Overall, Real Clear Polling puts Mamdani’s average poll lead over Cuomo at 14.7 points. And looking at some of the most recent polling, it’s clear why.

Marist University’s poll of 792 likely voters between October 24 to 28 had Mamdani up 16 points over Cuomo, at 48 percent to 32 percent. Sliwa was at 16 percent.

Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research polled 971 likely voters for Fox News between October 24 to 28 and also gave Mamdani a 16-point lead at 47 percent to Cuomo’s 31 percent, with Sliwa trailing far behind at 15 percent.

Emerson College gave Mamdani the biggest lead of all at 26 points. They polled 640 likely voters between October 25 to 27 and put Mamdani at 51 percent, Cuomo at 26 percent, and Sliwa at 21 percent.

The most recent poll, however, had Mamdani’s lead much lower than others.

AtlasIntel polled 1,587 likely voters between October 25 to 30 and had Mamdani at a six-point advantage over Cuomo—still healthy, but much less emphatic than other polling.

Mamdani was on 41 percent, Cuomo 34 percent, and Sliwa 24 percent.