Syracuse, N.Y. — Upstate New York is likely to see the season’s first snowfall over the next few days.

Most of Upstate is expected to get an inch or more of snow, with the lake effect zones seeing up to 8 inches by early Wednesday.

Syracuse could see 3 to 6 inches, the National Weather Service said. There’s a 10% chance Syracuse could see 9 inches and Buffalo 10 inches.

Snow is likely to start in Western New York tonight and then reach Syracuse and the Tug Hill region Monday morning. It could linger through the day Monday and into Tuesday.

A blast of cold air that will feel more like early December than early November will roar across the Great Lakes late Sunday and into Monday, forecasters say.

The coldest air of the season so far will generate lake effect snow across the relatively warm Lake Erie and Lake Ontario, and push wind chill temperatures into the teens throughout the day Monday.

The weather service has issued winter weather advisories for the Tug Hill plateau and several counties in Western New York.

That air, the coldest air of the season so far, will blow from the northwest across the relatively warm and ice-free Great Lakes, creating the key ingredients of lake effect snow.

The best bet for lake effect snow will be, as usual, the Tug Hill plateau, in part because it’s higher and therefore colder than places like Syracuse. If the lake effect snow bands persist over one area, a foot of snow is possible.

A first-of-the-season snowfall on Tug Hill on Nov. 10 is actually a bit behind schedule. The Lewis County town of Highmarket, which sits at 1,263 feet above sea level, typically sees its first inch of snow by Nov. 2.

The average date for the first inch of snow in Syracuse is Nov. 17.

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