmost part of the North Country is the exception, with equal odds of witnessing either more or less rain than average over the coming month.
Previously, the Sept. 18 monthly precipitation outlook noted equal chances of either more or less precipitation this October.
In October, Central Park usually receives about 4.38 inches of precipitation over the course of the month, according to data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
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